mahantango#1

I hope there will be a surprise from this weekend system that the models aren't picking up on yet.

Every time we look at model runs the day before a snow event...the NWS comes along an ruins the party. This seems to be true this month.

My NWS forecast has less than an inch of snow here.

Snow stopped for quite awhile, now it started again. Snowing the hardest it has so far today.

Nws discussion says they are uncertain about this weekend: LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... By the weekend, another storm will approach the northeast, though considerable uncertainty remains. An initial burst of snow appears likely on Saturday as a weak disturbance moves through ahead of the main system. The latest EPS mean surface low track across Southeast PA, along with lack of a blocking high to the northeast, would point to a mostly rain event. However, there remains plenty of uncertainty and a slight southward shift could result in significant snow for parts of the area. It is worth noting that the deterministic guidance has shifted slightly southward today and indicated the potential for snow across the northern tier of Central PA. Although the specifics of the weekend storm remain uncertain, there is greater certainty in blustery and cold conditions arriving late Sunday into Monday, as the strengthening surface low passes east of PA. Mean EPS 2m temps currently support temps falling into the single digits Sunday night over the NW Mtns, along with wind chills well below zero.

This winter is complexly different then the last few. Last year at this time (if my memory is correct) The tulips were were up about 2 inches out of the ground. Not this year there is no sign of them with that inch of sleet that turned in to an ice pack on frozen ground.

Less than half-inch of snow here form the event.

The snow will all be melted till Voyager gets around to bringing you a water delivery.

Maybe you’ll be able to send a box of snow to me via FedEx.

Snowing here for the last half-hour

The American Storm @BigJoeBastardi · 12m Huge Weatherbell post on Weekend storm and me and my analogs ( and now conventional models) vs the AI on blizzard threat next week Analogs of April 1982, Jan 1996, Jan 2016 look like this, Euro and GFS look much like it. AI more spread out weakens block

I think JB is hinting at a possible blockbuster storm next week. But unsure where exactly it will hit. But he thinks Pa. could be in play.

Were you inviting that special someone from the ot forum to celebrate with you on your birthday? And now they possibly wont be able to make it due to inclement weather.

Who, the know it all on all topics? The one thats never wrong?

Sorry to hear that. Get better soon. Your contributions on the weather are missed when your not on here.

Awfully quiet in here today. Seems like another snowstorm letdown has taken it's toll.

Meteorologist Brett Thackara esoSrtpdonag3a217uh20mah304m05atc6f866malfg554h3ic09llgctlml · #SNOW OR NO? Tomorrow night could feature some light snow for areas south of Route 30. Our region is on the northern edge of this storm, which means most moisture will be south. If anybody gets 1-3" it will be our southern tier. Not ready to commit to that yet though. Some guidance still brings our region next to nothing. Stay tuned! #27Weather #PAwx

https://medium.com/@wxrisk/first-guess-snow-forecast-valid-for-va-md-del-wv-feb-11-313a442e1b53

Yes, but it seems when you drive and get on the north side of Peter's mountain it's a different world especially in winter. We could have dialog on this debate of where the Middle Susquehanna Valley starts.