nycwinter

ever since the 2010 after christmas blizzard i learned nothing is set in stone this far out as that storm was modeled to be a miss for nyc..

6 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

last storm was way out to see for nyc until it was not..

ny nj pa weather on youtube showing the storm as hitting on saturday afternoon into sunday if it does hit us this one could be a actual blizzard.

amazing how snowman 19 all of a sudden vanished  lol..

this could be one of are best winter sin a very long time..

accuweather was wrong for days they predicted 4 to 8 for the city and said if the sleet is delayed we could get a foot for the city.. the sleet was not delayed any nyc reached over a foot..

washington heights had 13 inches of snow from this storm  ny city overachieved..

central park 10.6 inches of snow as of 7:00pm nam was wrong in predicting lower snow totals..

first time hearing sleet in upper manhattan now it will be like walking on ice for those who venture to go out when this is all said and done.

probably have to go back to the 96 blizzard since we had snow in these cold temps in the city..

throw nam run out not believable..

snow and sleet will stick around for awhile with high temps next week in the 20's and lows in the low teens at night.

 a snow and sleet storm will be worse for people in  cars and walking then snow alone..

trends can easily change 24 hours before a event we seen that happen many times in the past..

how does this storm plow into a huge cold high and cause mixing like it ain't nothing something does not add up?

depends on what you mean by nyc are you only counting central park or the bronx for snow totals..

a few weeks back all the doom about january was overblown.

2 minutes ago, wishcast_hater said:

Valentines Day Storm 2007

19 years already man the time has flown on by..

many years ago in nyc like 15 at least we had a 12 hour sleet storm in nyc temps in low 20's and nothing but sleet covered the sidewalks and streets and everything was covered in ice and very slippery..

lets see what the nam says about mixing issues only model i trust when it comes to that..

you do not want any significant sleet on top of a snow pack and cold temps that will take longer for the snow to eventually  melt.in the cold that follows.

2 minutes ago, Snowlover11 said:

For shits and giggles this is the gfs for both storms

22 minutes ago, Franklin0529 said:

Yea. All big storms always usually do mix at some point around here

2010 christmas day after blizzard jan 2016 blizzard did not

4 minutes ago, Roger Smith said:

Pretty sure I recall that guidance for 1-23-2016 was in the 10" range for NYC up until 24-36h before event, it only took a slight northward tick on the track to bring the max snowfall axis north several degrees of latitude. I think there would be a tendency for models to overcook the depth of cold in the air mass arriving over the Great Lakes region Friday-Saturday, I am seeing some thickness values that could easily be 6-12 dm too low, in this case a weakening of the cold air barrier is your friend rather than being a problem.

exactly..

when snowman does not post the chances of snow is increasing..