jm1220

Just now, ILoveWinter said:

Is it supposed to slow down? At this rate it could make it to the City a bit earlier than expected which I think was around 8PM.

Not likely. Models are pretty insistent that it makes it to NYC by 6pm or so. It’ll probably start through LI by mid afternoon. 

13 minutes ago, Rmine1 said:

Timing on the BDF for LI? It’s flat out stifling right now. Temp 88

Bangor, ME reporting 52 with light rain. Jealous 

You can see the progress of the front on Boston radar as a skinny green line progressing SW. Looks like it’s about to go through Providence and it’s making good headway SW. It’ll probably be to NYC by the evening but not in time for us not to get into the 90s today. 

Thunder here. My mom told me it absolutely poured in Long Beach. 

11 hours ago, bluewave said:

Unusual amount of amplitude to our blocking and MJO waves heading into early June. So we get a few days in the 90s followed by back door cold fronts with high pressure building into New England. Record SE Canada block for May has been pumping the high pressure over New England.

 

 

Not to beat the dead horse once more but if only we could buy blocking like what's upcoming in Feb. The Euro for 6/4 has it in a picture perfect position. But now it's only good for 3-5 days probably of more easterly flow garbage. 

Brief 5 second shower here. About what I expected. 

2 hours ago, bluewave said:

Memorial Day may make a run on 90° in the usual warm spots.

And as usual it’s probably too cool in much of NYC/N Shore unless there’s a strong onshore flow. We hit low 90s up here last weekend which was above any model I saw and it’s a consistent theme. 

8 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

But what about for our area, are they still warmer than normal for this time of year?  When do we typically see 60 degree sea surface temps?

But in terms of what effects it has on coastal areas, they wouldn't have any effect if we had a land breeze correct?  

Land breezes cause upwelling and cooler water. Onshore winds suppress it and warm the water faster.

93 here in Huntington, torrid. 

20 minutes ago, Cfa said:

My high of 92 came at 2:39, temp was rising right up until the sea breeze came. Probably could’ve touched 93-94 without it.

Models were overdone (other than the GFS maybe) as usual with how fast/cool the sea breeze would make the N Shore. I’ve found that to be the case many times since I moved to Huntington. 

1 hour ago, CIK62 said:

For  Liberty Bell:       Compromise at 1:15pm.

Seemed like the sea breeze battle line was between the Southern State and Sunrise Highway for a while in Nassau/W Suffolk. Today it might surge north earlier? 

30 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

damn you missed the heat party.  Were you keeping track of your car thermometer.....when did the big drop in temp occur?  Were you south of Sunrise Hwy when it happened?

Seemed like it was between the Southern State and Sunrise Highway that the big drop happened. I didn’t mind leaving my place to come down here, it felt atrocious there. August like. 

3 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

What time did you get to LB JM?

 

An hour or so ago. 

3 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

I hate that @%^& sea breeze.  The ocean is way cooler than normal, likely because of the cold spring we've had until now.  At least it hit 90 here at 1:15 before the sea breeze kicked in.  What was your high?

Another chance at 90 tomorrow?

 

In Huntington where I was, probably 91-92. My car in the shade said 90 when I left, said 68 when I got here. 

I’m in Long Beach now and as you might expect, waaay cooler. Temp around 70. Surprisingly the seabreeze isn’t that strong. Was expecting an Ambrose Jet on a day like today. Maybe that’ll be later. 

First 90 here. 

S Nassau getting rocked pretty good. Line is bowing out and looks like some 50mph gusts based on the velocity scans.

43 minutes ago, Rmine1 said:

Just what so many don’t need with energy prices through the roof. Luckily I’m directly on the water on south shore LI 

Eventually with enough onshore wind days building up the water temps, the seabreeze won’t cool it down after another month or so. It’ll keep temps down a little but pump the humidity up. So if anything it might feel hotter near the shore vs inland because of the higher dew points which are becoming much more common the last few summers. 

24 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Let’s start pumping water temps too

These strong southerly flow days will do that quick. There’ll likely be an Ambrose Jet with 30+ mph gusts with that kind of contrast and cool temps on the south shore. Like two different worlds vs. Newark. 

6 hours ago, bluewave said:

Tricky temperature forecast for Saturday. Euro is cooler with more clouds and a strong onshore flow. Has low 90s west of the NJ Turnpike. The GEM is much warmer with upper 90s for Central NJ. The Euro and GEM agree on much cooler highs from NYC to Long Island with a strong sea breezes in those areas. 
 

 

The south shore would likely get stuck in the 60s to maybe low 70s but I doubt that if NJ has widespread 90s that NYC/the north shore wouldn’t even make it to 80. There would probably be low to mid 80s for highs here before the sea breeze knocks it down. 

15 minutes ago, Cfa said:

Lol @ the intensity just offshore east of LI. I hate it here.

If you're a big severe fan this isn't the place for you. And even if so this isn't our time of year. Water is still too cold. Our chance today would've been if a big line developed over PA and plowed through before the maritime influence could kill it off. 

13 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Delightful evening out here. 1 min rain shower earlier 

I had two 1 min rain showers. I win.

Our time will come later in the summer after the ocean warms up further. We usually score at least once per summer on the sea breeze front T-storms too. 

One thing for sure, temps are outperforming even with all the clouds and onshore flow. Mid to high 70s once again. 

3 hours ago, SnoSki14 said:

Heat is coming and storms as well. 

Monday looks interesting. 90s after the 20th. 

If we can keep winds from a westerly direction late week we should be off to the races. Probably mid 90s in the hotter areas given how hot the source region is. But we need the ridge to make a good push east or the threat of the back door front will be around. If the trough keeps getting stuck over the Maritimes you can never count on extended warmth this time of year. But two straight weeks pretty much of easterly winds have to come to an end. Right?  

3 hours ago, psv88 said:

the worst part is that its in the 80s north and west of us!

Gotta love the perma-Nina. 

This is always good to improve the mood on a day like today.  Although I missed it by living in Austin, TX at the time.