nycwinter

feels a little chilly here in the city...

heatwave is over!!! celebrating ....:)

3 minutes ago, doncat said:

Saturday will feel great...have an outdoor party to go to...great timing.

friday late afternoon and evening will feel great

these local weatherman in the city are clueless especially on the radio saying during the height of the storms roads will be wet and slushy..the last storm where we got just over 3 inches in the city with warmer temps here in upper manhattan when it came down hard the sidewalks and the streets were snow covered..and that was after a inch of heavy precip only...

10 hours ago, allgame830 said:

Because they are GFS huggers simple as that!

that was 10 hours ago when model trends were not in the city favor.. a lot has changed since then

2 hours ago, csnavywx said:

VEI 5/6 eruptions in that portion of the globe are particularly effective in lowering global temperature. The effect would be on the order of 0.2-0.3C, provided the same eruption size. A weaker eruption might be closer to 0.1C, and a VEI6 may get closer to 0.4C. Peak cooling is generally 12-20 months after an eruption of that magnitude, though the tail can last up to 4-5 years. There is typically a rebound effect above the baseline a few years after a major eruption as masked radiative forcing emerges over a cooled surface.

we need a vei 7 eruption to really cool down global temps..

4 minutes ago, jpeters3 said:

Ugh! Given the unfavorable wobble over Dominica, maybe we'll get a favorable wobble offshore (or westward) upon landfall away from San Juan and population.  A guy can hope...

well if it goes offshore from san juan st john and st thomas would be blasted...

7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

At least that much...Irma essentially scraped PR to the N.

it was more than s scrape the eyewall was 50 miles at least to the north of the island...

2 minutes ago, Hotair said:

Mt eagle has an elevation of 1100 feet so i imagine some potential disruption if the eye make direct overpass 

won't be to good for st croix if the eye went over the island....

did not both harvey and irma have some erc where they did not weaken during the process i remember irma had one that was very quick.. and did not weaken the storm...banking on a erc  in this short period of time..to save puerto rico is like winning the lottery...

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Usually a 5mi eye isn't very sustainable. 

well if it's sustains till it get's to puerto rico then it's a moot point

8 minutes ago, TomAtkins said:

I'm not saying it wont be bad. only that the devastation wont be as total as it was in Dominica, or places like Barbuda was for Irma. The difference in damage between say Cat 3 winds and Cat 5 is pretty substantial.

a million people loss power in irma and the storm was much farther away then maria will be as it crosses the island the damage will be extreme for sure...

Just now, MikeB_01 said:

Is there a reason why the recon flights won't fly into the eye while its over land?

because of the risk of flying debris over land....

seems your buying into such a scenario..

1 hour ago, Brian5671 said:

and the one time he doesn't he busts....

every weather person busted for nyc on that storm...

very odd for dt he usually likes to give nyc the shaft...:P

4 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

It shouldn't be discounted, just taken with a grain of salt

i believe that is what i said

11 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

New Euro add: "The latest euro run is much farther east and cuts snow totals by more than half. Is that your final answer? Of course not! And that is why you don't post snowfall maps of totals 3+ days in advance !!!!
The internet is littered with them already. I have no problem showing you the model run numbers but it is just that...a computer's "thoughts" which can change run to run as new data is ingested."
Meteorologist Craig Allen/Craig Allen On-Air Inc

even dt is discounting this latest euro run...

16 minutes ago, Uniblab said:

I find Amy Freezes speech clunky, with words and sentences that run into each other making her hard to understand. 

we all know amy freeze is not a ocm for her weather knowledge...

4 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

I think it's a requirement, too many people want a TV weather personality ala Lonnie Quinn

when you work with liz cho and david navaro you can't help but be infected....

2 hours ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Exactly lee and Jeff are both cornell mets and great on camera, Amy has an environmental science degree and is ackward as fuk. 

 

lee engages in to much comedy for my liking...