Indystorm

Tom Skilling said this evening that it presently looks doubtful that Chicago area will have a white Christmas.

2 inch hail and 70 mph winds on tap for KC now.

Tor watch coming for eastern Iowa and sw Wisconsin

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA  
447 PM CST WED DEC 15 2021  
  
IAC029-152300-  
/O.CON.KDMX.TO.W.0035.000000T0000Z-211215T2300Z/  
CASS IA-  
447 PM CST WED DEC 15 2021  
  
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CST FOR CASS  
COUNTY...  
          
AT 446 PM CST, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF  
GRISWOLD, OR 12 MILES WEST OF ATLANTIC, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 80 MPH.  
  
HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO.  
  
SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO.  
  
IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT   
         SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE   
         TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR.  TREE DAMAGE IS   
         LIKELY.  
  
THIS TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...  
  MARNE AROUND 455 PM CST.    
  ATLANTIC AROUND 455 PM CST.  

986 mb low in ne Nebraska continuing to deepen

Double jeopardy

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA  
407 PM CST WED DEC 15 2021  
  
NEC173-152230-  
/O.CON.KOAX.TO.W.0018.000000T0000Z-211215T2230Z/  
THURSTON NE-  
407 PM CST WED DEC 15 2021  
  
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM CST FOR NORTHERN  
THURSTON COUNTY...  
      
AT 405 PM CST, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF  
EMERSON, OR 22 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SIOUX CITY, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60   
MPH. A SECOND CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF   
WINNEBAGO, ALSO MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.  
  
HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.  
  
SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO WITH THIS STORM.   
  
IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT   
         SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE   
         TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR.  TREE DAMAGE IS   
         LIKELY.  
  
THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF  
NORTHERN THURSTON COUNTY, INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...  
THURSTON.  

NEC173-152230-  
/O.CON.KOAX.TO.W.0018.000000T0000Z-211215T2230Z/  
THURSTON NE-  
358 PM CST WED DEC 15 2021  
  
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM CST FOR THURSTON  
COUNTY...  
      
AT 358 PM CST, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER PENDER, OR 29  
MILES SOUTHWEST OF SIOUX CITY, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 65 MPH.  
  
HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL.  
  
SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO.  
  
IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT   
         SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE   
         TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR.  TREE DAMAGE IS   
         LIKELY.  
  
THIS TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...  
  EMERSON AROUND 405 PM CST.  
  WINNEBAGO AROUND 410 PM CST

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  
TORNADO WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA  
354 PM CST WED DEC 15 2021  
  
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN OMAHA HAS ISSUED A  
  
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
  WASHINGTON COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEBRASKA...  
  SOUTHEASTERN DODGE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEBRASKA...  
  NORTHWESTERN DOUGLAS COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEBRASKA...  
  
* UNTIL 445 PM CST.  
      
* AT 353 PM CST, A TORNADO PRODUCING STORM WAS LOCATED OVER YUTAN, OR  
  20 MILES WEST OF OMAHA, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 75 MPH.  
  
  HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO.  
  
  SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO.  
  
  IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT   
           SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.   
           DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR.  TREE   
           DAMAGE IS LIKELY.  
  
* THIS TORNADIC STORM WILL BE NEAR...  
  ELKHORN AROUND 400 PM CST.  
  ARLINGTON AROUND 405 PM CST.  
  KENNARD AROUND 410 PM CST.  
  
OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE  
BLAIR AND FORT CALHOUN.  
  

Ya, northern Omaha area now under the gun

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  
TORNADO WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NEBRASKA  
345 PM CST WED DEC 15 2021  
  
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN OMAHA HAS ISSUED A  
  
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
  NORTHEASTERN CUMING COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN NEBRASKA...  
  THURSTON COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN NEBRASKA...  
  
* UNTIL 430 PM CST.  
  
* AT 345 PM CST, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER BEEMER, OR 32  
  MILES EAST OF NORFOLK, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.  
  
  HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL.  
  
  SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO NEAR BEEMER.  
  
  IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT   
           SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.   
           DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR.  TREE   
           DAMAGE IS LIKELY.  
  
* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...  
  BANCROFT AROUND 355 PM CST.  
  PENDER AROUND 400 PM CST.  
  EMERSON AROUND 410 PM CST.  
  WINNEBAGO AROUND 415 PM CST

I wonder if Tim Marshall surveyed west of Dawson Springs and Mayfield

Getting more peeks of sun in my area of nw IN than originally forecast.  A glance at the satellite shows this is also true from my area westward into IA.  May ramp up instability more than progged if this continues throughout the day.

Was Oak Grove KY hit or did the tornado pass nw of there to the ne?  Would appreciate any news reports.

I have a relative that lives in Oak Grove KY just nw of Clarksville.  I'm starting to get worried,

The photos of the Mayfield courthouse remind me of the White County courthouse in Monticello Indiana from April 3 1974.

TIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  
TORNADO WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL  
1026 PM CST FRI DEC 10 2021  
  
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LINCOLN HAS ISSUED A  
  
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
  EAST CENTRAL COLES COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...  
  NORTHERN EDGAR COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...  
  SOUTHEASTERN VERMILION COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...  
  EAST CENTRAL DOUGLAS COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...  
  
* UNTIL 1100 PM CST.  
      
* AT 1025 PM CST, A TORNADO PRODUCING STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR BROCTON,  
  OR 15 MILES WEST OF PARIS, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 70 MPH.  
  
  HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO.  
  
  SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO.  
  
  IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT   
           SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.   
           DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR.  TREE   
           DAMAGE IS LIKELY.  
  
* THIS TORNADIC STORM WILL BE NEAR...  
  HUME AROUND 1035 PM CST.  
  CHRISMAN AROUND 1040 PM CST.  
  RIDGE FARM AROUND 1045 PM 

2 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

Can hear the tornado siren, though tor warned portion is passing to my south.

Same here,,,,,but very heavy rain hitting the west window of my apartment

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  
TORNADO WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO  
844 PM CST FRI DEC 10 2021  
  
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A  
  
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
  NORTHERN MADISON COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN ILLINOIS...  
  NORTHWESTERN FAYETTE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS...  
  SOUTHEASTERN MACOUPIN COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN ILLINOIS...  
  MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS...  
  
* UNTIL 930 PM CST.  
      
* AT 844 PM CST, A TORNADO PRODUCING STORM WAS LOCATED OVER BENLD,  
  MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.  
  
  HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.  
  
  SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO.  
  
  IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT   
           SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.   
           DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR.  TREE   
           DAMAGE IS LIKELY.  
  
* THIS TORNADIC STORM WILL BE NEAR...  
  LITCHFIELD AROUND 855 PM CST.  
  HILLSBORO AND TAYLOR SPRINGS AROUND 900 PM CST.  
  
OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE  
SCHRAM CITY, WITT AND NOKOMIS.  
  
 

LLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED  
TORNADO WARNING  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO  
833 PM CST FRI DEC 10 2021  
  
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A  
  
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...  
  BOND COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS...  
  CENTRAL MADISON COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN ILLINOIS...  
  
* UNTIL 915 PM CST.  
      
* AT 832 PM CST, A CONFIRMED LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO  
  WAS LOCATED OVER EDWARDSVILLE, MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.  
  
  THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!  
  
  HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO.  
  
  SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO.  
  
  IMPACT...YOU ARE IN A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. FLYING DEBRIS   
           MAY BE DEADLY TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE   
           HOMES WILL BE DESTROYED. CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO HOMES,   
           BUSINESSES, AND VEHICLES IS LIKELY AND COMPLETE   
           DESTRUCTION IS POSSIBLE.  
  
* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...  
  WORDEN, MARINE AND ALHAMBRA AROUND 845 PM CST.  
  HIGHLAND AROUND 850 PM CST.  

This outbreak is aiming to be historic.

Sheesh!  All these svr storms now and I remember reading earlier today that the bulk of the activity was supposed to occur after 9 p.m.

soscale Discussion 1988
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0702 PM CST Fri Dec 10 2021

   Areas affected...Eastern Missouri and western Illinois

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 553...

   Valid 110102Z - 110200Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 553 continues.

   SUMMARY...The damaging wind and tornado threat is increasing across
   eastern Missouri and western Illinois, including the St. Louis Metro
   area.

   DISCUSSION...A line of storms has organized across central Missouri
   and is moving quickly east toward the Mississippi River. Within this
   line are several embedded supercells with some low-level rotation
   evident from the KLSX WSR-88D. The storm with the coldest cloud tops
   is currently moving toward St. Louis. Therefore, this portion of the
   line in particular may have a greater severe wind/tornado threat
   over the next 1 to 2 hours, especially given the backed surface flow
   and around 500 m2/s2 0-1 km SRH from the KLSX VWP.

   ..Bentley.. 12/11/2021

So our first confirmed tornado of this event is in ne Arkansas

5 minutes ago, sbnwx85 said:

TOR Warning all the way up in Iowa north of the Watch. Impressive!

That's why watches usually state "persons in or close to the watch...," in their comments

8 minutes ago, mob1 said:

The cell in NE Arkansas is starting to look very impressive. Wording on the warning seems to indicate that it's a confirmed tornado, but I'm not sure as it looks like an unusual way of putting it. I'd be very surprised if it isn't currently producing a tornado. 

Memphis NWS (MEG) has a horrible practice of saying  "a severe storm producing a tornado..." when they are only observing radar indicated rotation with nothing actuaLLY CONFIRMED AS OF YET.... it is very misleading and confusing. They need to say "capable of producing a tornado" like other offices do when observing rotation.