For those of us on the edge in terms of winter qpf 12z was a bit less robust with taint. 0z was colder than prior runs but again only for those of us on the edge (pike region).
Lol.....yes that’s how we get mostly snow. But it’s not called a swfe for nothin’. Mid levels should allow tainting. Now...we can have an all snow event but snow growth usually is not good and the ceiling is 8-12, floor 2-4. Big range but this will not be a blockbuster event. The big high will lock low level cold but snow comes from the mids.
Don’t use kuchera for these swfe systems. Euro again with the thump, drizzle, end. I think that’s the best idea:given swfe climo. But the bigger issue is GEFS. This look SCREAMS huge event in the first half of March!
Regarding the swfe late next week-euro has the typical climo version of a cold swfe. So while still in clown range I’d initially lean towards that idea.
There’s this impression that PHL/DC/BWI/RIC has been slammed.
To date:
PHL: 12.5”. 25% below normal
DCA: 12.3”. 25% above normal
BWI: 14” Less than an inch above normal
RIC: 4.3”. 35% below normal
I remember getting up for a flight around 3/6....was about 5 at Logan. Coming back from overseas on probably one of the last flight n as the 3/16-17 storm was getting getting going breaking my streak of missing storms but also robbing BOS of futility.