WEATHER53

Not in a position to do that and then tell others to get over it

The ride generally isn’t good and often does not arrive at the destination. But at times the bumpy fitful ride ends up at a Great location

MJO is but one possible component among many and a new signal gets introduced every year. Plus the effects have changed. Nino and Nina used to be very consistent predictors for 50 years but less so now. AO/NAO still very vital but the rest are largely research in progress

Congrats on that. I made All State band my senior year in HS and it’s real tough competition

Winds DC 15-20 gusting to 35

Analog time frame day a Go and notice how the cold air is coming down from NY State and PA and not rolling off Maine nor plunging down thru ND/SD and rolling eastward where timing of cold air can be a problem

The 23-25th is real . Analogs say so. They got the early Dec one, wrong about 12/22-24 one , mostly got snowcrete correct. Blows the models away .

That date is my last analog date so let’s buckle up. I like the angle of the cold

Wasn’t that the huge El Niño in 98 and things do seem different since about then ?

I grew up in the golden era of 1958-71 and to my memory we skated on the pond every winter except two . Sledded every one at some point Im pretty sure

From 54 to 34 and dew does not rise

I have wondered that if the Gulf Stream has indeed weakened, could that be less attractive now to potential low pressures to move along Atlantic coastline miller A style?

Not really The super fine lines, thread the needle, yadda yadda is the formula for 100 presentation which radically change every 6 hours.

Child I just stated it. I’m in full agreement that 0-11” forecast will be confirmed

Thats the design. 0-11” forecasted and couple posters asked me well what’s my prediction and my prediction is the 0-11” model output will verify. That’s what its all about anyway