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Met1985

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Posts posted by Met1985

  1. 19 minutes ago, Tyler Penland said:
    2 hours ago, BooneWX said:
    Are my eyes deceiving me or is the NAM suggesting the smokies get smokied by 30+ inches??

    It likes to do that. Definitely take it with a grain of salt. Probably cut those numbers by 1/3 but still a solid 8-12" event.

    Tyler let us just fantasize a little bit lol.

    • Like 3
    • Haha 3
  2. Rabun-Habersham-Swain-Graham-Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern

    Jackson-Transylvania-Henderson-Oconee Mountains-Pickens Mountains-

    Greenville Mountains-

    Including the cities of Stecoah, Cedar Mountain, Clayton, Alarka,

    Cullowhee, East Flat Rock, Pine Mountain, Cashiers, Wolf

    Mountain, Baldwin, Tuxedo, Almond, Little River, Bryson City,

    Hollywood, Fletcher, Rocky Bottom, Rainbow Springs, Demorest,

    Luada, Kyle, Brevard, Robbinsville, Mountain Rest, Dana, Sylva,

    Franklin, Etowah, Mountain City, Tuckasegee, Glassy Mountain,

    Wesser, Clarkesville, Highlands, Cornelia, and Hendersonville

    238 PM EST Fri Jan 26 2024

     

    ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE SATURDAY

    NIGHT...

     

    * WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible.

     

    * WHERE...Portions of northeast Georgia, including the following

      areas, Habersham and Rabun, western North Carolina, including the

      following areas, Graham, Henderson, Macon, Jackson, Swain and

      Transylvania, and upstate South Carolina, including the following

      areas, Greenville Mountains, Oconee Mountains and Pickens

      Mountains.

     

    * WHEN...From Saturday morning through late Saturday night.

  3. 23 minutes ago, Carvers Gap said:

    That is exactly what the my post was about....they are all in sync including the EPS/GEFS/GEPS.  They are all singing the same song.  They are within just a few hours of each other re: progression.

    Yes sir. Things are progressing nicely in my opinion.  Great posts Carver.

    • Like 1
  4. 1 minute ago, GaWx said:

     Take it with a grain/don’t trust it, but fwiw the new Euro Weeklies run is easily the coldest overall for mid Feb through early Mar. Once the BN temperatures set in Feb 12-19, they remain through the end of the run (Mar 4-11). The week of Feb 19-26 is by far the coldest for that week of any run yet and may, when also considering El Niño climo, have the most winter storm potential in the SE of any single week per this run with Miller A/GOM potential written all over it (combo of Aleutian Low/+PNA, -NAO, -AO, and moist subtropical flow/split flow):

    IMG_9026.thumb.webp.22dc086ad4a927033584536c423e2ba1.webp
     

    IMG_9024.thumb.webp.f3a5bf993b25f6e5d13f8644a4cce454.webp

     

    IMG_9023.thumb.webp.52972eaf5ed81df77036faec279c2d02.webp

    With the info you have posted for El Niño February's this doesn't surprise me in the least.  This matches up very well with some of the great February Niños.

    • Like 2
  5. 29 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

    Look at this.. even if it doesn't snow in the next few weeks this weird pattern is going to be something to behold

    prateptype_cat_ecmwf-imp.conus (4).png

    The storms undercutting the ridge up north is going to bring us something.  I mean the jet is going to be bringing in a ton of moisture. Heck we just need a thread the needle type storm.

    • Like 1
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