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Met1985

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Everything posted by Met1985

  1. Met1985
    Well we have the model runs tomorrow but as of right now I like the outcome for us. Its getting down to what the short range models say over the globals. We will see but I think we end up with a decent event from all this.
  2. Met1985
    I bet! Probably just seeing snow falling will be a great thing. I do hope yall score but you and I know that we have seen this song and dance many times.
  3. Met1985
    I will say down east needs to be careful. I've seen snow maps galore to only be too warm at the surface for a lot of folks. I would be leery if I was outside the mountains...
  4. Met1985
    Heck in my opinion if we get a widespread 3 to 4 inch snow then a lot of us will be happy the way this winter has gone.
  5. Met1985
    Your not alone. This winter had sucked for A LOT of us.
  6. Met1985
    Haywood does great in these events. If you haven't noticed we have been in the bullseye for the mountain snow maps. Really all the mountains will do well I think.
  7. Met1985
    The mountains are always in a prime spot.
  8. Met1985
    Guys im excited!
  9. Met1985
    Again even after the main batch of moisture an upslope component will kick in and maybe squeeze out another inch or two also as the NAM is showing.
  10. Met1985
    Snow totals went up this run again with this latest model output.
  11. Met1985
    Still snowing at hour 57 and looks solid at that.
  12. Met1985
    We are still solid at hour 51. A large swath of snow over the area.
  13. Met1985
    Hour 45 things are still progressing. More moisture breaking out across TN and the Carolinas. We still look good.
  14. Met1985
    On the latest NAM moisture starts to break out around 6 am Thursday.
  15. Met1985
    Also looking at the mid to long range EURO things really dont look bad at all.
  16. Met1985
    Look at what Griteater poster in the storm thread.
  17. Met1985
    I think once the system gets east of the apps the Lee side may have a better flow.
  18. Met1985
    Yeah you are right unless is comes in more from the south.
  19. Met1985
    The leeside of the mountains are going to get downsloped big time the way the precipitation is coming in. It will drastically cut down totals.
  20. Met1985
    These overrunning type events we do very well with. If we can get the moisture in here we will get a decent snow. Im really liking the trend of the models this morning.
  21. Met1985
    Yeah this is the best run of the NAM for us. Very juiced up and nearly all snow. Also dont underestimate the upslope snow behind the system if if hits us just right. It will dump all that moisture on the favored areas behind the system.
  22. Met1985
    The 12z NAM is holding serve. Kind of starts out as a mix but quickly turns to all snow. The precipitation is much further north this run also. It really blossoms out once it gets in here.
  23. Met1985
    Yeah great discussion guys. This is why I love this group and why I said yesterday that my excitement would be tempered until 18z today. We are getting into the time frame where the short range models should really be picking this up especially the multiple waves as Ward was talking about. Obviously having the EURO on board is huge but we are seeing multiple models come in with snowy solutions for us and currently that just cannot be discounted.
  24. Met1985
    Yeah it may not be handling the wave right but it could be onto something also. But I like that the NAM and GFS are in the same camp. Remember the models didnt handle the last little snow that well except the NAM...
  25. Met1985
    Both the NAM and GFS look good for our snow chances. Today will be very telling with the models. We are off to a good start so far.
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