wolfie09

Ukmet at 10-1.. Colder then most guidance as you can see by the snow along the coast..

Mean.

Good amount of these are NW of the op wrt where the snow falls..Para and GFS have the heaviest to our south and east..Kind of mixed at this point..

This morning GEFS did have several members that had a similar look with the heaviest snows over W/C NY and decrease as you had SE.. We'll see lol

Snow-sleet and probably rain or hopefully dry slot lol

Canadian

Para with a decent front end thump next week which is what I'm kinda looking at if the system doesn't move east lol

Para for Mon/Tues..

Pretty much goes right over us on the gfs lol

I don't buy it yet but you never know lol

Lol..Expect the GGEM to do this as well, it did at 6z..

Icon in mode this morning..

Still snowing at this frame..

Icon

LR NAM

Para for both events.. Includes about 1"-2"(3"-4" south shore) for Sat..

An active pattern for the long term. Some snow showers will be possible for Monday with an upper level trough over the Great Lakes, but nothing too organized as of right now. An area of low pressure will bring snow across the entire area on Tuesday and again possibly on Thursday into Thursday night. Some guidance disagreement for temps aloft, but light lake snow will be possible after each passing area of low pressure with 850H temps of -12C or colder. As of right now, the area of low pressure for Tuesday looks to bring the potential for at least plowable snowfall amounts. Temperatures remain below normal during this period, with the coldest temperatures on Monday, with highs in the mid teens for the higher terrain and in the low 20s for the lower elevations. The warmest temperatures expected for Thursday with highs in the low to mid 30s. otherwise temperatures mostly in the low to mid 20s for daytime highs.

Both pulaski WU stations got down to-11° overnight, forecast low was -2..

Ukmet over the next 6 days..

GGEM was east for the following system, still plenty of mixed precipitation but all frozen for North Central NY verbatim...

Canadian

Overrunning looking a little better..