Heisy

A- up here near Philly.

The NC storm was the biggest “what if” for me this year. If that storm had phased in sooner and came up the coast it turns into an almost perfect winter.

March 58, one time?

The severe wx from this front will be fun Monday evening

Just saw the reporting of blizzard going to hit the Midwest Sunday with sever weather along the mid Atlantic 
 

 

Snow maps a combination of a few waves. I’ll be living vicariously

Euro has an inch or so verbatim. Could be some flakes in the air.

6z euro is pretty darn good for dc Balt.

Gfs is sweet for you guys. Factor in time of year, time of day, obvious factors. I do think if everything aligns it will rip in places for a few hours.

00z NAM should be better. Looks like more phasing with the southern wave. See what happens. Can’t believe I’m tracking this haha. A dude just scored 83 pts in an nba game, anything is possible

Looking forward to possible destructive storms tomorrow and colder air rushing in Thurs with the high being in the morning. I'm done with the current life threatening heat wave...
77F

Had a bee fly in my car today. Flash freeze all the insects

We do well with anafront snows.   Remember the Anafront storm of '21?
Neither do I.

The only one that I really recall up here in Philly was maybe March 2015. Dates might be mixed up though.

FV has this line setting up directly over the city for a few hours

Is this an anafront? Or just a weak wave riding the boundary?

Looks like an Anafront to me

Kuchera probably more reasonable in a situation like this. Gotta see if this continues next few runs or if it was a random off run blip

GFS is fucking nuts lol. There was 'some' support earlier, but not now. If you read the local NWS AFDs, not even a mention of snow.

18z euro lol

ITS ALIVE

The 18z euro jumped on board too fwiw

I’d pay big money to have the end of the cmc verify. That was about to be a spring hecs ha.

If we’re going to get a snowstorm it’ll probably be that wave around 18-19th.

Winter 25-26. Never forget




Still getting rogue model runs of snow 17-20th range. Doubtful, but not impossible

18z euro Ai semi close to a nice hit day 10-12. Euro def has some interest for this time period.



Here was the euro for the same time frame

18z euro Ai has 2 snow events in this range

18z euro Ai has 2 snow events in this range

The second of those weeks could be our last trackable window, say 3/15-20. 
 
eta: fantasy land caveats apply

Signal for a nice +PNA growing on euro guidance. It’s more muted on GFS/GEFS. Without blocking though wed need well timed waves. Shortwaves timed right after a cold front. Significant snow likely a long shot, but we’re going to get some decent cold shots if this is legit.

WB 0Z EURO gives us two waves of digital snow to watch. Only 13 days of tracking to go.....

Just for fun, it’s March whatever ha, but this was about to be a massive nor’easter, and cold/frozen by the looks of it

This strong front keeps showing up on the euro Ai and euro to a degree. It’s also on the EPS. Around day 8-9. We saw the euro have that fantasy event. It was also loading up at the very end of the run. It’s a +PNA pattern, but not much blocking showing up so probably would have to time waves perfectly

Re-enforced by -PNA pattern though. We need that Pacific High pressure to change.  Some lite signs of -NAO loading pattern setting up...

With the SSW event I suspect we’ll see some -NAO showing as we head towards mid month. Just a gut feeling. We’ll probably have BN period second half of month. If we’re lucky maybe even a freak frozen event. Never know