Upstate Tiger

Euro with a 968 bomb off the coast. Man that thing explodes.

Good grief the GFS has a 966 bomb off the coast.

NAM with light snow over Mississippi and NC at 60. I know NAM but hey it did pretty well last week.

Pretty concise discussion from GSP... https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=GSP&product=AFD&format=ci&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

Not a bad look on the Euro IMO. I’m ok with the evolution of the surface features on the 12z.

Love seeing the transfer off the coast at the Ga Fl line. Always a great benchmark for a Miller A snowstorm in the Carolinas. If only it verifies.

Let's hope that trend comes to fruition this time as well...

He nailed last week's storm...

So we like Bam again? Just want to make sure I am not hating the wrong people...

77,78,79 all had snow on Super Bowl Sunday in the upstate

Euros stuck at 54. Boy it must really be cooking up something good (or bad)

06 GFS much better surface reflection. Can someone post the Weathernext?

Need to go back and look at H5. Really thought the surface would have been better with gulf low placement and transfer. The big dogs usually transfer right off shore at the Ga Fl line. Still showing off NC.

We can work with this.

18z Euro not bad at this range. Shows snow for most of NC.

And unlike 1980, the preceding days will not be mild.

The 3/1/1980 storm was a bit of a disappointment in the upstate. Friday the 29th was sunny and temp climbed to 60. NWS issued a WSW that afternoon and forecast of temp falling to 30 by morning and remaining steady or falling through Saturday, with 8”-10” of snow. The temp was at 30 at daybreak and did drop through the day. But a warm nose kept the upstate sleet all day. We accumulated a couple inches of sleet. Every time it transitioned to snow and we thought the changeover had occurred, it would go back to sleet. We were slightly saved by a ULL that night that gave us a quick 2”-3”. So not a total bust.

This pattern reminds me an awful lot of January 77. There's a misconception that we had a lot of snow that month but the cold was the real story. It is still the coldest month on record at GSP. The highest temperature recorded at GSP for the month was 50 degrees. 77/78, 78/79, and 79/80 were the trifecta for SE winter storms. 01/3/77 - 1"-2" of snow in the upstate 1/10/77 - Superbowl Sunday, 3"-4" in the upstate, brutal cold the following week 1/15/77 - ice storm 1/17/77 - famous (or infamous) cold wave. Temps in the low to mid teen in the upstate during the day. 1/24/77 - 5" of snow February and March turned warm with above normal temps, so it was really a 4 week stretch that changed the record books. Side note, February 80 is still the coldest February on record in the upstate.

I am happy with what the models are showing at this point. Personally I would like to see an earlier phase and a Miller A evolution for those of us in the western parts of NC and SC. But I am greedy that way...

Now it’s serious. A triple dog dare. Josh committed a slight breach in etiquette by skipping the double dog dare and going straight for the throat.

Pretty memorable storm. If for no other reason than the vast size of the storm and the amazing CAD. I’ve followed winter storms in the SE for over 50 years and they are all unique. Fun tracking with you guys and gals! Now on to the next one. Have a feeling this winter still holds some surprises.

Is this for real?

Heavy sleet in Lincolnton as the line starts to move through.

Radar doesn’t look impressive but we’re getting the heaviest snow and sleet since really early this morning.