mahantango#1

From our great friend DT: Each new recycle of the monthly Climate models that come out continue to show a stronger and stronger El Nino event developing this summer and lasting for at least a year. This graph is from the April 1st European climate model which just came out today April 5. The European climate model consists of 100 different members and 95 of the 100 are in the Super El Nino category. A "SUPER" El Nino is only happened three times since 1945: the events of -- 1982-83 1997-98 2015-16. So in one sense we are kind of due for a strong El Nino event. But really has been the debate among meteorologists and climatologists for the past 60 days - will this upcoming El Nino event be a STRONG El Nono or very strong/ SUPER El Nino event? This has significant implications locations around the globe especially when it's this strong.. it probably means that 1 There is going to be a severe possibly historic drought in Indonesia 2 There is likely to be major or historic drought in the Amazon basin. Obviously this has significant implications for Farming the food supply and for commodity grain Traders. 3 a wet and cool summer in the eastern US 4 Drought for Europe 5 Weaker than normal Indian monsoon -- possibly much below normal. 6 Expect damaging flooding rains and historic storms on the west coast next winter, 7 mild winter across the East Coast and the Midwest. 8 below and / or much below normal hurricane season

.45 rain from this mornings event. I wasn't expecting that much, I thought maybe I'd get 2 tenths. But it is needed as we enter the growing season.

Pennsylvanians really only have two modes, and neither of them is “this weather is nice.” We are either standing in 19-degree wind saying, “I can’t take this cold anymore,” or standing in 82 degrees with 40% humidity saying, “This is disgusting.” There is no middle ground. A 64-degree sunny day lasts about eleven minutes here before somebody says it’s either “still a little chilly in the shade” or “getting a little muggy.” We spend all winter begging for summer, all summer begging for fall, all fall pretending we’re not about to complain about winter again, and then the second it hits 50 in March, somebody’s in cargo shorts at Sheetz acting like we made it.

85 was the high here with a 66 dp. Another splendid day!

Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service State College PA 603 AM EDT Sat Apr 4 2026 PAZ012-018-019-024>028-033>036-041-042-045-046-049>053-056>059- 063>066-051015- Northern Clinton-Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Cambria-Blair- Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Somerset-Bedford-Fulton-Franklin- Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union- Snyder-Montour-Northumberland-Columbia-Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill- Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster- 603 AM EDT Sat Apr 4 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Strong to severe thunderstorms with gusty winds are possible this afternoon, and again later tonight. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.

NWS really cut back the precipitation amounts for today and tomorrow.

So much for the 70's today. My High was 66.

.04 rain yesterday morning. A little drizzle this morning and 47.

The sun was out at 5pm and temperature was 74 so I ate supper I went back outside and temperatures was 62 now it's 58. What a unexpected change.

82 was my high today.

25 was my low.

Now an exorcism should be done to correct the Tamaqua split.

Wxrisk.com This current cold shot is probably the last REAL cold blast until late autumn. Now for the obtuse people in the back row you need to read that first sentence again carefully. yes of course between now and June 1 we are going to have cold fronts and cold or cool air masses. Obviously that is the case. What I am talking about in the first sentence are these cold blasts which knock us back down to the 20s at night and 40s to near 50 during the day. . All the data shows there is going to be a significant Ridge in the jet stream (sometimes extremely strong Ridge) that will be situated on the East Coast covering the eastern third of the country between now and April 15th. Any cold wants to come through will be weak and have no will push behind them. THAT BEING SAID REMEMBER SOIL TEMPS STILL HAVE TO WARM !! The old guideline zof waiting until aat least EASTER and preferably tax day...s till holds.