mahantango#1

Down to 27 here.

I'm located in Northern Dauphin County. I can throw a stone across the creek into Northumberland county. Yea all these forecasts are all over the place.

All this talk of snow. My NWS forecast has not changed even with the WSW it's still saying 2-4.

Good ole SS: SS Storm Chase And Forecast Team - Mid Atlantic LLC Favorites ·onSstdepro818titci105u1hilut7tiam0i2h476l7958090t018762f3htt · READ THE ENTIRE UPDATE!!! *THIS COULD BE A BLIZZARD *OR* THIS MAY ONLY BE A FEW INCHES. ***WE DON’T KNOW JUST YET*** ————————————————- **STORM MODE ACTIVATED** ————————————————- **THIS FORECAST COULD EASILY CHANGE TODAY** STAY TUNED!!! ————————————————- **WE SIMPLY DON’T KNOW THE TRACK DUE TO MODEL SPREAD! ————————————————- PREPARE FOR THE WORST AND HOPE FOR THE BEST! ————————————————- STARTING: SUNDAY DAYBREAK ENDING: MONDAY DAYBREAK (HEAVIEST SNOW LATE SUNDAY) ————————————————- WHAT: VERY HEAVY WET SNOW! AMOUNTS: 6”-30” Depending on your location and the track of storm. Areas along 83 may see close to a FOOT while areas WEST of 83 may only see 4-8”. Areas near I-95 may see 2-3 FEET (Maybe More). Highest amounts of 2-3 Feet will likely be near the coast! If the storm shifts east heavy snow will move out over the ocean. If it shifts west heavy snow will move over Central Pennsylvania. There are so many variables and we do not know. —————————————————- WE BELIEVE MANY PEOPLE FROM 83 AND POINTS EAST will “LIKELY” see significant WET snow! HOWEVER that’s NOT a guarantee! **Models are all over the place!!!** Look at these models and you will understand. THERE IS A HUGE SPREAD in totals and not much model agreement. There’s ALSO TIME today for TRACK changes to happen. We are monitoring all the data that comes in and we’ll get it out to you as fast as possible. We are now in storm mode and we will not answer many questions, but we will get the info out as fast as we can. Please understand this is an extremely difficult forecast. There is no way in this world for anyone to know which way this storm could track or wheel track. Just now that this is an extremely powerful and dangerous storm and a track west or east will change this forecast drastically. Someone will get 24 feet of snow!- This storm is so big and powerful it will wobble and just a slight wobble WEST will SHIFT huge totals over SCPA. YES THAT IS A POSSIBILITY!!! BUT, we don’t know and likely WONT KNOW until the event is happening!!! WE STRONGLY SUGGEST GETTING SOME GROCERIES AND SUPPLIES IF YOU ARE NEAR 83 & POINTS EAST!! You may not need them but time is running out and it’s better to be prepared and not need it !!! We are monitoring all the data that comes in and we’ll get it out to you as fast as possible. We are now in storm mode and we will not answer many questions, but we will get the info out as fast as we can. Please understand this is an extremely difficult forecast. There is no way in this world for anyone to know which way this storm could track or wheel track. Just now that this is an extremely powerful and dangerous storm and a track west or east will change this forecast drastically. Someone will get 2-4 feet of snow! BUT WHERE???? Even if you only get 6 inches of snow, it’s going to be a very heavy wet snow and extremely hard to shovel. Just imagine if the storm shifts and you get 12 to 20 inches of snow? With this being a very heavy snow that changes things significantly. Please be prepared for that and even possible power outages. There are lots of possibilities with this storm and we just do not know where exactly things will be the worst. We are monitoring and we will do our best to sort through the data, but it may be a storm that we have to just watch and report on in real time. Stay Tuned For More Updates!

Bernie Rayno @AccuRayno · 28m I do not believe there will be any shifting east of the modeling.The storm track is LOCKED IN.The only remaining question is how quickly the upper low strengthens. This impacts the DCA to PHL to eastern MD zone. Sending maps to explain. Bernie Rayno @AccuRayno · 42m X live this later this AM. MY THOUGHTS.3-6 DCA, BWI into eastern PA & NW NJ.6-12 from PHL-central NJ.12" in NYC. 12-18 along the Jersey shore into central Long Island. 1-2 feet from eastern LI to Boston including the Cape Cop. Around a foot in PVD, 6-12 HFD. 6-12 eastern MD/DE

Bernie Rayno @AccuRayno · 11m All modeling has the upper low placement in nearly the exact same location 1 am Mon. Every single model shown below. The question is strength. A old forecaster rule of thump is a a foot of snow for every closed contour.GFS is the only one that does that fast enuf for 6-12 in DCA.

Maybe the roll of the dice at this point.

Sunday Snow before 10am, then snow, possibly mixed with rain between 10am and 4pm, then snow after 4pm. High near 36. Calm wind becoming east around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible. Sunday Night Snow. Low around 29. Light and variable wind becoming north 5 to 9 mph in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible. Thats my NWS forecast.

FIRST CALL SNOW MAP

Yea 27 is really downplaying this coming event.

Whiteout fog.

I hope we all the the most accumulation possible...then we can all move on to Spring

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service State College PA 140 PM EST Fri Feb 20 2026 PAZ057>059-064>066-211145- /O.NEW.KCTP.WS.A.0004.260222T1000Z-260223T1800Z/ Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-Adams-York-Lancaster- Including the cities of Pottsville, Hershey, Harrisburg, York, Lancaster, Lebanon, and Gettysburg 140 PM EST Fri Feb 20 2026 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations between 4 and 6 inches possible. * WHERE...A portion of central Pennsylvania. * WHEN...From late Saturday night through Monday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...There is still some uncertainty regarding the track of this storm. Any westward shifts in the track may result in higher snowfall amounts. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. &&