Mailman

Advisory is up. OHZ039>041-048>050-057>059-068-069-PAZ007>009-013>016-020>023-029- 031-073-075-WVZ001>004-012-021-509-070400- /O.NEW.KPBZ.WW.Y.0005.200207T0500Z-200207T1800Z/ Tuscarawas-Carroll-Columbiana-Coshocton-Harrison-Jefferson OH- Muskingum-Guernsey-Belmont-Noble-Monroe-Mercer-Venango-Forest- Lawrence-Butler-Clarion-Jefferson PA-Beaver-Allegheny-Armstrong- Indiana-Washington-Greene-Westmoreland-Fayette-Hancock-Brooke- Ohio-Marshall-Wetzel-Marion-Monongalia- Including the cities of New Philadelphia, Dover, Carrollton, Malvern, East Liverpool, Salem, Columbiana, Coshocton, Cadiz, Steubenville, Zanesville, Cambridge, Martins Ferry, St. Clairsville, Caldwell, Woodsfield, Sharon, Hermitage, Grove City, Oil City, Franklin, Tionesta, New Castle, Ellwood City, Butler, Clarion, Punxsutawney, Brookville, Aliquippa, Beaver Falls, Ambridge, Monaca, Pittsburgh Metro Area, Kittanning, Ford City, Indiana, Washington, Canonsburg, Waynesburg, Murrysville, Greensburg, New Kensington, Lower Burrell, Latrobe, Monessen, Uniontown, Weirton, Follansbee, Wellsburg, Wheeling, Moundsville, New Martinsville, Fairmont, and Morgantown 258 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2020 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Rain changing quickly to snow, with a period of heavy snow around the morning commute. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches. * WHERE...Portions of northwest, southwest and western Pennsylvania, east central Ohio and northern and the northern panhandle of West Virginia. * WHEN...From midnight tonight to 1 PM EST Friday. Heaviest snow will fall between 4 am and 9am. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute.

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... Precipitation, mainly falling as rain, will continue through the evening though some transition to snow is already occurring as noted by northeast OH/northwestern PA web-cameras and surface observations. Northwest flow has kept temperatures cooler than anticipated over much of the region, which will in turn allow for the cool down to happen a bit quicker overnight. This could have implications on the changeover to snow. The upper trough will lift and take on a slight negative tilt as it interacts with northern stream energy. With additional support from a coupled jet and strengthening cold advection, there appears to be a window where we could see rather efficient snowfall rates toward morning. Considering the time frame, during the morning commute, and dynamics that are present, think the headlines may be appropriate given potential impacts.

High res NAM is on steroids.

GFS seems to be getting better for late week. Needs some support, however.

Looks like we might be in for a long week of tracking.

Saturday-Sunday.

Different outputs on the 12z Euro. Pivotal shows rain/zr at 126h. WxBell shows the white stuff at 126h. What's it gonna be?

Well.. if there's a model you want to be by itself on a good solution, it's the Euro.

Euro is interesting for next weekend. Certainly an improvement.

12z Euro coming in with the white stuff on Tuesday. Looking like a change-over, though.

I see we got NAM'd for tomorrow.

Euro giving us something to track a week out.

Just a dusting here.

KDKA Winter Forecast, if you're into that sort of thing... https://pittsburgh.cbslocal.com/2019/11/04/meteorologist-ray-petelin-winter-weather-forecast-2019-2020/

Seems as though PivotalWeather is offering Euro maps for nothing. Wonder how long that'll last. I see a lot of below normal temps coming in the next couple weeks. Hope it isn't all for nothing in November.

We haven't even had a nice size storm to track within like 96 hours. lol. How bad is that?

I had 19" on the ground at one time here within the last 12 months. I'm not going to complain (well, at least try not to) for a little while.

I sure would like to see some snow before the end of the year. That'd be really nice. Everyone keeps asking me when it's going to snow. I usually just say, "Sometime before April."

What's the record for most consecutive days with measurable precipitation? This summer has been awful. Bring on winter!!!

I'd like to say that I'm surprised, but I most certainly am not.