Met1985
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Everything posted by Met1985
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Yep was fixing to come post that. Usually its the other way around.
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Pretty much falls in line with what im thinking. The NWS has split the southern and north central mountains with the advisory. With being the nothern mountains will see much sustained winds with this which is common with this type setup. The southern mountains will will see winds also but just wont be as sustained.
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Avery-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell- Including the cities of Banner Elk, Newland, and Luck 238 PM EST Sun Dec 6 2020 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM EST TUESDAY ABOVE 3500 FEET... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 4 inches. Additionally, winds could as high as 35 mph Monday evening into Monday night.
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Swain-Haywood- Including the city of Waynesville 238 PM EST Sun Dec 6 2020 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT EST MONDAY NIGHT ABOVE 3500 FEET... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 5 inches. * WHERE...The higher elevations of Swain and Haywood Counties. * WHEN...From midnight tonight to midnight EST Monday night.
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Yeah the Euro is a lot more robust than previous runs. A great sign today before the event.
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Something im noticing on the models this morning is that both the NAM and GFS show is starting out as a period of brief rain before changing to snow for the rest of the day. This coukd cause some major travel issues early in the morning. Something im keeping an eye on to see if this is a new trend. Also the GFS looks good for the mountains again. I would say we will see an advisory for the mountains come out by 4 or 5 today.
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Yeah for sure. Its exciting being from here to see people move here and come out of the wood work. Not taking anything away from any other county but Haywood has a special climate from Maggie Valley, to J. Creek, to white Oak, Cataloochee, to Fines creek, Max Patch, Crabtree, ect, ect. The local microclimates around here are an attest to the topography of the county. Obviously being a weather nerd its all fascinating to me.
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Yeah I like the idea of an initial push then showers then it really ramps up in the afternoon and evening with the majority of the forcing coming through. I do like those numbers. Maybe bumped up an inch or two here and there. These events can be finicky for the mountains. Yeah I saw Hunters post as well. I think we are all on the same page.
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Oh yeah well I have two homes which gives me a neat perspective on the microclimate in the area. One in Crabtree and one off of Stamey cove rd back in a holler. Its amazing what just a half mile down the road does at either a plus or minus for snow. Yes I ended up in the Bethel district for my kids which im happy about. The 12z Nam is even kill with a decent event. I know the snow maps are unimpressive but I do like the look of this little event.
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Nice to see you posting more.
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Got to 20 degrees here today. Going to be a beautiful day before more cold and snow.
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December 5-6, 2020 Storm Observations and Nowcast
Met1985 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
My future home up there one day. I love that part of Maine. -
Currently it looks like the snow will begin tomorrow morning around the morning commute. This will be a NW flow snow again which is fine for this time of the year. I think this event will last about 24 hours. The totals the models are spitting out look bleak but ill say lower elevations 1-3 and in the favored spots 3-6. Im impressed with the NAM currently and will see if it continues to look impressive through the day.
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The GFS has been impressive for the past year with modeling the mid range and storms.
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32 degrees with light snow.
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Nice. Windy and 36 here. No snow yet.
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Just lost another degree. The slow decent has started.
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So far I have dropped to 42 degrees so far. Whats everyones obs currently?
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Yeah really anything tonight is a bonus I think. Next week looks very interesting. Yes this season so far is much better than this time last year. Still things can go to pot in a hurry. We should all enjoy this currently.
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The central and southern mountains will benifit from this event nicely especially above 3500 feet.
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Swain-Haywood-Graham- 407 PM EST Fri Dec 4 2020 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the southern mountains of western North Carolina. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Precipitation will change over from rain to snow showers from the higher elevations down toward the mountain valleys overnight before ending later in the morning. Light accumulations up to 1 to 2 inches will be possible, especially at the higher elevations in the Great Smoky mountains.
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The NAM is much more gracious for tonights little event after midnight. As above both the NAM and GFS look much better for the event on the 7th.
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Yep still a decent hit. Snow is snow at this point. 1 to 10 inches we should be happy after last years crap show.
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Not at this time. The cold air will be predominantly in our area and to the north. Even we are seeing difficult temps around here for snow on the front side of these systems.
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Yeah the NAM keeps things interesting after midnight tonight then for the other system next week. Definitely a lot going on.
