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wolfie09

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Everything posted by wolfie09

  1. wolfie09
    We are back to snow here this morning, light but steady, had around 2"-3" of shaved ice last night.. Highest report I found in N Oswego is 4" lol NWS has another 4"-8" throughout the day and most SR guidance has 4"-6"+ on the backside, we'll see how that turns out..
  2. wolfie09
    Sums up my night
  3. wolfie09
    Yeah same here, just looking outside it looks like snow but I can definitely hear something, it's just not sleet or graupel lol I'm also getting some bigger flakes mixing in..
  4. wolfie09
    Not what I wanted to hear lol The latest 00Z 1/17 NAM has trended colder with surface temperatures as well but sends a warm pocket of air at 850 mb northwestward across the region for a time around midnight. Also a warm nose advances northward from the 850 and 925 mb levels northwest as well through the region. So far the NAM,RGEM and HRRR have a decent handle of the warm layer while the 18Z GFS 1/16 is too cold.
  5. wolfie09
    Hard to see on that radar..
  6. wolfie09
    Look how the mix follows the heavier precipitation lol Hrrr doing the same thing..
  7. wolfie09
    Here is the 3k for 2-3 am.
  8. wolfie09
    Yeah and most of it will probably be sleet for CNY lol I don't think the NAM is wrong here..
  9. wolfie09
    Yeah Hrrr continues to trend warmer although it's relatively short lived (hr or two), at least as of now lol
  10. wolfie09
    Just a little more NW and we got our climo track lol
  11. wolfie09
  12. wolfie09
    The image I posted was 1 am, do you have that sounding? Either way should be brief if mixing gets out that way..
  13. wolfie09
    Rgem also has 850s above 0c for a time right when that precipitation is entering..
  14. wolfie09
    Nam meh lol
  15. wolfie09
    Well at least I can catch up on some sleep lol
  16. wolfie09
    I think first pingers will between midnight and 1am, lasting possibly a couple hours before transitioning to light snow and dry slotting..
  17. wolfie09
    Here's the exact numbers .I went up around 2"..
  18. wolfie09
    There has been little change in the 12Z model consensus. Snow will move in slightly faster (perhaps an hour), but models continue to show a major winter storm impacting the area. Raised storm total snow amounts slightly east of Lake Ontario, but only by an inch or two. This area will be close to a dry slot in the storm system Monday morning, but 12Z models show a bit more QPF before the dry slot moves in.
  19. wolfie09
    Or they could be riding the hrrr haha.. Continues to show over an inch precipitation just by morning..
  20. wolfie09
    Why do they do this to me lol Especially with the models showing sleet during heaviest precipitation..Hrrr does have 1.5" liquid overnight, couple hours of sleet, hope that verifies, which it won't lol
  21. wolfie09
    Looks like the banding is creating warmth? Mixing seems to follow it north..
  22. wolfie09
    Hrrr continues to look better than the rgem/euro but it's definitely marginal..Well we'll know soon enough lol
  23. wolfie09
    Euro is pretty close to rgem at 1Am..
  24. wolfie09
    Need to start looking at temps and we can't see in-between frames..
  25. wolfie09
    Well if the rgem verified we would lose a decent amount of precipitation to mixing.. During the heaviest portion of the event..
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