FlatLander48

gut feeling based on what I'm seeing. Need what appears to be two pieces of energy in the gulf to combine and rapidly intensify and have the system "produce its own cold air". GFS is yet again too warm as it's passing by, and we don't have another cold source to tap.

Freezing temperatures aren't even found until you go halfway into West Virginia. That's not gonna do it.

5 minutes ago, SteveRDU said:

Based on?

the fact that it's not snowing. and the time of year, considering prime climo is..well...now. granted like Mack has been mentioning, February 7th is trying to spoil that. But besides that it hasn't even been close to snow in these areas so far.

4 minutes ago, MotoWeatherman said:

Meanwhile the 0z Euro is a complete whiff to the South.  Lol

Well...it's somewhat closer than a few runs ago lol. Baby steps? Don't we always want the NW trend haha

Dont look now but the GFS was nice for this weekend. And potentially almost all snow for our forum.

1 minute ago, WarmNose said:

Tough mountain forecast this weekend. I booked a place on Sugar but I’m not paying $400 for the weekend to ski in a rain snow mix. I feel pretty good about it but Ray is still on the fence so that gives me cause for concern. Do you think we’ll know what we’re looking at for areas above 4K feet by Wednesday evening? Thanks

Well Ray isnt that good of a forecaster. I would say based on current models that it should be snow above 4k and worth the trip. But who knows the way models have been going the past 48 hours honestly.

Shocker: boone gets blanked. On to the next one.

38 minutes ago, MotoWeatherman said:

Surprised no one is talking about tomorrow (Monday).  Both NAM and GFS really juiced up the northern MTN with a solid 1-3 inches.

Because that would be the biggest snow in Boone this season so I dont believe it yet lol. That and while everyone else has had snow this evening, we've barely gotten a couple of flurries.

Wednesday on the GFS took a nice little jog NW.

7 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said:

Gefs like the Wednesday/Thursday event.

I'd say that's showing a little 2-3 inches for the northern mountains and 4-5 inches for the southern mountains, assuming all snow. Would be the biggest event so far I think technically lol

1 hour ago, strongwxnc said:

These are the tricky systems that can produce without notice...

Thanks for posting those maps 

Robert made a post similar to your first sentence and he's a tad bit excited about it.

Robert is a little hyped for our midweek system. Always a good sign.

1 hour ago, BornAgain13 said:

Hard to fathome what happened... I've been a lakers fan for a long time and always was a fan of Kobe's.  Just terrible news today...

And confirmed his 13 YO daughter was on board too with another parent and player

LR since it's the Nam, but it looks good for next Thursday.

RIP Kobe

idk if I looked at it wrong on my phone, but next weekends storm is actually nice for the northern mountains on the GFS now that I can look at it on my work desktop. And CMC. Euro is a clean miss way to the south lol.

With the 12z runs coming in, I'm about ready to give up until next year. Just no cold to work with when we need it.

I would say I've gotten a solid 2 inches of instantly-melting-as-it-hits-the-ground snow today.

3 minutes ago, Hvward said:

12z Euro rolling out with a near perfect low track for snowfall in WNC next weekend.

we really need that HP to stick in a bit more, virtually 0 wiggle room temp wise. but all in all, it looked very good.

1 hour ago, wncsnow said:

Things look like crap again for the next 10 days. 

I'm gonna disagree.... at least for now.

18z GFS looking slightly better at 156, let's see what happens.

2 hours ago, AsheCounty48 said:

Good news guys, we're no longer living 10 days out, after a couple of months of trying, we've reduced that number to 9 days out!

Correction: outside of the mountains, back to day 16.

CMC and GFS both bringing that upper LP down quicker. That's a big no no if we want something nice next weekend.

From what I can tell, it looks like the energy from our low mixed with the LP coming from the north, and as always, never results in anything good.

12Z GFS is a 35 degree flooding storm next weekend lol

And let's go west of the Apps again.