wawarriors4

5 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

Wow.  Didn’t expect that.  You are at the edge of the 850s I saw earlier.  Enjoy every flake. 

Yeah, shocked me too, was expecting sleet to start, it’s all snow though and legitimize Light Snow

Flurries just started here in Southern Stafford, 36/20. Surprised it started as Snow down this way around FXBG.....

3 minutes ago, nj2va said:

Thanks Debbie.  

As someone would say.....Yoder.....

1 minute ago, Bob Chill said:

First time I've seen no shutout solutions DC northward. Very good run. I think we're getting close to locking in a CAD thump and not seeing much support if any to keep the primary from staying south of us. Still time to shift but with gun to head I'd say the chances of that are pretty low. 

Yeah starting to look good for DC North crew....us DC South crew know the drill well. Hope for the best and prepare for rain or slop. A couple inches that isn't immediately washed away would be a nice stat padder

6 minutes ago, yoda said:

Probably ice rink as 850 0c line is to your north just a tad... but temps are on the upper 20s to around 30

I'm guessing that means maybe a bit more snow for EZF but an ice rink as well on the UKMET

4 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Horrible day down here. Not sure why this one hurt so much. Probably because it's snowing to the north, south, and east. It made it south enough, but mountains ate it for my area. 

It's not snowing over here in EZF either, so you're not alone.....

1 minute ago, Bob Chill said:

Nice dendrites with the green band. Might end up pulling off 1.5-2". A very enjoyable a scenic event in progress. 

The ole #bootlegtoclimo in process, good stuff. Down here, we've had a few stray flakes, but that was expected, enjoy the snow!

Radar just kind of blossomed of the west of Stafford and Fredericksburg, interested to see if any of that actually makes it to the ground.

Up to 0.4” in Stafford off Route 17, amazing I was in downtown FXBG and nothing was accumulating and I get home and it’s a winter wonderland. 5 miles and about 330 feet of elevation really helps.

32 with moderate snow and a decent looking band to my west!

Down to 33 in Stafford, moderate Snow now, switched on a dime from rain to snow at about 3:20

Light Snow, big flakes, in Stafford at 35 degrees

2 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

Fv3 another good run. It's running a lot colder that its brother from what i can tell on ncep. Makes me not trust either. 

Seems like temperature before the front, or how quickly heavy precipitation can cool boundary layer will be the real wild card. Not sure which way to lean, it may be different for all parts of our forum in terms of temps 

14 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

QPF bleeding to the east has halted for the time being... now I just need it to go back west a few hundred miles.

It’s interesting that EZF is around 0.5” of on  latest GFS and the 12z Euro, yet some how CHO is around 0.15” or 0.2” big difference over short area. I’m just not sure the temps will cooperate as much down here around FXBG to present more than maybe 1 inch. Hopefully I’m wrong

7 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Would people prefer two threads? One for only storms and one for pattern? Other options?

That would be fantastic 

Finished with 0.8" down here in Southern Stafford (2 SSE Glendie) which brings the season total to 14.2" 

12 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

I've got .5" down in Charlottesville, which is pretty much the south, and I've got the best returns in the area right now. Might make a run at 1". 

Got 0.5” over in Stafford too, may make a run at 1” as well. Not sure what just happens in the thread, but Radar looks great between Fredericksburg and Charlottesville.

12 minutes ago, luckyamaha said:

Wifey just drove back from the store and said that roads are starting to cave in Stafford but mostly in the neighborhood

Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk
 

Sounds similar to what’s going on off Route 17. Light Snow and 31

Snowing nicely down in Stafford and we now fallen below freezing 31/31

Moderate Snow in southern Stafford....cars, trash cans and driveway covered, 0.2” total

32/31

Light Snow in southern Stafford

34/30

1 hour ago, Eskimo Joe said:

If the 12z guidance looks good across the board, I could see LWX nudging the advisory another tier of counties south.

Winter Weather Advisory expanded South, includes DC and Baltimore down to PWC.

Ripping here in Southern Stafford atm, up to 7.0” on the dot. 27/26

We switched over to snow about an hour ago and it is now Heavy Snow and 27 degrees, it’s awesome!

2 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

The greens in between the yellows in moco are still mod snow just with smaller flakes. I'm over 8" now and 9" is becoming more likely every time i look at radar.

We finally switched over to Snow here in Southern Stafford and the radar looks good enough to me for the moment around EZF. My sister in MoCo said snowing Heavily up that way! Enjoy!

Y’all enjoy Up in NOVA and Maryland! Moderate sleet down here in EZF