Heisy

One of the more entertaining LR EURO runs.

We truly live in the golden age of snowstorms. Every year for the most part seems like the someone on the E.C. gets hit with a HECS sized storm. Could be a change in climate, or just noise with such a small sample size. Who knows, 25 years from now we could be telling our kids or grand kids that we lived in the most amazing time for snowstorms. 

http://andrew.rsmas.miami.edu/bmcnoldy/tmp/Jan2016/northeast_22-23Jan16_shd.gif

 

Radar loop of the entire storm. I remember thinking at midnight after 12 hours of snow and 6-8" on the ground that it would keep snowing for another 24 hours. Sick.

I doubt anyone will have sympathy for me, but check out how the first dryslot gets into Philly, and look at how the deformation band sets up just NW of the city while I'm high and dry. I still got like 18-20" or so, but could of had 30" if the storm was 25 miles S literally. 

This was the 12z run on the 16th, this was the last run of the EURO that didn't show the storm.

Then, here is the 00z 17th run, the first run that actually showed something resembling the final product

On another note it is kind of sick that I can remember individual model runs 6 years later. I am insane. 

I vaguely remember this model run. Obviously it didn't come close to the final outcome, but just for kicks does anyone have the associated QPF chart that matched this 500mb model run. That is the sickest thing I've ever seen I have to imagine it gave someone like 40-50" lol. 

sick

I've always read about PDI on these forums, but can you guys explain to me what made that storm so epic. I think I read that it was also a surprise storm, which obviously makes sense since it took plce in the late 70s

I went with January 25, 2000 because it was a total surprise up until 9 or 10pm that evening. I remember watching my local forecast on TWC and when I saw the radar the precip looked like it was moving due north. I kept checking and checking and thinking, this is coming due north, I thought it was supposed to miss us. Sure enough at about 9 pm the red winter storm bulletin with that loud annoying siren noise came on TWC. I went from 4-8, then a couple hours later 8-12 then finally 12-16. My brothers and I were jumping for joy at around midnight that evening lol. It wasn't the most snow but it put me in the bullseye along the western part of the bay.

I have an eerily similar story here in Philadelphia, which is why Jan 25 2000 will always have a special place in my heart. The morning of I remember the news saying maybe an inch or so. I was in the infant stages of my weather obsession. That day I stayed home from school I believe. Not sure if it was a weekend or what, either way....My family got tickets to the 76ers Trailblazers game that night. That was in the prime A.I days so a 76ers Blazers game was a hot ticket. The Blazers were also amazing back then....Right before we left for the game I remember Paul Kocin came on the TV and said new data coming in was looking interesting...I could also see the beginning stages of the radar out in the Atlantic making a bee-line for our area. I had that giddy feeling you get before a storm before my family and I left for the game. Pretty sure the 76ers won, on my way home I just had that feeling that something was in the air. When we got inside I rushed to the TV and put the Weather Channel on. I see at the bottom of the screen the epic red bar that said Winter Storm Warning for what I believe was 8-14" of snow. I was in absolute heaven. I laid in bed glued to the weather channel until like 5am when I passed out....I woke up around 7 am to a pure whiteout with 6-8" of snow on the ground. It snowed like that for another hour before we dry slotted. We got some snow on the back end, but finished with like 9-11", nothing "epic", but I'll never forget that storm because of the surprise factor. 

So far have like 3-5" can't tell, but haven't really had heavy snow. The snow flakes seem very small. Hoping we can get a convective band tomorrow morning.

GFS big time east shift

00z NAM corrected itself from its ridiculous 18z run as we knew it would....

I'm unpacked and ready to go here in Mainsfield....Right before NEMO the NAM had a crazy run that brought even 12+" to Philly. It tends to do this right before events. It is probably well overdone. I'd imagine it will go NE at 00z. 

I switched my reservation to Mansfield MA lets hope the EURO is righr

Urgent , i can switch my reservation mansfield instead would that be better?

How does Southborough MA do lol... Hour away!

Hey guys! Im 2 hoursfrom MA. Headed to a red roof inn at Southborough MA, so stoked, do you like my choice?

PYM is Plymouth county.

Nice, I'm more of a snow guy. Wind is great, but I'm doing my best to get into the max snowfall area. I know it is impossible to know where this pesky deform band is going to setup, I mean the EURO scares me that I'd dryslot, the RGEM makes me feel warm inside. I'm going crazy running out of time lol

Wind and snow combo is best in cstl pym county Highzenburg.

What do those stand for? 

Hey guys, I have a motel booked in Southborough MA....thoughts? Based on latest data I'm trying my best to pick the best spot. I am starting to lean on NE CT, but I can't decide. Any last second opinions before I leave?!