wolfie09

Yeah it's Known as NWBW(North West but west)..So basically NW flow with a little extra west..

Well to be technical a true WNW is 290-300 aka southern Oswego county, last event was a hybrid as WNW was veering NW..

Once again LR GFS delivers the goods with a bunch of clippers and LES..N Stream dominant pattern..That's all I ask lol

Gfs back to developing a wave D7, doesn't turn out to good lol

How quickly we forget how bad the models were with the last system.. They didn't catch on at 100 hours out lol

LR NAM Fwiw..

Miller Type-B situation unfolding on Sunday. Sfc low over the Mid- Mississippi Valley heads ever so slowly east while weakening as tracks across the Ohio Valley and then dissipates over western PA. While this occurs, a secondary low is forecast to develop along the Mid- Atlantic coast. For our region, there still remains a lots of uncertainty at this point. While it appears that a good portion of the region will remain precipitation free Sunday, some moisture may make inroads into Western NY (Southern Tier). Elsewhere, the stout sfc ridge to our north will likely keep a grip on the rest of the region. Still lots of time for things to change. Will have to keep a close eye on this system. It could bring accumulating snows or not much at all as we head into next week. && .LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... Again still lots of uncertainty during this time period. Strong area of Canadian sfc high pressure will "likely" still have a firm grip on the region. Depending on which wins the position battle will then determine our chances for some snow. It`s still anticipated that the parent sfc low will dissipate over western PA on Monday. As of the 28/12Z guidance, nearly all models are still in decent agreement that a rapidly intensifying nor`easter will develop just off the Mid-Atlantic coast at the start of the work week, then moves in a northeasterly direction. The question will then be how much the Canadian sfc high holds on to its crushing grip across the region. If it holds strong, it`s "likely" that the region will feel no more than a glancing blow for parts of the forecast area. 28/12Z ECMWF is currently advertising this solution. Furthermore, to hammer home the uncertainty there is a large spread in potential snowfall in the ensembles. With that said, have a mix of chance to low end likely POPs for Western NY for Sunday night through Monday. Low confidence at this point. Stay tuned as things could change moving forward through the first half of the work week. Storm system then pulls away by midweek and then sfc high pressure takes over for late Wednesday through Thursday.

EPS took a step backwards..

Alternating between NW/NNW winds on the GFS..

It's funny how it says"west wind" lol

I like activity and I like lake effect, GFS gives me both lol Obviously all way in fantasy land but I'll take some liquid for LES any day of the week, twice on Sundays..

Gotta love those multi-bands..Full sun one minute, down pouring snow the next..

Weenie run for the coast..

Here is the para..

What a joke the 0.5NE pulaski spotter is.. Less than 10-1 ? Lmao give me a break..That spot always comes in so low, must be measuring in the street lol

2" New since this morning, 4.25" on the day.. Still coming down at a solid clip..

Shot from the window..May be drying up some on radar..

Every once in a while it works in our favor lol This was the year that convinced me to move east of the lake.. Maximum Snowfall: Lk. Erie 46.4" (Perrysburg); Lk. Ontario 45.6" (Pulaski

We will definitely overachieve if this band stays put for a little..Nws only has 2" by morning..Not always terrible to live closer to the lake lol

Obviously still coming down..

Main part of the band is like 2-3 miles west, still coming down at a decent rate..

ARW looks best of them all from me to CNY..Last event the models had 1"-2", I picked up 6".. These events can be sneaky given the high ratios and all lol

NSSL bringing the 6" line really close, looks good for C Oswego county..

NMM fwiw..