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lee59

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Everything posted by lee59

  1. lee59
    Latest GFS showing a foot for the metro area?
  2. lee59
    Snow lovers in that area are going to be real happy or real mad. Would not want to make that forecast.
  3. lee59
    The Philly area has not had an inch of snow in some 650 days. The models are showing areas some 15 miles south of Philly getting almost nothing with this storm and some 15 miles NW of Philly getting near a foot.
  4. lee59
    With such short distances between areas that get crushed and those that lose out, it should be an interesting storm to watch unfold. There may be a lot of disappointed people and or a lot of very happy people.
  5. lee59
    At this point in my area, I am expecting a good front end thumping and then a mix or change to sleet, drizzle, freezing rain and so on. Probably 6-10 inches.
  6. lee59
    Getting a little concerned about the rain/snow line in coastal areas.
  7. lee59
    Yea the strong high to the north should help create good gradient winds.
  8. lee59
    Ok. I'm just thinking a good Nor'easter has a barometric pressure dropping through the 990s to the 980s.
  9. lee59
    One thing that has me wondering, if this is a good nor'easter. Why do some models have the storm weakening as it moves off the coast.
  10. lee59
    I think so, also.
  11. lee59
    I wouldn't really call it a bust because the high snow totals were some 4-5 days out. If you get your hopes to high that far out, you will bust a lot. Even now there is still so much time to do most anything. We still have a good storm to track and the uncertainty is what makes it so interesting.
  12. lee59
    I think some front end decent snow totals are likely even with a change to rain at the coast.
  13. lee59
    I agree. There is no doubt the models have been looking good and it is fine to make predictions on sites like this but a little early when talking to hundreds of thousands or millions of people. After all a 50 mile move north or south with the storm can make a huge difference and were still some 4 or 5 days out.
  14. lee59
    Channel 4 NBC really going out on a limb. Already mentioning a foot of snow for city and surrounding area.
  15. lee59
    I would say one concern is that the high weakens some or moves further east, allowing the low to be more Northwest. Gfs latest run seems to be a little to far northwest for a big coastal snow. Wouldn't take much to change that.
  16. lee59
    I also like to hear your thoughts, knowledgeable and keeping things in perspective.
  17. lee59
    I'm just happy there is something ligit to track. To early to say for sure, who gets what.
  18. lee59
    Caribou has a very long winter. To long for me. We were so over due for snow less seasons like the last 2. NYC Central Park actually averaged some 5-6 inches more snow the last 30 year climate period (1990-2020) as compared to the previous period of 1960-1990. The slightly milder temperatures seem to have given our area more precipitation and in the winter that can mean more snow.
  19. lee59
    For the first time since early this morning, the wind has calmed down here.
  20. lee59
    1.04 inches of rain here. Davis weather station in Gilgo Beach and Long Beach (both south shore) reporting peak gusts of 61 and 59mph.
  21. lee59
    49mph wind gust here, .84 inch of rain.
  22. lee59
    Peak gust at my house now up to 41mph. Rainfall up to .60.
  23. lee59
    Southeast wind gusting to 33mph here.
  24. lee59
    .97 of an inch of rain here
  25. lee59
    23 was my low.
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