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Carvers Gap

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Everything posted by Carvers Gap

  1. In fact, this could be a very different run of the 12z Euro.
  2. 12z Euro presses the high into place by 111. This thing isn't coming north.
  3. Not a major cutter. Significant changes w/ surface pressure anomalies. Much colder run, and less punch through middle TN. TRI doesn't even get above freezing during the event. 6-10 degrees colder over much of E TN. Major move.
  4. The 12z AIFS just moved off its mark. Much stronger high presence.
  5. Then AIFS might be just a bit different.....
  6. I feel like the shields are about to go up in KPT, @Holston_River_Rambler.
  7. Indeed. The GFS and 6z AIFS have the same deal. And very, very cold temps w/ that second one.
  8. I hope they aren't riding w/ the lowest verification score, right? I think the GFS is about to be badly wrong.
  9. FWIW, the 12z GFS is absolutely burying your area.
  10. Maybe we better start looking at the QPF trends? I have to think a 1040+ hp sitting to the north of this is a big problem, especially since it is well west of the Apps into the Midwest or plains.
  11. The NBM ticking up is concerning on a lot of levels.
  12. That is telling. Takes how long to include the 12z data?
  13. What is crazy is the UKMET trended strongly towards the slider camp. The GEM trended strongly towards the AIFS camp. They almost swapped spots. The AIGFS trended strongly towards the slider camp.
  14. Does that UKMET accumulation map include ice? That map is insanity.
  15. The 12z UKMET absolutely buries most of the forum.
  16. It was a strong cutter at 0z. Did it also trend south?
  17. The bad thing about the CMC is it follows that ice w/ near record cold.
  18. 19 degrees colder in Chattanooga at 132 compared to 6z for the AIGFS and 15 degrees colder at TRI.
  19. Oh dang. The 12z AIGFS did correct southward by quite a bit.
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