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Upstate Tiger

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  1. Upstate Tiger
    I think it was Carver on the Tennessee forum who said the Euro has been much too dry with its long term forecasts this winter. Looks like a couple of opportunities for a winter storm in the east over the next two of weeks.
  2. Upstate Tiger
    The Euro and GFS have two totally different iterations in the long term. GFS wetter and somewhat milder. The Euro is much dryer and colder starting with the frontal passage this weekend. Would at least like to see some decent weekend golfing weather...
  3. Upstate Tiger
    It’s hard to know. The last couple of springs have been very cold and they were Nina’s.
  4. Upstate Tiger
    I think the wild card is how quickly nino sets up. Nino springs tend to be colder and wetter than average in the SE.
  5. Upstate Tiger
    I’m confused. Does this mean the skies have not healed?
  6. Upstate Tiger
    It pains me to say this but thank you Tar Heels. If we win tonight, we’re tied for first. That hasn’t happened much during February for us in basketball. Makes me think we actually get another storm or two because anything is apparently possible this year.
  7. Upstate Tiger
    Rain and sleet in Gastonia and 47 degrees. Crazy.
  8. Upstate Tiger
    Got a dusting last night. If nothing else it coated the brown and black piles. Sitting right at 11” for the season. Hard to complain.
  9. Upstate Tiger
    Good data! The NAO looks to be negative for this potential event but you are correct that the PNA is the teleconnection with the largest impact on SE winter weather IMO. This is 10 days out and the teleconnection forecasts can be tricky so maybe it will change. I haven't looked at the MJO forecast.
  10. Upstate Tiger
  11. Upstate Tiger
    CMC has the same general setup but doesn’t have the high placement like GFS so wintry is further north.
  12. Upstate Tiger
    GFS says happy Valentines Day snow lovers.
  13. Upstate Tiger
    Yep looks like we warm up next week. I will be in Charleston so looking forward to some warmth. Don't sleep on Valentine's weekend, a little blocking and get rid of that upper midwest low and you have a big winter storm in the SE. Looks like a strat split coming up that could make March very cold in the U.S., at least until mid-month.
  14. Upstate Tiger
    Someone may get NAM’d tomorrow afternoon. It seemed to my faulty memory that secondary lows were common in the 70s and they were always good for a couple of inches.
  15. Upstate Tiger
    Hopefully we can get one without any screw zone ala President's Day 1 - 1979. Still one of my all time favorites with temps in the teens, howling wind, and 14" in the upstate IMBY. It did warm up rather quickly the following week but still took several days to melt.
  16. Upstate Tiger
    Yep. Looking like a return to winter in the east around or just after Valentine’s Day for a at least a couple of weeks. Still think this winter holds at least one more SE winter storm.
  17. Upstate Tiger
    Yep. The low water content makes it evaporate really quickly.
  18. Upstate Tiger
    current US snowfall coverage.
  19. Upstate Tiger
    Overall for the entire forum, the CMC and GFS seemed to remain the most consistent and verify the best. If I have time, I will try and go back and compare the globals from Monday to Friday.
  20. Upstate Tiger
    Yeah this winter is going to skew our 10 year average LOL
  21. Upstate Tiger
    I-85 North in Cabbarus blocked. So is 74/Wilkinson Blvd/Franklin in Gastonia. I drove home from the hospital at 530. I have 4wd truck, AT tires, and 500lb of sand in back and it was dicey.
  22. Upstate Tiger
    Raleigh looks like they are about to get slammed.
  23. Upstate Tiger
    Winding down here. Finished with exactly 9”. That makes it the most snow I’ve witnessed since the January 88 storm when I received 12” in the upstate. 2011, 1996, and 1993 were close but all were 8” or less IMBY.
  24. Upstate Tiger
    Don’t laugh. It showed this storm 2 weeks ago. 4’-5’ of snow is nothing this winter.
  25. Upstate Tiger
    Guess we won’t be doing S’mores with the grandkids tonight or next week.
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