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lee59

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Posts posted by lee59

  1. For those who want real winter, start driving to Caribou Maine. :)
     
    Scattered snow showers, mainly after 8pm. Widespread blowing snow after 3am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around -8. Breezy, with a south wind 13 to 20 mph becoming west after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 33 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
    Friday
    Isolated snow showers before 8am. Widespread blowing snow. Mostly sunny and cold, with a temperature falling to around -16 by 5pm. Wind chill values as low as -44. Breezy, with a west wind 18 to 21 mph, with gusts as high as 36 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
    Friday Night
    Widespread blowing snow. Partly cloudy, with a low around -24. Wind chill values as low as -56. Windy, with a west wind 22 to 26 mph, with gusts as high as 45 mph.
    • Like 3
  2. This has really been the perfect storm for breaking records in NYC. First the snow record, just about everyone got a little snow in December but not Central Park, probably because of the heat island. Then the cold, which like turning on a switch, arrives just as January ends.

  3. 26 minutes ago, bluewave said:

    Impressive number of stations averaging near or over 40° in January. This is why there are so many stations close to the warmest January on record. So numerous +10s around the area.

     

    Data for January 1, 2023 through January 28, 2023
    Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
    State
    Name
    Station Type
    Mean Avg Temperature 
    NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 44.0
    NY NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 43.2
    NY MONTAUK AIRPORT WBAN 43.1
    NY LAGUARDIA AIRPORT WBAN 43.0
    NY FARMINGDALE REPUBLIC AP WBAN 42.3
    NJ HARRISON COOP 42.1
    NY BAITING HOLLOW COOP 41.9
    NY JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 41.8
    CT NEW HAVEN TWEED AP WBAN 41.6
    NY ORIENT POINT STATE PARK COOP 41.4
    NY ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP WBAN 41.3
    NY RIVERHEAD RESEARCH FARM COOP 41.3
    NJ TETERBORO AIRPORT WBAN 41.2
    NY SHIRLEY BROOKHAVEN AIRPORT WBAN 41.2
    NJ CALDWELL ESSEX COUNTY AP WBAN 41.0
    CT GROTON NEW LONDON AP WBAN 41.0
    CT IGOR I SIKORSKY MEMORIAL AIRPORT WBAN 39.9
    NY WESTCHESTER CO AP WBAN 39.9
    NY CENTERPORT COOP 39.8
    NY SYOSSET COOP 39.8
    NY WESTHAMPTON GABRESKI AP WBAN 39.7
    CT DANBURY MUNICIPAL AP WBAN 39.4
    NY BRIDGEHAMPTON COOP 39.4
    NY UPTON COOP - NWSFO NEW YORK COOP 39.0


     

    Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of Jan
    Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
    Rank
    Year
    Mean Avg Temperature 
    Missing Count
    1 2023 44.0 4
    2 1932 42.0 0
    3 1990 40.4 0
    4 1950 40.3 0
    5 1998 40.1 0
    6 2006 39.6 0
    7 2002 39.4 0
    8 1937 39.0 0
    9 1933 38.8 0
    10 2020 38.7 0

    I am currently at 40.6 for the month.

  4. 1 hour ago, Snowshack said:

    Nice little light snow shower on north shore of LI.   Colder surfaces already coated.  Might go unnoticed in a typical year but have face pressed against the window now.  

    I was hoping that would happen in Central Park but to warm. That would have been an unexpected surprise if they got .01 of an inch.

  5. 4 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

    We’ve also seen that we either have blockbusters or total bust winters, very few in between. Last year was an anomaly where I just about hit average on the nose but it was off one very big and one significant snow event. Climate change probably would reinforce the big snow or no patterns because of the warmer waters/more contrast fueling the blizzards and years like this fueling the massive SE ridge and constant warmth. The climate change fueled marine heatwaves will also change how Nino/Nina patterns develop because the hot western Pacific for example is enhancing the Nina background state. 

    Yeah that makes sense to me.

  6. 12 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

    Crazy stat to think about…. 
     

    From 1985 to 2019 there was only one winter we didn’t get enough snow in one event(2+ on pavement) to plow snow. That winter was 97-98 which was dominated by pac flow. 
     

    Since 2019 in a short 4 year span it potentially will be 2! 19/20 22/23 Climate here is changing, the thread the needle snow events have become a thing of the past 

      I agree the climate is getting more mild. However from 2009 -2019 NYC averaged almost 40 inches of snow per year. I think it was because of a pattern that had so many storms going near the benchmark. Now we are in a pattern that has inland cutters so it favors more toward the Great Lakes. Yes I feel  like our winters are becoming more mild but it is a gradual thing not a turn off the switch for tons of snow to no snow.

    • Like 5
    • Thanks 2
  7. 18 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

    Mountain regions there average 200" so I would think they'd get snow.

    But you know it's bad when you have to go to interior NNE in late January to find snow. 

     

    They average about 80 inches per year and as you mention the nearby mountains get way more. Yes this has been a pathetic winter in our area.

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