weathafella

Consolidation in time. A growing idea it seems...

As is NAM is 6-10:for me.

Also, re ukmet. Yes he sobered up some but really having a low travel 500 miles in 6 hours doesn’t lend credence to its solution....

Started out as a clear day. Now cirrus filing the sky and temperature is starting to slip. Feeling cold out. Old school people would look up and know it’s coming!

I'll take the meat please.

I think we're pretty much locked. 3-7 NW CT, 4-6 western half of CT, 6-8 inside of a BDL-ORH-PSM-canal-PVD line.

Yeah it didn't change much. But i think it comes even closer than 18Z when it's all said and done. I'm not waiting up for 6Z NAM. Got to prepare for early rising Friday to see it snowing. That's what it's come to this year.....

Definitely not as good as 18Z. But not bad. is trend over or is it on holdf?

Euro maybe 25 miles east of 18Z. Not much difference in sensible wx.

Uncle back on the sauce

It’s my job! So yes. We’ll have a verdict early-probably by 1am or a few minutes after.

I think it’s a reminder that cmc is an awful model even if it happens to get this right. The only thing limiting the trend is time remaining.

I had a FB post before Labor Day 2014 predicting record snow in Boston…lol.

Pummeling EMA at 39 though

You left us? Back to EE land?

I can’t remember the details but you were bullish! It was a frustrating start not unlike this year and I was starting to lose faith…

Looks like RGEM

Long good bye on euro too. Significantly better!

He posts here all day-no wonder he’s behind schedule at work! But between covid keeping a lot of people home and he being in the covid business he’s banking it. Next gtg he buys everyone a Woodford round-good stuff btw.

Wrong thread?

So let’s harken back to the gtg at Funky Murphy’s in Worcester in early January 2015. I drove pickles to and back. The pattern was progged to change big time but the wx that day was snow eating foggy mild drizzle. There wasn’t much snow to eat but Worcester had a bit. BOS was way down on seasonal snow and futility was on the table-must have been well under 5 inches at that point. I pointedly asked Will what his best guestimate for BOS final seasonal total. Pickles can vouch for this. Will comes up with 53 inches. Pickles and I are talking about what a bold call that was on the ride home. Will was wrong. BOS ended up with 110 and change. Keep hope alive!

I doubt I breaches 30-31 before Sunday starting late tomorrow night

He looked at a gfs surface temperature prog which in these situations are always fraught

When I see a surface low jump east hundreds of miles in 3 hours I become skeptical

Well the luxury is everyone can adjust up or down tomorrow-still time for that.