lee59

.89 here

.02 here so far.

1 hour ago, bluewave said:

This California Coast weather is much nicer than the top 5 warmest June 1st through July 15th that much of the Northeast just experienced. This was a first for such a strong El Niño.

All our other developing super El Niños were much cooler. So a continuation of the very warm 2020s summer -PDO/+AMO atmospheric pattern even with such a strong El Niño. 

This was also the first time the area had 104° to 106° heat during such a strong developing El Niño at any point in the summer. 

Most other years with such high maximum temperatures were La Ninas.

 

Developing super El Niño June 1 to July 15 average temperature

EWR

2026….77.0°

2023….74.8°

2015…..73.8°

1997…..73.2°

1982….70.6°

1972….71.0°

HPN

2026….72.6°

2023….70.4°

2015….69.4°

1997…..70.8°

1982….68.5°

1972….66.8°

ISP

2026….72.8°

2023…70.8°

2015…70.3°

1997….70.3°

1982…66.7°

1972…66.7°

 

Data for June 1, 2026 through July 24, 2026
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

NJ	HARRISON	COOP	106
NJ	NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP	WBAN	105
NY	LAGUARDIA AIRPORT	WBAN	104
NY	PORT AUTH DOWNTN MANHATTAN WALL ST HEL	ICAO	103
NY	FARMINGDALE REPUBLIC AP	WBAN	102
NY	JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT	WBAN	102
NJ	CALDWELL ESSEX COUNTY AP	WBAN	102
NJ	TETERBORO AIRPORT	COOP	101
NY	MONTGOMERY ORANGE COUNTY AP	WBAN	101
NY	CENTERPORT	COOP	101
NY	BAITING HOLLOW	COOP	101
NJ	TETERBORO AIRPORT	WBAN	101

 

Data for June 1, 2023 through August 31, 2023
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

NJ	HARRISON	COOP	97
NJ	NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP	WBAN	96
NJ	CANOE BROOK	COOP	96
NJ	CALDWELL ESSEX COUNTY AP	WBAN	96
NY	WEST POINT	COOP	95
NY	LAGUARDIA AIRPORT	WBAN	95

 

Data for June 1, 2015 through August 31, 2015
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

NJ	CRANFORD	COOP	100
NJ	NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP	WBAN	98
NJ	HARRISON	COOP	98
NJ	TETERBORO AIRPORT	WBAN	98
NJ	TETERBORO AIRPORT	COOP	98
NJ	CANOE BROOK	COOP	96

 

Data for June 1, 1997 through August 31, 1997
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

NJ	NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP	WBAN	101
NJ	CANOE BROOK	COOP	101
NJ	TETERBORO AIRPORT	WBAN	101
NJ	CRANFORD	COOP	100
NY	RIVERHEAD RESEARCH FARM	COOP	100

 

Data for June 1, 1982 through August 31, 1982
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

NY	MIDDLETOWN 2 NW	COOP	102
NJ	WANAQUE RAYMOND DAM	COOP	101
NY	DOBBS FERRY-ARDSLEY	COOP	100
NJ	NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP	WBAN	100

 

Data for June 1, 1972 through August 31, 1972
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

NY	JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT	WBAN	100
NY	NEW YORK LAUREL HILL	COOP	98
NJ	PATERSON	COOP	97
NJ	WANAQUE RAYMOND DAM	COOP	97
NY	WEST POINT	COOP	97
NJ	JERSEY CITY	COOP	96
NJ	NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP	WBAN	96

 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Jan through Dec All-time maximum temperatures 
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

1	2011	108	0
2	2026	105	161
-	2001	105	0
-	1993	105	0
-	1966	105	0
-	1953	105	0
-	1949	105	0
-	1918	105	0
3	2012	104	0
-	1995	104	0
-	1936	104	0

 

 

 

 

 

That extreme heat was brutal, thank goodness we had so many near or even below normal days between those heat waves. I think it was the first time I had 2 consecutive above 100 degree days. After all that heat most places should end up with a near normal temperature in July, would not have expected that.

Nice sleeping weather for late July. 59 here this morning but near 50 and even some 40s north and west.

47 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

A cooler regime, less smoky regime has settled into the region just in time for the World Cup final. The pleasant temperature regime will continue for an extended period of time. Highs will generally reach the upper 70s and lower 80s through the week into the start of the weekend.

Showers and thunderstorms are possible Tuesday night and Wednesday. Some areas could pick up heavy downpours.

The long-term outlook for the remainder of July has swung to near normal or even somewhat cooler than normal on the guidance.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.8°C for the week centered around July 1. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.80°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.52°C. The ongoing strong El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer.

The SOI was -27.15 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.800 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 55% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 77.0° (0.5° below normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 0.5° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

Considering those 100 degree days, it is a little surprising the month may end up near normal.

28 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

Bertha soon to be

 

 A few days ago this system was predicted to go east across Florida and impact the southeast. Quite a change

1.93 so far here

1.67 inches of rain here

1 hour ago, bluewave said:

NYC needs to pick up 2.77” by the end of July to have their first average to above precipitation month since May 2025.

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=NYC&product=CLM&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

Monthly Total Precipitation for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

2026	2.70	2.60	3.60	2.48	3.05	3.39	1.83	M	M	M	M	M	19.65
2025	0.61	2.60	5.52	3.25	6.58	2.46	4.03	2.21	2.76	4.08	2.09	3.38	39.57
2024	5.28	2.05	9.06	3.47	4.11	1.71	4.20	7.02	1.58	0.01	3.35	4.53	46.37

I suppose we were due for this. Over the past 50 or 60 years precipitation has increased quite a bit. That 46 inches in 2024 would have been above normal some 50 years ago.

.15 yesterday evening and 2.89 so far today. Storm rain total here 3.04

0.0 my rain so far for the last 2 days

I was hoping for some rain, maybe later.

101.9 here. 

At Jones Beach today. Had to get to the boardwalk to get any real relieve. Car thermometer close to 100 in the parking lot.

101.5 my high

Still a very  hot 93 degrees at Newark. Incredible how the heat can just linger in that area.

At Massapequa Park tonight for fireworks, you would never know there was a heatwave, very comfortable night.

89.8 my high yesterday and 89.9 today, .40 inch of rain last night with a thunderstorm here, much needed.

Looks like forecast highs have come down a tad. We will see.

8 hours ago, bluewave said:

The LI crew would really be complaining if this was a snowstorm.

 

We never had heavy rain just a prolonged period of on and off light rain, occasionally moderate.

Between yesterday and today.45 inch of rain here, light rain still falling.

.18 inch of much needed rain here last night.

96 here, by far my hottest day this season.

1 hour ago, eco94 said:

are we going to get any meaningful rain whatsoever on western long island in the next 3 days?

I am watering my front lawn, it just seems rain falls apart in the spring and summer as it moves east across NYC toward Long Island.

.06 here, very disapointing