wawarriors4
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Posts posted by wawarriors4
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BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 400 PM EST FRI DEC 21 2018 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Southeastern Loudoun County in northern Virginia... The City of Fairfax in northern Virginia... Fairfax County in northern Virginia... The City of Manassas Park in northern Virginia... Prince William County in northern Virginia... The City of Manassas in northern Virginia... * Until 445 PM EST. * At 400 PM EST, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from near The Plains to 10 miles west of Montclair, moving north at 45 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Alexandria, Centreville, Dale City, Reston, Annandale, Springfield, South Riding, Herndon, Fairfax, Fort Hunt, Vienna, Groveton, Falls Church, Broadlands, Lansdowne, Lowes Island, Brambleton, Mantua, Fort Belvoir and Pimmit Hills. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Get indoors to protect yourself from wind and lightning. Trees around you may be downed from damaging winds, so if you are near large trees, move to an interior room on the lowest floor. Don`t drive underneath trees or in wooded areas until the threat has passed. -
dropping in from MA forum....will be in Scranton for the holiday. Dec 21-27, hoping some flakes fly and it may just happen.
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40 minutes ago, nj2va said:
@wawarriors4 what’s your total down there?
We are at 6.4” and the snow actually just picked back up, and it’s all snow again after mixing with a bit of sleet for a time. Great storm down here
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1 minute ago, SnowGolfBro said:
Damn that sounds nice. Playing the waiting game with some nice moderate snow falling here
Yeah, I’m up to 3.7” so far, feel like 6” is attainable, if not more. Buddy of mine in Caroline is closing in on 8”
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5 minutes ago, SnowGolfBro said:
Probably why it’s getting replaced. That death band in Stanford looks like my kind of fun. Willing it North as we speak.
It is wild in that band here in Stafford, picked up 1.5” in the last 60 minutes
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5 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:
Can’t help but wonder if the heavy band coming up will help the storm advance a couple extra miles. But that’s weenie-talk, probably not how things actually work.
It’s puking snow in that band at the moment t in Fredericksburg/Stafford and as I type this Stafford was just upgraded to a Winter Storm Warning
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Looking forward to getting into this band rotating up toward Fredericksburg.
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3 minutes ago, CavalierHoo said:
Sorry. Misunderstood her. She meant Warrenton exit On 95
Exit 133 just North of Fredericksburg, that’s my exit. Snowing pretty good here, about 0.2” so far
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Light Snow around Fredericksburg, 31/21
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Just now, yoda said:
Scroll down to where it says meteogram... then click on USA up top of the page since it will send you to Montreal first
Thanks....this storm is frustrating and entertaining all at the same time
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5 minutes ago, yoda said:
00z UKMET meteogram is 5-6mm of snow at DCA
Where do you get the meteograms of UKMET?
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Winter Weather Advisory up for Spotsylvania, Stafford and Fredericksburg for 2-4 inches
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8 minutes ago, BristowWx said:
The zone forecast has about 2 inches total for EZF. Maybe they just don’t buy the north trend.
True.... I’m still not sure what to expect around EZF to be honest
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4 minutes ago, nj2va said:
LWX needs to expand WSW to EZF. WWA for Stafford makes sense.
Agreed
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1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said:
I’m in Arlington at the moment. I’m going to head back to CHO tomorrow morning if it looks like it would verify a WSW.
Good deal! Think CHO is in a pretty good spot!
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Just now, NorthArlington101 said:
What 50 miles or so would do...
All for another 50 mile shift North, feeling alright around EZF. CHO looks pretty good too, you still there or back in Arlington?
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9 minutes ago, yoda said:
For you, no. For EZF and areas around them, yes
It’s been a great model day around EZF, but that ain’t ground truth. Will believe it when there’s snow on the ground
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1 minute ago, nj2va said:
0.1” for MBY almost 0.2” for yours. Gotta like the trends.
And like 0.7” for mine, that’s a crazy shift
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Just now, stormtracker said:
Well damn
Feels a little like January 2010 a bit. I lived in Arlington then, went from like pity flakes to 6” 24-36 before. I’m in Fredericksburg now, wonder what happens this time. Every model run im more and more invested
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1 minute ago, nj2va said:
Whoa NAM. Looks like DC will be the cutoff this run but EZF is approaching 0.75.”
Yeah, it upped amounts around EZF quite a bit
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1 minute ago, yoda said:
Just as an FYI for us... AKQ has gone WSWatch for the counties bordering the LWX southern zones (aka around EZF)
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wakefield VA 250 PM EST Sat Dec 8 2018 VAZ048-061-062-068-069-509>516-090400- /O.NEW.KAKQ.WS.A.0004.181209T1200Z-181210T0900Z/ Fluvanna-Cumberland-Goochland-Amelia-Powhatan-Western Louisa- Eastern Louisa-Western Hanover-Eastern Hanover- Western Chesterfield- Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)- Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)-Eastern Henrico- Including the cities of Bybee, Central Plains, Cunningham, Lake Monticello, Nahor, Palmyra, Troy, Angola, Guinea Mills, Hawk, Raines Tavern, Reeds, Stoddert, Goochland, Earls, Mannboro, Scotts Fork, Amelia Courthouse, Chula, Denaro, Jetersville, Fine Creek Mills, Flat Rock, Goodwins Store, Subletts, Worshams, Clayville, Genito, Louisa, Mineral, Ashland, Mechanicsville, Bon Air, Midlothian, Chesterfield, Chester, Colonial Heights, Richmond, and Sandston 250 PM EST Sat Dec 8 2018 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Wet snow, moderate to heavy at times will develop Sunday morning and continue through the day. The snow may mix with rain at times, especially closer to I-95, as temperatures rise above freezing. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 6 inches. Some light icing is possible Sunday night as temperatures drop below freezing. * WHERE...Portions of central Virginia including the Richmond Metro. * WHEN...From Sunday morning through late Sunday night.
Saw that, hoping we can get to advisory type stuff around EZF. 18z NAM looking ok so far.....
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Just now, nj2va said:
RIC 0.75”. EZF 0.25”. 0.1” is in southern PWC.
Wow, quite a bit North
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1 minute ago, nj2va said:
Hmm, Canadian triplets, UKMET, and JMA get measurable precip to DC. If the Euro comes in with the same, I may start believing we see some snow here out of this.
Yeah, waiting for the Euro to confirm this isn’t all fantasy. I don’t think it’s too far from a low end Advisory type deal in EZF, but still preparing for Heavy Flurries. Knowing how close we are is the toughest part of this whole tracking episode
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14 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:
Per the ncep site, .1” of precip line on the FV3 ends up a little S of DC. CHO somewhere in between .25-.5”, RIC .5”.
Do you have a pic?
January Medium/Long Range Discussion
in Mid Atlantic
Posted
There was a clipper on 1/8 that dropped 1-2" and then really nothing until 1/30-2/10 and after that snowfall was pretty much done. Epic winter all in about 3 weeks, hopefully our benchmark of right around 1/20 this year works out.