madwx

I'm setting the O/U on days with snow cover here during the month of December at 5. 

got a quick two inches or so.  Melting has commenced, should be all gone by the end of the day

Parachutes falling outside right now.  About an inch on the ground 

America is a land of excess.  It’s also a land of overworking.  These things lead to a lot of obesity and health problems.  It is simple to lose weight but it is not easy especially for someone who is poor or uneducated.   I lost 55 pounds since March but I have a lot of luxury and privilege that others don’t.  We need to be a healthier nation but that doesn’t mean we can’t try to take care of everyone with this current pandemic.  Also Charleston is cool but only from October through March

0Z GFS coming in much lower with snow totals on Tuesday 

maybe a front end thump next Tuesday before switching to rain.  At least in Wisconsin and Minnesota.

17 minutes ago, beavis1729 said:

I suppose...but that's kind of a low bar.   In summer, do we only expect "shots of warmth"?  No...we expect it to be warm and summerlike throughout summer...not just "a few weeks of transient warmth". 

Seasons in seasons.  DJF should be wintry simply because it's DJF...not because of whether a certain pattern exists.  The coldest temp of the season so far at ORD is only 28...and it will probably stay that way through the end of November. 

The cruel joke of a November continues...and the joke is on us.  Patience is wearing thin...things better change by 12/1 at the very latest.  In good winters, there seems to be a persistent changing of the guard in mid-late November...where all signs of fall are erased and it actually feels like winter, with the very short days.  I don't just mean one snowfall that melts in 2 days...I mean an abrupt change to a winter-like feel that has staying power.

But right now, perpetual Fall continues...it's just not good.  Hard to get into the holiday spirit.

man I was feeling disillusioned about the posting on this board but this Beavis post made me realize the real americanwx is back

I miss bickering about stupid weather stuff

2 hours ago, cyclone77 said:

Hopefully we'll have a December to remember, and not a December to dismember.  

Not looking great but if the PV stays strong like last year we’ll still get shots of snow and cold

16 minutes ago, nwohweather said:

Who’s to determine what an “essential” job is? Haha this is what gets me, are we to tell a bartender they are not essential in our world? A barber? A hotelier?

The more these governments push, the easier they make it for large corporations to dominate. I may be banking my best bonus this year yet personally while working from home. Why? Because small businesses are aggressively offering lower prices to not take a massive loss

this guy makes money

Looks like a couple chances at snow over portions of the area the next week or so.  Nothing major at the moment.

winds stayed very gusty overnight here

7 minutes ago, dan11295 said:

New cases look to be lower today than yesterday by a decent number. Not sure how much to read into that. If we (hopefully) have a muted case jump tomorrow could potentially be a sign of a start of leveling off of cases

I doubt that, most states are on the upswing in cases besides the Dakotas and maybe Wisconsin.  Also we are still waiting on a few more states to drop today, including part of california, kansas and nebraska

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/11/17/health/coronavirus-immunity.html

Good news today, study shows that immunity can last for many years for 90% of patients.   Obviously contradicts some of the other things we have heard but falls in line with the idea that rapid reinfections are a small minority of cases

cases down vs. the same day last week for the first time in a long time in WI.  Hospitalizations still up 180 and a record 92 deaths today

Rapper Jeremih is in the ICU on a ventilator with COVID.  He's 33 with no known preexisting conditions.

38 minutes ago, dta1984 said:

The testing is such a joke,  definitely adding false positives

https://www.washingtonpost.com/nation/2020/11/13/elon-musk-covid-test-bogus/

 

guess that means that this is much more deadly than we thought, if cases are much lower.   yikes

9 minutes ago, dan11295 said:

I am curious what percent of cases are actually getting caught with tests. Dr. Scottlieb on CNBC suggesting it was only 25%. If that is true then 25%+ of North Dakota has now been exposed, as 6.7% of the state has been tested positive. They are currently testing 0.2% of their pop positive every day!

I like to base it off of current deaths.  For North Dakota it’s around 16% but in reality it’s a bit higher since death counts are delayed

Wyoming with 971 cases today.  More than doubling their previous daily record.

record number of cases and deaths in Wisconsin today(6114 and 62 respectively)

record high temp in Madison today

small sample sizes and anecdotes aren't reality

8 hours ago, nwohweather said:

I wouldn’t say magical. I just agree with the approach this region has over what the Midwest is doing. Hell I believe even golf courses were closed up there until mid Summer

lol golf courses were open here after the first couple weeks of the pandemic.  which is when they would open for the season anyway

Just now, Hoosier said:

Yeah looks pretty nice.

Can we get a legit severe setup at some point?  Is that too much to ask?

It's 2020 so no.

But actually looking into it, looking like a western trough may develop after the 10th or so and eject some energetic systems through our sub.  That's model mirage range though so I'm not horribly optimistic

1 hour ago, beavis1729 said:

Yes, of course it doesn't change anything from a technical standpoint...but it's more psychological than anything.  And that matters to some people. 

Not saying you need to share the same point of view...but for me, it's very important to have an "early" sunset in winter.  If it got dark at 5:20 instead of 4:20 in mid-December, then of course it has no impact on the weather. or total daylight...but it would bother me a lot.  It just "feels" more like deep dark Currier and Ives winter with an earlier sunset...because that's what I grew up with.  Yes, time is just a construct...but many people have emotional connections to things like this, because they form memories. I would be very upset if our sunset was after 5:00 in mid-December.   

Total daylight is about 9 hours 6 minutes on the winter solstice here (7:13 AM - 4:19 PM CST).  If we had daylight savings all year, it would be 8:13 AM - 5:19 PM...yuck.

Counterpoint would be those 415 AM sunrises during the summer without DST. 

One important thing for mental health is for people to realize there will be a time when we are past this pandemic.  It may not be for another 6 months to a year but there will be a time we can regain a sense of normalcy.  Even if it means getting a vaccine every six months it'll be worth it.   Especially as we get into these winter months with things like seasonal depression and family stress it's important to keep a hopeful attitude about the future.