rjvanals

Once we start getting into range the NAMs especially the 3k have been pretty good at picking up hidden warm layers missed by the globals

If I remember correctly we had sleet in the huge February 2003 storm as well with temps in the teens?

As someone who likes power I really hope we can avoid freezing rain with temps around 20

Let’s hope the GFS scores another coup like the other 2 MECS it’s predicted this winter

It's the GFS. Toggle through the last 4 runs to find out how "consistent" it has been before freaking out

We had sleet for a few hours in the 96 storm in Potomac

Way too much early celebrating around here. We have 120 hrs for things to go wrong and every 6 hours we go from “don’t worry it’s the GFS” to the GFS is amazing

I’ll be on total tilt as well since it’s had 2 MECS within 100 hrs for the area and been wrong so hopefully it’s just as wrong on this one as well. Having it finally score a coup on this potential storm would be so tilting.

Wasn’t the GFS predicting a crippling blizzard for this past weekend 100 hrs out?

This is the type of storm we’d of scored something measurable even in DC 20 years ago as we only missed by a degree or two. We had well below normal temps with precip at night during our coldest time of year along with temps at 850mb well below freezing and we manage to fail. Very disheartening even though it’s a “small bust”

GFS can’t even get tomorrows storm right and we’re freaking out about a storm 8 days out?

Don’t look at the GFS

It's super frustrating that we're going to be well below freezing at 850mb in the dead of night during our coldest time of year and still manage to rain. Tomorrow will register as a well below normal day with precip and we still can't really score.

They’ve actually juiced up but were a degree or two to warm and we waste a lot to rain

NAMs are warm