lee59

I've had .03 since July 1, I guess I shouldn't complain.

No rain to speak of here, the past few weeks and tonight looks no different.

Newark has been close to 100 numerous times this year. In my area it just has not been a very hot summer.

Currently:

Central Park 88

White Plains 85

Trenton 90

Newark 97

Morristown 91

Missed all the rain yesterday and does not look to promising in near future.

I have had .03 of an inch of rain the past 11 days.

2 hours ago, Ed, snow and hurricane fan said:

Been 40 years since I lived in Massapequa, most LILCO lines were above ground on poles.  Have they buried some, or would a big hurricane still knock out power for potentially millions for a week or more?

Mostly above ground

Long Island is way overdue for a land falling hurricane. Although we have been affected by numerous tropical systems, including the devastating Sandy, there has not been a direct hit since Gloria in 1985.

I could use some rain.

Still Tropical storm warnings up along the Carolina coast, I just don't see why. The radar shows nothing more than scattered showers and I can't find any wind reports of near Tropical storm force. Am I missing something.

14 minutes ago, Rjay said:

I think it's "microclimate stuff" much like interior Queens and BK but what do I know.  

Yea I think it is and I think it may be getting more extreme with time.

2 hours ago, bluewave said:

Newark just had a top 3 warmest July 1st. If past analogs work out, then July 1st will turn out to the warmest day of the month. 5 out of the past 6 years with a 98° to 100° on the 1st had the warmest day of a July on the 1st. Models are hinting at frontloaded warmth this month as the ridge pulls back to the west in Mid-July.
 

Data for July 1 - NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Date	Max Temperature	Warmest Day of Month
1963-07-01	100	July 1st
2022-07-01	99	?
1964-07-01	99	July 1st
2018-07-01	98	July 1st
2012-07-01	98	July 18th
1968-07-01	98	July 1st
1945-07-01	98	July 1st

Gradual ridge pull back to the west  into Mid-July 

 

 

That urban area of New Jersey seems to rival anywhere on the east coast, when it comes to summer heat.

Just checked coastal locations and buoys offshore and the highest I found was 23 knots. Has anyone found any buoy locations with 40mph sustained winds?

Currently

D.C. 89

Baltimore 91

Philly 91

Hartford 90

Central Park 88

Newark 98

2 hours ago, donsutherland1 said:

New York City is concluding a somewhat cooler than normal June, though much of the region saw near or somewhat above normal temperatures. In Central Park, the mean temperature was 71.4°, which was 0.6° below normal.

Tomorrow will likely be the hottest day of the week. Many locations will see temperatures top out in the lower and perhaps middle 90s. Parts of the region could even experience a heatwave from tomorrow through Saturday.

Afterward, it will be somewhat cooler. The first 10 days of July could see near normal readings overall in the Northeast. However, the month will likely wind up somewhat warmer than normal.

Galveston is now wrapping up its third consecutive record warm month. The last time that happened was June-September 2020 in Oracle, AZ and Tucson. Anchorage is also concluding its first June on record where the high temperature reached or exceeded 60° on all 30 days.

During June 16-20, the MJO has been in Phase 1 at an amplitude of 1.500 or above. Of the six cases that saw such an outcome during June 15-25 (1988, 2003, 2010, 2012, 2017 and 2020), four had a warmer than normal July, one was somewhat cooler than normal and one was cooler than normal.

The ECMWF seasonal forecast indicates that the summer will be warmer than normal throughout the region and across much of North America. Based on how the pattern has been evolving during the spring transition to summer, it is more likely than not that the warmest anomalies of the summer will likely occur in July and August with June being the coolest of the three months in the Northeast. The latest ECMWF monthly forecast indicates that July will be warmer than June relative to normal and that August will be the warmest summer month relative to normal.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -1.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.6°C for the week centered around June 22. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -1.30°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.82°C. La Niña conditions will likely persist through the summer.

The SOI was +24.39 today. The old daily record was +21.58 in 2009)

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.487 today.

On June 28 the MJO was in Phase 3 at an amplitude of 1.556 (RMM). The June 27-adjusted amplitude was 1.921 (RMM).

 

Yes most of the area was very close to normal, the exception Newark which is about 1.6 degrees above normal.

I don't think Newark temperatures are wrong. I think they just represent the densely populated NYC and immediate surrounding areas like Newark that are full of concrete and chemical plants and tons of traffic etc. Central Park is also not wrong, it represents temperatures in parks even if there in NYC. I think we can add Newark and Central Park and divide by 2. That may represent most of the area.

It just depends how you look at it. You could have the  highest temperature of all time but if first was reached 6 different years, you would then be the 7th highest year even though you would have the second highest actual temperature.

Down to a pleasant 60 degrees this morning.

Temperatures at LaGuardia, kennedy, Islip, Bridgeport, Caldwell, Central Park all pretty much normal so far this month. They are either less than a degree above or below normal. The only outlier is Newark which is 2 degrees above normal.

53 last night, now 70.

Clouds have finally moved in here.

Temperature went nowhere since this morning, actually dropped a degree or two, 67 now. Going to be a very chilly night.

17 minutes ago, the_other_guy said:

That is so interesting! How much did it warm up? 

I think what happens is before the frontal passage the wind is more off the water, the front moves thru, the wind switches to more northerly and you get the warm flow off the land.

Cooler air slowly moving in, 68 degrees here.

91 was my high.

Heavy rain weakened as it approached Long Island, .14 of an inch of rain here.