nycwinter

going to be a hot muggy week in september smh...

kinda raw out their mist fog drizzle...

hot but a nice breeze outside this morning...

52 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

 

NYC maxed at 93 - that alone is impressive

with all that green lush grass .. it was 5 degrees warmer outside the park...

one of the worst if not  the worst feeling summer days here in nyc...

huge blowup of convection...

2 hours ago, NJwx85 said:

Because as the bands get further away from the center, they lose some of the forcing.

the storm is falling apart...

looks like the big island and maui will be the hardest hit areas from this storm when it is all said and done..

on radar you can see the center of the storm heading ne all the heavy rain is on maui hmm..

Just now, NJwx85 said:

Not sure about that, the radar keeps drying up as the rain attempts to get this far North.

drying up  in a moist air mass?

oahu going to get pounded with rain...

lane still holding it's own don't write him off...

On 8/20/2018 at 11:29 AM, Snow88 said:

What a dud this season is turning out to be.

in late august 1992 we did not have our first named storm of the season until andrew came along .. it only takes one huge storm to make a season..

1 minute ago, NJwx85 said:

No 2pm advisory?

winds down to 125 mph..

they could have done just that....

2 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

I disagree. The windward side of Kaua’i for example is the wettest place on earth. I have been on Oahu when it rained 6”+ in 12 hours and the only issues were puddles and the ocean turning brown. Tropical islands with steep topography are accustomed to big rain. The islands are made out of volcanic rock which is hard and stays in place. Soils are also thin. 

I’m sure there will be some isolated flood damage and some power outages. But I think the media is over hyping this one after Maria and  PR last year. 

I actually heard on the radio in NYC today “the hurricane is expected to make landfall as a cat 3 later today”. Landfall? 

isolated flood damage? that will be the under statement of the year.. 3 to 5 inches of rain earlier this year in a short period of time in honolulu wreaked havoc... imagine when this storm is over how much rain will fall on the city...

lane holding it's own or looking better on infrared...

4 minutes ago, bluewave said:

It has another 35" of rain on top of what as already fallen on the big island. 

track was wrong even before lane central the central pacific it finally caved to most other guidance..

the gfs the best tropical model on lane the worst the euro.. what a embarrassment for the euro so out of touch with reality on hurricane lane..

BULLETIN
Hurricane Lane Advisory Number 34
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP142018
500 PM HST Wed Aug 22 2018

...DANGEROUS HURRICANE LANE TRACKING NORTHWEST AND ON COURSE TO
PASS VERY CLOSE TO THE ISLANDS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.9N 156.5W
ABOUT 260 MI...415 KM S OF KAILUA-KONA HAWAII
ABOUT 385 MI...620 KM SSE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH...230 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...939 MB...27.73 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Hurricane Watch has been changed to a Hurricane Warning for the
island of Oahu.

3 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

It’s easy to say that from 6000 miles away. I know I’ve said it. Sandy was scary and this looks to top that.

but sandy was the largest ever tropical cyclone in the atlantic. tropical force winds extended 900 miles this storm tropical force winds extend out less than 200 miles...

41 minutes ago, Dunkman said:

Looking at the current satellite I think the big island disrupting the northern outflow is impacting the storm much more than the shear, at least so far.

 opinions are not fact...

looks like lane has made that turn to the northwest...

you can see it is fighting shear..

looks like lane might be intensifying again against all odds..