jm1220

93 here in Huntington, torrid. 

20 minutes ago, Cfa said:

My high of 92 came at 2:39, temp was rising right up until the sea breeze came. Probably could’ve touched 93-94 without it.

Models were overdone (other than the GFS maybe) as usual with how fast/cool the sea breeze would make the N Shore. I’ve found that to be the case many times since I moved to Huntington. 

1 hour ago, CIK62 said:

For  Liberty Bell:       Compromise at 1:15pm.

Seemed like the sea breeze battle line was between the Southern State and Sunrise Highway for a while in Nassau/W Suffolk. Today it might surge north earlier? 

30 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

damn you missed the heat party.  Were you keeping track of your car thermometer.....when did the big drop in temp occur?  Were you south of Sunrise Hwy when it happened?

Seemed like it was between the Southern State and Sunrise Highway that the big drop happened. I didn’t mind leaving my place to come down here, it felt atrocious there. August like. 

3 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

What time did you get to LB JM?

 

An hour or so ago. 

3 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

I hate that @%^& sea breeze.  The ocean is way cooler than normal, likely because of the cold spring we've had until now.  At least it hit 90 here at 1:15 before the sea breeze kicked in.  What was your high?

Another chance at 90 tomorrow?

 

In Huntington where I was, probably 91-92. My car in the shade said 90 when I left, said 68 when I got here. 

I’m in Long Beach now and as you might expect, waaay cooler. Temp around 70. Surprisingly the seabreeze isn’t that strong. Was expecting an Ambrose Jet on a day like today. Maybe that’ll be later. 

First 90 here. 

S Nassau getting rocked pretty good. Line is bowing out and looks like some 50mph gusts based on the velocity scans.

43 minutes ago, Rmine1 said:

Just what so many don’t need with energy prices through the roof. Luckily I’m directly on the water on south shore LI 

Eventually with enough onshore wind days building up the water temps, the seabreeze won’t cool it down after another month or so. It’ll keep temps down a little but pump the humidity up. So if anything it might feel hotter near the shore vs inland because of the higher dew points which are becoming much more common the last few summers. 

24 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Let’s start pumping water temps too

These strong southerly flow days will do that quick. There’ll likely be an Ambrose Jet with 30+ mph gusts with that kind of contrast and cool temps on the south shore. Like two different worlds vs. Newark. 

6 hours ago, bluewave said:

Tricky temperature forecast for Saturday. Euro is cooler with more clouds and a strong onshore flow. Has low 90s west of the NJ Turnpike. The GEM is much warmer with upper 90s for Central NJ. The Euro and GEM agree on much cooler highs from NYC to Long Island with a strong sea breezes in those areas. 
 

 

The south shore would likely get stuck in the 60s to maybe low 70s but I doubt that if NJ has widespread 90s that NYC/the north shore wouldn’t even make it to 80. There would probably be low to mid 80s for highs here before the sea breeze knocks it down. 

15 minutes ago, Cfa said:

Lol @ the intensity just offshore east of LI. I hate it here.

If you're a big severe fan this isn't the place for you. And even if so this isn't our time of year. Water is still too cold. Our chance today would've been if a big line developed over PA and plowed through before the maritime influence could kill it off. 

13 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Delightful evening out here. 1 min rain shower earlier 

I had two 1 min rain showers. I win.

Our time will come later in the summer after the ocean warms up further. We usually score at least once per summer on the sea breeze front T-storms too. 

One thing for sure, temps are outperforming even with all the clouds and onshore flow. Mid to high 70s once again. 

3 hours ago, SnoSki14 said:

Heat is coming and storms as well. 

Monday looks interesting. 90s after the 20th. 

If we can keep winds from a westerly direction late week we should be off to the races. Probably mid 90s in the hotter areas given how hot the source region is. But we need the ridge to make a good push east or the threat of the back door front will be around. If the trough keeps getting stuck over the Maritimes you can never count on extended warmth this time of year. But two straight weeks pretty much of easterly winds have to come to an end. Right?  

3 hours ago, psv88 said:

the worst part is that its in the 80s north and west of us!

Gotta love the perma-Nina. 

This is always good to improve the mood on a day like today.  Although I missed it by living in Austin, TX at the time.  

1 hour ago, bluewave said:

Sunday looks like low clouds and drizzle near the coast with a sunny day just to our NW.

 

 

Woo-freaking-hoo.  

Just now, LibertyBell said:

Would have been such a nice profile for a HECS if this was February lol

Long duration, high winds and heavy snow.  24-30 inches easily.  Maybe a PD2 type storm?

 

Yep, this would be a NYC blockbuster if it could've been a few months ago. We already have the mid-storm bust proclamations.  

This is how the biggest snowstorms in NYC happen-massive wall of moisture that we're on the right side of and winning the Russian Roulette game vs. sharp confluence and slow moving. This will be a 24 hour rain event and great for the water table. We need to add that up for the inevitable LI dry summer period. 

35 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

but at least the rain will end by Sunday morning so no more of that 5 days of rain nonsense some were talking about

 

If the sun can come out we'll be good for mid 60s most likely, but the mid 70s and higher will have to wait until we can start a westerly flow. NE wind won't allow it to get higher than mid 60s here and likely mostly cloudy/periods of low clouds. 

29 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

Don, so a higher chance of 100 in Seattle than in NYC again this summer lol?

 

Maybe not Seattle but probably somewhere north of our latitude. We're becoming much more Carolina like in the summers due to the distorted north ridge. Temps there are regularly in the mid 90s with oppressive humidity. Near the center of the ridge where westerly flow can be sustained is where the over 100 heat would be. 

48 minutes ago, nycwinter said:

this storm will be  a bust for the city rain totals will be less that was predicted during the 6 pm news

Still have quite a ways to go with this, at least 12 more hours. HRRR still has the rain going and mod-heavy at that around noon-1pm. Rain totals over the city appear to be 0.7" or so, with the rain expected most of us from I-80 S should be over 2" by the end. 

10 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Lucky us. Nothing like a jackpot in early May

Yup. Like you said I guess it saves on the water bill. You can see the rain get squashed down every time it tries to push N into CT. This is some tough confluence. It’s been a nice day north of I-90 and quite low dew point air. 

Brick wall is in place. Not far north of here the dew points are around 30 and the confluence is pressing down. This would be a widespread 20” snowstorm like a 1/23/16 or PDII if it could’ve happened in February. Grrrrr