cbmclean

10 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

We were in that boat last month when everyone else was being flooded. Thankfully the tables turned here and we’re at 5.23” for july with half a month to go 

I was thinking of how you and I have seemingly switched places for July vs June.  It hasn't been super dry.. yet: sitting at 1.57" for the month and we're still living off the good vibes of our 10.00" June.

RAH has really cut my POPs for the upcoming week.  Just yesterday it was 40 - 60% most of the week; now it's mostly ~30%.  I missed out on the good stuff last week so I'm feeling a little bit of disquiet as we go into the dog days of summer.

Some beautiful cells blossoming between Raleigh and here.  Unfortunately they do not appear to be moving much at all.

Last night I was fringed to the Northwest, tonight it looks like I'm going to get fringed to the Southeast.

1 hour ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Yesterday was one of the more impressive non-tropical summertime rainfalls we’ve had in a long time from a coverage perspective. Pretty much every location from the triad through the Triangle picked up at least 1.5” of rain and many areas had 2-3” obviously with some totals much higher than that 

The exception was S and E of the I-95 corridor; the storms just couldn't make much progress past there.  I got brushed with 0.17".  Hoping for more today (although hoping the places which have been inundated stay dry) 

9 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

We’ve picked up more rain in the last hour and a half than we received through the entire month of June 

A big red blob parked over Raleigh, I think Crabtree will be flooded tonight.

1 hour ago, WinstonSalemArlington said:

We must stay weather-aware throughout the Mid-Atlantic today, especially North Carolina and Virginia. We are ripe for dangerous flooding.

Indeed.  In the RAH AFD I saw mention of slow-moving downpours; could be very problematic if it happens over the areas that just got deluged.

That sharp westward jog has lead to us only netting a pedestrian 0.60" here in Wilson.

Visiting family in Hope Mills, not really that bad yesterday.  Skies were only partly cloudy in the afternoon, but they blocked a lot of the direct sunlight and humidity was not bad at all.  A far cry from last year 

0.48" in north Wilson

5 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

 

Ouch.

2 hours ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Despite 80-90% rain chances last night we’re sitting at 0.00” storm total here for the front

Looks like you should have gotten some goods in the last hour or so?

16 hours ago, NorthHillsWx said:

It’s been a wet month for the state my house has been about the only rain hole there has been. Honestly we haven’t had a heavy rain this month. Thankfully first couple weeks provided consistent rains 

We all know the feeling.  I think it's more frustrating to miss out when others are cashing in, then it is when everybody is dry.  The same dynamic works with snow; 2" feels wonderful when everybody is getting it (or less), but it's maddening with other nearby are getting 4" or 6".  Your luck will turn and the lucky ones this month might be back in the dust bowl.  

Got a token 0.02 today but it does put me at exactly 10.00" for the month, with almost all of it coming since the 16th.

Another 0.92" last night, now at 1.57" for the week and 9.98" for the month.

Picked up 0.65, and cooled down to 71.7!!

21 minutes ago, olafminesaw said:

Also this mornings sounding smashed the all time record for ML cape for the 12z soundings data set at GSO: 3,632 vs the old record of 3,588 set in 1983. In fact only four soundings have ever exceeded 3,000

Cells already starting to pop up between Raleigh and Rocky Mount.  Anything that breaks through the CINH will have plenty of fuel today.

3 hours ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Topped out at 98.6 which was probably only limited by cloud cover. Still managed a heat index of 114 which was the second highest I’ve ever recorded here, slightly behind last year 

I topped out at exactly 97.9 today held down by the cloud cover.  Got  to 98.6.  My PWS registered a DP of 84.9 ° at 3:00 PM today, with a HI of 127.6.  That seems suspect but perhaps not completely out of the realm of possibility given that our soil is still quite moist from the 8+ inches of rain we got last week.

Edit: Looking at the NWS site, it appears RWI was "only" measuring a DP of 73 ° at 2:53 PM so my 84.9 readings seems unrealistic.  Still, it's dang humid.

8 hours ago, NorthHillsWx said:

As of 2:20 pm we have cracked 100 at my house. Currently 99.9 but we hit 100.1 a short time ago. Likely to max out a bit higher given it’s only 2:30. RDU record today was 99 I’m sure that gets erased 

Surprisingly RDU "only" hit 100 today, which tied the record.

OK, what's the over/under for the "RDU offset" for this week's heatwave?  I have +3 °F.  I am thinking it won't be quite as bad as last year's flash drought as we have been a bit moist going into it. 

That 8.22" last week increased my YTD total by more than 50%!  What was a very dry year statistically is now on track at 24.30".  Just got back from visiting the wife's family in western PA and all the plants look lush.  We'll see how they fare after a week of big heat.  

Interestingly, their region of western PA has had almost no summer so far, with constant rain and cool temps.  A switch has just flipped though, as it launched into 80's yesterday.  They will be in the upper 80s to 90 next week with high humidity, which is very unusual for them.  Although I enjoy visiting them I was anxious to escape before the heat as central air is almost unknown up there, and most of the bedrooms are upstairs.  It can be very uncomfortable sleeping at night even in normal weather.

Got 1.40" yesterday, for a weekly total of 8.22"!  Soil is at least well loaded with moisture to prepare for the heat.

Got another 0.85" this afternoon for exactly 4.00" today.  6.76" two day total.

Apparently my whining about cells missing all month was noted.  Had 2.76" when I went to bed last night.  Then an additional 3.15" overnight for an event total of 5.91".  I declare uncle.

Finally getting some of the goods.  Have picked up 1.37" which is more than 7x what I had month-to-date combined.  Would love to have more tomorrow and Tuesday to stock up the soil before the big heat arrives.

Edit: Mother Nature appears to be trying to make up for all the cells that have veered to the north/east/south/west, split apart, or mysteriously died in the last two weeks: up to 2.42" and still coming down.