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nycwinter

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Posts posted by nycwinter

    March, 2019

    in New York City Metro

    Posted

    3 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

    You need a strong Arctic airmass for urban areas though.  Long Island, has more of an SNE-like climate.  For urban areas, you need a March 1993 or March 1960 like airmass for a widespread 10+ event all across the area.

    if we had the airmass for the storm a few days before the city might have been close to 10 inches last night...

    • Like 1

    Meteorological Winter 2018 Banter

    in New York City Metro

    Posted

    Just now, jm1220 said:

    There’s a difference between a bust and disappointment/underperformed. This one underperformed for people near the coast but it’s probably not a bust. My point and click had 6-10” yesterday evening and I had 4-5”, so I guess you could call that a bust technically since it fell outside the range. 

    i called it a bust at 9:00 pm last night..a fitting end to  a miserable nyc snow season...

    OBS thread 2P Mar 3-10A Mar 4 (snow, possible sleet s fringe)

    in New York City Metro

    Posted

    1 minute ago, ILoveWinter said:

    Agree that 8 or 9 seems unlikely on coast at this point.  For the life of me I don't know why they cancelled NYC schools so early.  It's March so it would have been prudent to make a decision in the early morning due to borderline temps.  

    they will blame the nws...i don't think the city has had a snow day this winter and with the prediction they figured why not have a snow day... in fact i got a call from my doctors office to say they will be closed tomorrow when i had a appointment lol...

    March 3rd-4th Shellacking threat

    in New York City Metro

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Wetbulbs88 said:

    Heavier rates having a tough time making it into the city. I've noticed this since moving to NYC. Not very good lift and we don't get the moisture surge off the ocean like BK or LI. Growing up half an hour west of Baltimore, I'm so used to jackpotting haha. #Spoiled.  

    we have had plenty of  heavy snowstorms in nyc when did you move to nyc this summer?

    • Like 1

    March 3rd-4th Shellacking threat

    in New York City Metro

    Posted

    18 minutes ago, snowheavyattimes said:

    If we do get a lot of snow it will stick around for a while.Temps go below freezing Mon night and stay below freezing until Friday or maybe even Saturday.I

    even with cold temps high  sun angle will do a number on the snow...quickly...

    • Like 1

    March 3rd-4th Shellacking threat

    in New York City Metro

    Posted

    3 minutes ago, Nibor said:

    Are you looking at The Weather Channel App? If so that should be the very last line of weather forecasting you should look at. Pretty much all of those apps are computer automated. 

    when they were on tv this morning the weather channel was humping the euro solution as well...

    • Like 1

    March 3rd-4th Shellacking threat

    in New York City Metro

    Posted 

    URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
320 PM EST Sat Mar 2 2019

CTZ011-012-NYZ072>075-078>081-176>179-030930-
/O.EXA.KOKX.WS.A.0003.190303T1800Z-190304T1200Z/
Southern Middlesex-Southern New London-New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-
Richmond (Staten Island)-Kings (Brooklyn)-Northwestern Suffolk-
Northeastern Suffolk-Southwestern Suffolk-Southeastern Suffolk-
Northern Queens-Northern Nassau-Southern Queens-Southern Nassau-
320 PM EST Sat Mar 2 2019

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Moderate to heavy wet snow possible. Total snow
  accumulations of 4 to 6 inches possible.

* WHERE...Portions of southeast Connecticut and southeast New
  York including New York City and Long Island.

* WHEN...From Sunday afternoon through Monday morning.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The
  hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning commute.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Storm Watch means there is potential for significant
snow, sleet or ice accumulations that may impact travel. Continue
to monitor the latest forecasts.
    • Like 1

    February 2019 General Discussion and Observation Thread

    in New York City Metro

    Posted

    7 minutes ago, JustinRP37 said:

    The sun angle is not bs. It does affect snowfall and snow cover in a big way. You can have tempers below freezing in early April, yet the snowpack can sublimate much more easily. Sure you can get a lot of accumulations, but if those storms happened during the solar minimal period of the year, you would have much great impact. By the time you get to April, it really has to snow hard to get it to stick to dark surfaces. It does not mean it cannot accumulate though. If the storm was even overnight, all the better, but it will still melt quickly. So yes it can snow in March, April, and even May if the pattern is right, but sun angle does affect it big time.

    i am sure the people in alaska will disagree...

    • Like 1
    • Haha 2
    • Confused 2

    February 2019 General Discussion and Observation Thread

    in New York City Metro

    Posted

    7 hours ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

    Our climate is changing. We will see more blockbuster seasons for the next few decades before we eventually reach a critical mass and temps are too warm for snow

    and I totally blew this one, I’ll admit it. Iight rain uws

    during the late cretaceous when dinosaurs roamed the earth...and the temps were far warmer then they are today... during the winter time it snowed in alaska....

    Arctic Sea Ice Extent, Area, and Volume

    in Climate Change

    Posted

    On 1/27/2019 at 7:22 PM, chubbs said:

    Rapidly receding Arctic Canada glaciers revealing landscapes continuously ice-covered for more than 40,000 years

    Here we show that pre-Holocene radiocarbon dates on plants collected at the margins of 30 ice caps in Arctic Canada suggest those locations were continuously ice covered for > 40 kyr, but are now ice-free. We use in situ 14C inventories in rocks from nine locations to explore the possibility of brief exposure during the warm early Holocene. Modeling the evolution of in situ 14C confirms that Holocene exposure is unlikely at all but one of the sites. Viewed in the context of temperature records from Greenland ice cores, our results suggest that summer warmth of the past century exceeds now any century in ~115,000 years. 

    https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-019-08307-w

    Warmth. Around 130,000-110,000 years ago (the Eemian interglacial), the Earth's climates were generally much like those of today, though somewhat warmer and moister in many regions. The climate record derived from long ice cores taken through the Greenland ice cap suggested that the warm climate of the Eemian might have been punctuated by many sudden and fairly short-lived cold phases, but these results are now thought of as inaccurate because the lower layers of the ice sheet have become buckled and jumbled up. However, at least one major cold and dry event during the Eemian seems to be corroborated by the terrestrial pollen record from Europe and China

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