WEATHER53

The ride generally isn’t good and often does not arrive at the destination. But at times the bumpy fitful ride ends up at a Great location

MJO is but one possible component among many and a new signal gets introduced every year. Plus the effects have changed. Nino and Nina used to be very consistent predictors for 50 years but less so now. AO/NAO still very vital but the rest are largely research in progress

Congrats on that. I made All State band my senior year in HS and it’s real tough competition

Winds DC 15-20 gusting to 35

Analog time frame day a Go and notice how the cold air is coming down from NY State and PA and not rolling off Maine nor plunging down thru ND/SD and rolling eastward where timing of cold air can be a problem

The 23-25th is real . Analogs say so. They got the early Dec one, wrong about 12/22-24 one , mostly got snowcrete correct. Blows the models away .

That date is my last analog date so let’s buckle up. I like the angle of the cold

Wasn’t that the huge El Niño in 98 and things do seem different since about then ?

I grew up in the golden era of 1958-71 and to my memory we skated on the pond every winter except two . Sledded every one at some point Im pretty sure

From 54 to 34 and dew does not rise

I have wondered that if the Gulf Stream has indeed weakened, could that be less attractive now to potential low pressures to move along Atlantic coastline miller A style?

Not really The super fine lines, thread the needle, yadda yadda is the formula for 100 presentation which radically change every 6 hours.

Child I just stated it. I’m in full agreement that 0-11” forecast will be confirmed

Thats the design. 0-11” forecasted and couple posters asked me well what’s my prediction and my prediction is the 0-11” model output will verify. That’s what its all about anyway

Ole misrepresentation