FlatLander48

Any clue as to what is leading the massive snow changes out west and to the north of us between the 6z and 12z runs of the 3k nam? That's a pretty big difference.

10 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said:

Ice threat for northern NC counties and into southern VA is downright scary on some of the projections. One would hope that pingers would save the day. I still think the models are somewhat playing catch up with CAA from this impending Canadian HP. Usually 1032-1034 are good for wedging events but you get to 1040+ and those are big dog HP’s that will overperform. 

Two of the WRF models, regardless if they're even remotely accurate or not, have the HP closer to the mid 1040's at onset. The possibility exists that the HP could actually come across a bit stronger over the next few runs.

Didn't really take the wednesday threat seriously until now. Potential for Frz Rain to fall after some snow(maybe?) in the northern counties is not going to be a good recipe at all.

Still, screw ice, I still want my spring lol.

3 hours ago, Phelps said:

I know winter isn't over in the high country yet and we'll see what happens the rest of February but right now it isn't looking too promising.  If the next 2 weeks are anything like the last couple then it will be the 2nd February in a row with very little snow, even in the highest elevations.  Frustrating. 

No. Its virtually over at this point.

7 hours ago, Tyler Penland said:

It's all alone but the 12z fv3 is a thing of beauty. Massive storm for the mountains.

Glad it's not gonna happen

Never fear guys, the FV3 on its island WAY out in left field will save us all. well I mean the GFS is maybe kinda close, but not really.

After spending the last couple of days in Asheville and Raleigh in shorts and short sleeve shirts, I'm done with winter. I hope it warms up and stays warm. 

Had flurries just about constantly since yesterday morning. Picked up a little here now though as well. Wont complain with some light snow before the warm up begins tomorrow. 

Looks like weve seen the last snow for at least a couple of weeks. Let's see what happens in february....

Just now, WarmNose said:

It’s out there but the 12z GEFS has a stout WAR for this timeframe..

Yea, it's definitely not something to be even remotely optimistic about considering how we're supposed to be in a blockbuster pattern right now, but it's still almost better than seeing nothing.

4 minutes ago, Rankin5150 said:

This REALLY sucks that we have nothing to correspond about in the mid to long term discussion. Is there ANYTHING promising wintery weather wise? 

FV3 has day 12 love for some, but besides that...no

Was quiet a minute ago, picked back up again.

Considering how models looked for the northern areas, this could be a slight over performer. Temp down to 33, parking lots are starting to become slushy in spots, look for side roads and such to go downhill within an hour, and main roads this afternoon 

Theres enough snow on the ground in Boone to match the dry runs from yesterday evening. Looking good so far. Absolutely pouring. Temp around 35. Dropped 4 degrees since 930.

If you want the cold and snow, look away. Because I want this to happen. At least thaw out for a bit.

7 minutes ago, Buckethead said:

Just walked out the door to 14° and light snow.  Caught me by surprise!

I've had more snow this morning then yesterday. Not that a light dusting is really more impressive than a lighter dusting lol.

Just now, Moonhowl said:

I am thinking you have a typo on those temps unless the freezing point has changed.  I was wondering out loud to my wife the other day if we would ever see dust again or is it just mud for ever more.

Everything is mud, that's what has caused me to fall twice lol.

It went from 48 at 5 am to 45 at 830. And I've busted my butt twice getting to and from campus. Can we get 65 and sun til it at least dries out...

As of an hour ago, HWY 16 in Ashe has been shut down, numerous wrecks up and down the mountain.

Different topic. As a saints fan....crap.

Trying to remain calm after looking at the 6z FV3. Snow ended around 530 where I'm at, just a dusting and we're actually stuck on the mountain as the road is complete ice.

Just south of Seiverville for the weekend. Winds picking up here quickly, last rain band dropped about half an inch.

1 minute ago, shahroz98 said:

Atlanta had thunderstorms today. Isnt there a saying that it snows 10 days within thunder in the winter ?

It is a saying. And it's true. It will snow in the next 10 days....somewhere.

My entire thought process on the upcoming pattern as of now... Meh.

Color me skeptical on any good coming out of the upcoming "pattern change". I'm not even thinking anything worth looking at until February.