mahantango#1

It's already -4 here. Just how low will it go?

Correction temp dropped to -5.4

-4 this morning, it keeps on getting colder.

JB said tonight on the weekend storm that there are to many days to go to give up on it yet. In other words there are many pieces that would have to align and some aren't in the US yet.

JB said this morning he's not giving up yet on the storm.

Let everyone get snowed in. It's been a long time since that happened

I just want to get a big, big snowstorm. The we can move on to Spring.

I hope the storm comes north and west and buries us all in 2 feet of snow on top of what we already have on the ground.

Wow!

-3 here this morning.

JB said last night he has no changes on this hitting us. But he also said he might have to abandon his idea also. But right now this idea of a storm here, looks like burnt toast

DT"s discussion: https://bsky.app/profile/wxrisk.bsky.social/post/3mdf2hbstpk2w?fbclid=IwY2xjawPlhP1leHRuA2FlbQIxMABicmlkETFtSnJVbEZtTTMzcVFSS2ZNc3J0YwZhcHBfaWQQMjIyMDM5MTc4ODIwMDg5MgABHtea2emH2RI-PpInSW7tv9WUy4gopaTOkMyzIZUi3XiY9ngFkpFiThN78d-d_aem_vDuHang7dhGX9a-a5v_usw ‪@wxrisk.bsky.social‬ Follow LATE MON/ EARLY TUE UPDATE ON JAN 31- FEB 1 POSSIBLE SEVERE EAST COAST WINTER STORM THREAT /1 This is a discussion -NOT a forecast. 0z early Monday (1AM) op-Euro/ 6z op-EURO/ 6z Euro all develop a massive VERY powerful East Coast winter storm that deepens 975mb with winds over 45 mph. 12:43 AM · Jan 27, 2026 Everybody can reply 2 reposts 20 likes 1 2 ‪DT-WxRisk‬ ‪@wxrisk.bsky.social‬ · 5h along with an incredible snow amount from Central NC to new England. BUT that is 1 **possible** outcome. The question is HOW does the Euro model do this ?? First It should be pointed out that other models are showing SIMILAR OVERALL solutions in various degrees. /2 1 ‪DT-WxRisk‬ ‪@wxrisk.bsky.social‬ · 5h Not surprisingly most of the GFS and GFS AI model runs have the MASSIVE Intense LOW somewhat further east (Typical behavior with th GFS mode and BIG East Coast LOWs) This image shows how this massive storm COULD develop in to bring about such an extreme snowstorm in the this weekend. /3 1 ‪DT-WxRisk‬ ‪@wxrisk.bsky.social‬ · 5h The first map shows a major s/w ( shortwave) running W-E from Iowa to the Great Lakes on Friday. This feature develops a closed 500 low that rapidly rotates as it heads SE. It swings around in SW- NE alignment, then a N to S, then NW-SE ( negative Tilt) alignment. /4 SEE IMAGE 2 1 ‪DT-WxRisk‬ ‪@wxrisk.bsky.social‬ · 5h The 500mb Low develops a negative Tilt ( NW-SE) and " captures" the surface LOW off SC and pulls it NW. The surface LOW reaches max size /intensity FEB 1 when the 500mb LOW the surface LOW become vertically stacked off of DEL / 5 1 ‪DT-WxRisk‬ ‪@wxrisk.bsky.social‬ · 5h Note on MAP C the 500 LOW tracks across NC then turns NE off the NJ coast and captures the surface Low. THAT IS THE KEY- any variation causes a big change with how the LOW develops & which part of the coast gets hit. The 18z Monday Euro; note the 500 LOW is in SC - NOT NC /6 1 ‪DT-WxRisk‬ ‪@wxrisk.bsky.social‬ · 5h This would allow the surface LOW to the captured further to the east which would mean the big cities of I-95 from Boston to DC wouldn't miss out on the best snows while eastern VA / eastern NC and Cape Cod would get blasted. /7 See 18Z op EURO 1 ‪DT-WxRisk‬ ‪@wxrisk.bsky.social‬ · 5h 18Z EURO ensemble has significant cluster of LOWS further West /8

I'll say it again and again, I had enough of this wind.

Now with this sleet on top of the snow will it drift when winds pick up tomorrow? I seen wet snow drift after the winds dried it out.