Big differences between the HRRR and the 3kmNAM with the HRRR keeping both tonight's and tomorrow nights MCS much further north. The HRW suite seems to favor the further south propagation as well
of course a group of people online have taken this as sign of a massive conspiracy. This reminds me of early on when Oklahoma was reporting only a tiny amount of tests and a very high positive rate because all private labs were only reporting positives. It made Oklahoma look like it was testing an order of magnitude people less than every other state
ETA: confirmation of our theory
Crazy, just like watching the doctors slowly kill themselves in the operating room day after day. Not to mention the mass deaths in Asian countries from mask wearing. Not a time to trust the "experts."
looks like another MCV/shortwave rolling along the Minnesota Iowa border through the afternoon and reaching Illinois/Wisconsin just after peak heating.
Even when the severe is mediocre we still do rain very well. 1.03” on the day and 4.82” on the month. Our new June climate average for 1991-2020 is going to be a crazy high value of around 5.3”