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87storms

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Posts posted by 87storms

  1. Grade A heat wave with vitamin loaded humidity levels appears to be on its last leg. I still got my outdoor activities in, but definitely in smaller doses. Today felt spicy in the sun…no storms around here, though I have seen some “heat lightning”.

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  2. On 6/23/2025 at 10:43 AM, Maestrobjwa said:

    @87storms Was that you who wished for Summer to get here and didn't enjoy the cool last month? If so, here ya go! Lol

    That would probably be me lol.  It's been spicy the last couple days, but I still prefer this over 45 and cloudy (in doses).  But yea, this is at minimum a Tier 2 heat wave...the humidity has seemingly included every nearby body of water.

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  3. 21 hours ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

    The odds of having no hits through 8 innings is probably 1/450 by itself. Those other variables included, it's probably a 1/2000 type occurrence or something. 

    I did some of the math for fun.  Not including all the extraneous variables and keeping it simple (assuming independence, etc.), the odds of the Astros getting a no hitter through 7 innings alone (which is I think what happened) is the product of the probabilities of each of their pitchers involved getting an out raised to the number of outs each of them pitched. Looks like there were 6 Astros pitchers involved since the 3rd inning and 21 outs, so searching their career IP and H stats (which obviously includes stats from that game to now) the probability that they would combine to get a no hitter through 7 innings would be roughly 0.2%.  Or something like that.

  4. Thought I had a bunch of ticks on my car yesterday after parking at Gambrill, but I think they're actually Weevils.  I didn't know that was even a thing.  This is gonna be one of those summers where the bugs are out and having a good ol' time.

  5. That storm around 2am was in a different tier.  Angry, growling thunder and lightning.  Definitely one of the more electrical storms I've seen since moving to Frederick.  We really don't need any more rain right now in this area and, frankly, I need my trails back so I can shed a few lbs lol.

    Looks like even more activity rolling in.  Just got a shoot around session in and it is indeed a supreme level of humidity outside.

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    • 100% 1
  6. That line that I thought would not hold is slamming the back of the house right now. The lightning on it alone is intense. Wind driven rain. 

    lol it’s an absolute fireworks display rn
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  7. Well that was slightly anticlimactic. Looked all robust rolling in only to do the split that my area is known for. Did pick up .22” so far but all the fury of what was coming in the energy shifted to my North with a new storm to my South near Point of Rocks. 

    Nearby rain gauges are over 0.5” here, but I think I just missed the lightning core. The peaks and valleys really do adjust systems on approach here. Can never really tell what kind of storm we’re getting until gametime.
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  8. Just took the trash out and wow the lightning. Looks like a crazy storm blowing in. 

    Nothing severe here, but the creeks will definitely be higher tomorrow morning. Healthy nighttime storm.
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  9. Feels tropical outside and I’m interested in that line of activity moving towards Hagerstown, though it’s got a bumpy road ahead before it makes it to Frederick.

  10. I can sense the warm front is closer than yesterday but we are experts at cad, so it may take some time to erode. Hopefully by mid afternoon there’ll be peaks of sun up this way.

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