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NC_hailstorm

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Everything posted by NC_hailstorm

  1. NC_hailstorm
    Phased bomb on the Euro tonight..good grief.
  2. NC_hailstorm
    Seems like all the models are following Google Boy now.
  3. NC_hailstorm
    B.Panovich said it was 55 degrees up high and 16 degrees at the surface,that's crazy and still held a sleet profile for most of the event.
  4. NC_hailstorm
    Winds coming from the southwest now,sleet and freezing rain hitting the opposite side of the house with wind. Crazy stuff, 22.5
  5. NC_hailstorm
    Heavy sleet here as his big band approaches. 21.4
  6. NC_hailstorm
    I was reading this model with all the new bells and whistles did really well on this current storm 6 days ago.Just a heads up.
  7. NC_hailstorm
    About 1.5'' of snow/sleet out there and 15.8. Still an occasional pinger,
  8. NC_hailstorm
    Started as sleet,now light snow 16.2 Porch covered,road covered.
  9. NC_hailstorm
    So I have 17 inches on the Euro and 10 on the GFS,cooking.
  10. NC_hailstorm
    -Canadian brings the Baja shortwave out,phases too early and is amped up. -GFS misses the phase,colder and a good hit with the shortwave. -UK misses the phase but isn't as cold as the GFS, sleet/snow mix but no cutter this run.
  11. NC_hailstorm
    Looks like the UKMET and the AIGFS are phasing too early over Arizona,giving this a chance to be amped up,delaying the cold press,and letting it cut. If its going to phase it needs to over around the Rio Grande like the 12z Euro.Or you miss the phase and get a storm with either shortwave. Just my opinion.
  12. NC_hailstorm
    Canadian is a tick slower with the cold press,but does eventually go sleet/snow.Still a good thump.
  13. NC_hailstorm
    There's a -4 to -5 AO and a 1045-1050 high,that's most of it in my opinion.
  14. NC_hailstorm
    Wow is that 18 inches here? good god.
  15. NC_hailstorm
    Good grief the Euro is about to drop the big hammer here.
  16. NC_hailstorm
    That's a barrage of hits at day 6/7 and beyond today,coming in from all sides all models.
  17. NC_hailstorm
    Lot of noise,lot of honking in that day 9-10 range.
  18. NC_hailstorm
    https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/hpcdiscussions.php?disc=qpfhsd In other words the professionals who get paid for this don't have a clue either,let's just flip a coin then.
  19. NC_hailstorm
    Good grief..... GEFS
  20. NC_hailstorm
    That's still a big jump on the Canadian,low off the coast now with precip in interior areas. Had nothing till tonight.
  21. NC_hailstorm
    UKIE is scoring 2nd overall.we'll see. https://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/users/verification/headlines/global/mrw/acc_31days/
  22. NC_hailstorm
    585-588 dm in the Pac NW and a ULL with 519 dm into the southeast that's nuts. If it digs more and gets a few more ticks west,look out.
  23. NC_hailstorm
    The shortwave divebombing in from east central Canada/ through Minnesota at hour 84-96 needs to phase with the plains shortwave.GFS does this,Euro doesn't.And everything a tad more west.
  24. NC_hailstorm
    Seen some 588 dm in Oregon on the UK,nuts that's like having a death ridge in the Pac NW. Very high potential here,if the shortwaves can dig further southwest in my opinion.
  25. NC_hailstorm
    Seen some 579 dm in southwest Canada and almost 585 dm in Washington,that's just crazy to begin with if your looking at 500 mb.
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