Indystorm

Hoosier, I hope your mom has a wx radio or phone access to current conditions and I know you will keep her informed to ensure safe travel.

Low CAPE,  and modestly high shear and a WF always gets my interest especially in winter.

Tor warnings now and I expect to see more given the conditions in Illinoi southward.

Leery of ice IMBY or anywhere nearby of the magnitude shown.  Would rather have a nice t  storm like I had here on Jan. 3, 2023.  Enjoyed the recent 3 inch snow but I am ready for an early spring since I saw my first robin of the season yesterday.

he Monday extension of the tor watch as far north as se KS intrigues me along with the expected CAPE for tomorrow in the Calumet region.  But the present intensity of the low is 1002 mb in sw KS.   Will have to deepen and move ne to get us in the game up here.  We'll see how things evolve overnight this Monday into Tuesday.

Bah humbug.   I like waiting for a big storm somewhere but I hate the timing.  Had relatives wanting to come down to nw IN from Green Bay for Christmas.  Now they may have to wait till New Years or spring.

Heavy rain yesterday and last Tuesday the 18th I ran into some good LES squalls driving between Rochester and Plymouth Indiana coming home from a meeting at Peru back to Griffith.  Such is our Indiana fall weather.

Well, LOT seems to think the storms will be entering Chi town around 8 p.m. in their graphic rather than the wee hours near dawn tomorrow unless a new batch forms.  Will be interesting to see how his plays out .

Does look very interesting for us in the calumet this evening wrt severe and flooding

Derecho composite up to 6 for Chi town area.  That cluster of storms looks potent.

17 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said:

Late night consolation prize organizing along river

Skilling thinks 10 p.m. to 2 a.m. will be the time frame.  Wonder if we will go under a svr watch later tonight.

Tor watch now issued for most of WI until 10 p.m.

Is that band of clouds from Springfield MO on to Quincy and NE evidence of a prefrontal trough?  If so this could get really interesting later today.

Yes, and helicity is up to 500/600 in ne ILand nw IN....Storms are gonna spin.

Ouch!  45% hatched for wind....hurricane force

SPC now went moderate for north central and ne IN, nw OH and extreme southern MI

I am also concerned about the 700 mb cap in IL and IA and whether it will SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI  
311 PM CDT MON JUN 13 2022  
  
WIC025-027-055-132115-  
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0025.000000T0000Z-220613T2115Z/  
DANE WI-JEFFERSON WI-DODGE WI-  
311 PM CDT MON JUN 13 2022  
  
...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM CDT  
FOR EASTERN DANE...JEFFERSON AND SOUTHERN DODGE COUNTIES...  
  
AT 310 PM CDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER SUN PRAIRIE,  
MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.  
  
HAZARD...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND 70 MPH WIND GUSTS.  
  
SOURCE...LAW ENFORCEMENT. NUMEROUS REPORTS OF TREES, AND POWER LINES   
         DOWN IN PARTS OF MADISON AND MIDDLETON.  
  
IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL   
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS, SIDING, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES. EXPECT   
         CONSIDERABLE TREE DAMAGE. WIND DAMAGE IS ALSO LIKELY TO   
         MOBILE HOMES, ROOFS, AND OUTBUILDINGS.  
  
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  
EASTERN MADISON, SUN PRAIRIE, FITCHBURG, WATERTOWN, STOUGHTON, FORT  
ATKINSON, OREGON, JEFFERSON, MCFARLAND, MONONA, LAKE MILLS, MARSHALL,  
WATERLOO, COTTAGE GROVE, JOHNSON CREEK, DEERFIELD, CAMBRIDGE, LAKE  
RIPLEY, IXONIA AND ROME.  succeed in breaking later today.

I am also concerned about the 700 mb cap in IL and IA and whether it will succeed in breaking later today.

We have been lucky here in nw IN this spring in escaping svr events.  Our luck may soon be about to change.  Those dews are horrendous.

Helicity still 200-300 in that area of central IL east of the tor warned cell in McLean county.

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE  
549 PM CDT SAT APR 30 2022  
  
ILC099-302300-  
/O.CON.KLOT.SV.W.0016.000000T0000Z-220430T2300Z/  
LA SALLE IL-  
549 PM CDT SAT APR 30 2022  
  
...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CDT  
FOR CENTRAL LA SALLE COUNTY...  
  
AT 548 PM CDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR GRAND RIDGE, OR  
NEAR STREATOR, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.  
  
HAZARD...70 MPH WIND GUSTS AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL.  
  
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.  
  
IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT CONSIDERABLE   
         TREE DAMAGE. WIND DAMAGE IS ALSO LIKELY TO MOBILE HOMES,   
         ROOFS, AND OUTBUILDINGS.  
  
THIS SEVERE STORM WILL BE NEAR...  
  NAPLATE AROUND 600 PM CDT.  
  OTTAWA AROUND 605 PM CDT.  
  
OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE LEONORE  
AND KANGLEY.  
  
THIS INCLUDES BUFFALO ROCK STATE PARK.  
   

Am becoming a bit concerned about the storms forming along I-39 and U,S, 51 in Illinois that I presume is the area of the front itself.  Svr warnings are starting to come out now along it.

Seems to be a bit of confusion at NWS Chicago.   "Radar confirmed" tornado warning issued for the Oak Brook area and shortly thereafter cancelled.  Was there an actual touchdown?  Tag said "observed."

1 minute ago, Malacka11 said:

Really unsure which cell to bank on for now

No svr or tor warnings as yet.  I would sit tight for awhile till a storm warning is issued to give you some directional guidance.

Lots of ACCAS clouds in west central IL and ne MO.