wolfie09

Icon has a little overrunning before the main precipitation shield.

LR NAM with some overrunning precipitation well ahead of the low.. Fwiw

Yeah NAM not to impressive..1"-3" it is lol

Nws tends to be a little to warm on these clear nights, light wind, north wind, fresh snowpack nights...At least in Altmar lol

As of right now Thursday/Friday system looks messy according to the GEFS.. Obviously plenty of time for change..

That's because TT includes sleet as snow.

Yeah Dave what freak said haha.. Probably around-15c 850 is wamer at like-5c to -10c..On the euro of course..

925mb

Look at the 850 mb low on the European lol

That's not all snow for them as the Tues system could be more rain/mix depending on track..

Little on the older side.. A more potent low pressure system appears to enter the Northeast United States on Monday Night into Tuesday. While the timing of this system is consistent with the extended guidance, there is still some question in the exact track of the system. Overall, the forecast area appears to be on the cold side of the low and will maintain the messaging that shovelable snow is expected with this system. As this system departs, cold air remains over the region and lake effect snow will persist in favored areas. Temperatures through the period will be below normal.

Same for the gfs, albeit a little south.. You can throw most precip numbers out the window though lol

12z european shows similar (little less) Not that it's right but it's what it shows..

Cmc, gfs corrected a little east as well..Still way out there lol

0z top, 12z bottom

0z vs 12z so far..

GEFS precipitation next 6 days..

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=PNS&issuedby=BUF

Surface temps