nycwinter

5 hours ago, MJO812 said:

Thats wonderful

 

not really it feels like mid july..

landlord cranked on the heat it's so hot had to use the a.c and had a fan on me all night long..

saw a flash of lightning here in manhattan certainly was not expecting that..

2 hours ago, SACRUS said:

 

It doesnt rain in southern California 

 

 

 

amazing how many la nina winters turn out to be wet for southern california..

2 hours ago, TheClimateChanger said:

 

The entire premise is incorrect.  There was plenty of climate change back then. CO2 concentrations were already up to 310 ppm by the early 1930s, compared to a pre-industrial mean of 270-280 ppm. And methane was already up to ~1100 ppb, from 700 ppb pre-industrial average. CO2 follows a logarithmic curve, so the amount of warming from the early/mid 19th century to the 1930s would be about the same amount of warming that has occurred since 2000 - actually more significant when you factor in methane concentrations. There is nothing in the history of New York City to suggest that the snow drought during that period would have occurred in the absence of human caused warming.

15 below in 1934 for the city 6 below in 1933.. minus 1 minus 3 in the 1930's early 1940's  8 below 4 below..

so from February 22, 1929 through December 16, 1932 their was no climate change back then why the lack of a 4 inch snowfall is it because you cannot predict weather when it will snow and how much?

12 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Definitely a November feel out there with the overcast and chill.   Sun angle is so low that its difficult to burn off any low/mid level clouds

last 2 days was a december feel..

so many people are not dressed for this weather many are wearing jackets..i wore the winter clothes today a winter coat with a hoodie underneath a ski hat and my gloves..

very lovely day it is went out for my walk.. in a hoodie and not wearing a coat for a change..

it feels very nice outside does not feel cool at all with the light wind been awhile since he had a day with a light wind..

is central park going to make it to the 1-2 inches as predicted?

looked like convection fully wrapped around the center and then it changed maybe its starting to become post tropical.

melissa started to get her act together on infrared..

future cast showing a good soaking for long island tomorrow evening.

so after melissa is the season done?

1 minute ago, str8liner said:

What is really weird is the fact that she sat in basically the same spot for days and still strengthened. Usually the upwelling of colder water will hinder strengthening to some extent.

Evidently there was so much warmer water in this area it didn't happen?  

not only was the water temps 30c but the water is warm and deep in the part of the caribbean..

been very blustery and chilly for days now feels like late november..almost tempted to wear a coat..

6 minutes ago, WolfStock1 said:

 

Perhaps, but in both case total destruction generally only happens in a small area; in the case of winds it's around the eye; in the case of rainfall it's low-lying areas - along rivers and such.   River damage is only a couple hundred yards wide typically though; this eye is 20 miles wide.    A house that's not along a creek or river will see no damage from rainfall but tons of damage from wind.

Reality will be both of course.

Bad hurricane flooding typically comes from storm surge.   Helene was an exception last year of course - but that's mostly because the watershed areas are quite large for the rivers that did the big damage.    E.g. the watershed for the French Broad in NC is about 10,000 sq miles.   In Jamaica the watershed for say the Black River is about 100 sq miles, so even twice the rainfall as Helene would result in only 1/50 the flow.   It's one of the advantages of being an island - it'll drain better.    

Not saying there won't be some catastrophic flooding - the will be, but I think wind will probably cause more overall damage.

watching the weather channel as melissa was making landfall a recorded gust less then 900 feet up was over 250 mph jamaica is a  very hilly country..

i am wondering if the slow movement for days gave melissa the opportunity to strengthen as much as she did..

looks like it has even intensified more then it did already this morning weather channel was saying this is basically a 200 mph hurricane if that is the case then this storm would be the strongest ever recorded in the atlantic basin surpassing even wilma..

we have seen many time sin the past decade where hurricanes did not weaken on approach to land harvey and michael for example..

9 minutes ago, olafminesaw said:

Lots of parallels to Helene in western NC from a flooding standpoint. Somewhat similar topograph/rainfall amounts/duration. Jamaica can probably handle it a little better with heavy rainfall from tropical systems being much more common in that part of the world

30-40 inches that common in jamaica?

9 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

Wind is always the least worry in a landfalling hurricane. Storm surge and flooding are top concerns here. 

totally untrue..

it was cold enough to wear winter gloves my hands were freezing..

should not the winds be stronger with such a low pressure reading?