Lol.....yes that’s how we get mostly snow. But it’s not called a swfe for nothin’. Mid levels should allow tainting. Now...we can have an all snow event but snow growth usually is not good and the ceiling is 8-12, floor 2-4. Big range but this will not be a blockbuster event. The big high will lock low level cold but snow comes from the mids.
Don’t use kuchera for these swfe systems. Euro again with the thump, drizzle, end. I think that’s the best idea:given swfe climo. But the bigger issue is GEFS. This look SCREAMS huge event in the first half of March!
Regarding the swfe late next week-euro has the typical climo version of a cold swfe. So while still in clown range I’d initially lean towards that idea.
There’s this impression that PHL/DC/BWI/RIC has been slammed.
To date:
PHL: 12.5”. 25% below normal
DCA: 12.3”. 25% above normal
BWI: 14” Less than an inch above normal
RIC: 4.3”. 35% below normal
I remember getting up for a flight around 3/6....was about 5 at Logan. Coming back from overseas on probably one of the last flight n as the 3/16-17 storm was getting getting going breaking my streak of missing storms but also robbing BOS of futility.