rjvanals

Sun poking through w light snow in Potomac

1.3” in Potomac as the snow tapers off

Light snow but with poor snow growth

Very light snow in Potomac w small flakes

Snowing at Wintergreen based on webcams

Hope the NAM is right

This is what makes me nervous being on the north side of the forecast precip shield

3k NAM has dry air eat up all our snow

EPS are a slight step back compared to 12z both in terms of total precip and chances for 1”

18z Euro wasn’t ideal although qpf w such small amounts is basically noise

The March 6 2013 "storm" was the most painful bust especially coming off the terrible 11/12 and 12/13 winters.

Canadian is a close miss south

Having snow miss us to the south sucks but I'd rather it be a "storm" like this where the upside is 4" rather than be a storm with real upside

Thanks! Unfortunately the warm nose at 800 was well modeled and deep enough to fully melt the dendrites which explains the lack of sleet even in the immediate NW suburbs. Any thoughts on if this would’ve worked had it been Jan 2nd rather than Dec2nd? My hunch is this exact storm evolution wouldn’t have worked in the DC metro even in prime climo

Curious what the actual temp profile was when the precip moved in to see how where the warm layer was and how much we actually missed by.