wolfie09

Slowly climbing here, up to 31°, forecasted upper 30s.. Just wait for the summer when ksyr is hitting 90 daily They definitely like to get a bit toasty lol

Same goes for the LR even though we know it will change next run lol

Gfs really tries to hold onto the cold air in the east..

Winter still trying to hang around.. Another mixed mess a few days after verbatim..

Picked up about 1/2"-3/4" overnight, light snow continues, 27°..

Moisture will be confined to the warm front with light snow moving into the northern Tug Hill region this evening. There should be a break as the snow moves east before snow moves back across the entire Tug Hill region as an approaching shortwave trough and surface trough move south from the Ottawa Valley. Minor accumulations expected with 1-3 inches possible on the Tug Hill into Wednesday morning. Temperatures will continue to increase Wednesday with daytime highs reaching the upper 30s to low 40s and the low 30s on the Tug Hill. Weather will remain quiet across Western NY Wednesday morning with increasing clouds. As the surface trough nears Lake Ontario, forcing and an increase in moisture will increase the chance for rain and snow showers across Western NY Wednesday afternoon. && .SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/... An amplifying ridge over the western Conus will encourage a sharpening longwave trough over eastern Canada and the northeastern U.S. during this period. This will support temps that will be solidly below normal...especially during the day. The only real weather this period will be the passage of an arctic front Wednesday night. This will generate some snow showers throughout the region to open this period while setting the stage for nuisance lake snow showers in the ensuing periods. Given H85 temps that will average in the minus teens c...the northwest flow Thursday through Friday night will support some nuisance lake snow showers...mainly southeast of Lk Ontario. Otherwise...mainly fair weather can be expected. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... The longwave pattern will become progressive during this period with the western ridge sliding east. This will allow for Pacific modified air to flood the country...which eventually will lead to a PRONOUNCED warm up for our region at the end of this forecast period...and particularly the second half of next week. The mercury will climb well into the 50s across the western counties by Tuesday with 60s possible just outside of the scope of this package. The warm up will be accompanied by mainly dry weather.

https://earther.gizmodo.com/noaa-acknowledges-the-new-reality-of-hurricane-season-1846388592/amp

Some flakes starting here, NWS has a light accumulation this evening..

Hoping they have the state fair this year.. ST baseball has had some%of fans as well, hoping that carries into the reg season...

Gfs is kind of a yoyo wrt to temps, everytime it warms up we have a front/trough that swings through the east and cools us down..lol

After winning 13 out of 14 years syracuse has just 1 of the last 5 GSB..I wonder why buffalo refused? Lol

Still about 7"-9" snow depth in Oswego county as of this morning..

Latest map..

It will be windy on Monday with generally falling temperatures. Winds will strengthen to near advisory criteria east and southeast of Lake Ontario later in the day. While the bulk of the day will be dry...the deepening cold air will start to support lake snow showers southeast of the lakes by mid afternoon. More importantly...snow showers and squalls ahead of a secondary cold front will be found across the forecast area after 21z (4 PM). These could be heavy enough to have locally significant impacts to the evening commute. Expansive high pressure over the Upper Mississippi valley Monday evening will drift east to the Upper Ohio Valley and Lower Great Lakes during the course of Monday night. This will aid in directing very cold air into our region with H85 temps falling to -22c. The cold sub arctic air will encourage some nuisance lake effect snow on a 310-320 flow. NAM and RegGEM blend.

Once again Canadian stands alone lol Most SR guidance has trace amounts here if that lol

Could be couple/few inches for you southern guys tomorrow..

European next 10days..

I wouldn't mind the GGEM lol But these Canadian guidance love to overdo everything ..

Several GEFS members give hope to something bigger in the LR..(D10-D14)

There are some changes to the extended portion of the forecast as the invasion of the next shot of cold air now looks to come in as early as Thursday. Unlike the previous cool down earlier in the week that was brief, this round of cold will likely stick around for at least a few days, possibly right through next weekend. Brief zonal flow mid week quickly amplifies starting Thursday as large upper ridge builds across the Rockies northward into Canada forcing a deep trough to carve out across the eastern third of the CONUS. There will be several shortwaves and associated surface cold fronts/troughs bringing reinforcing shots of cold air Thu-Sat. However, the airmass looks to be fairly dry, so not expecting much more than some light snow showers from time to time as of now with the passage of any wave. Otherwise, this will translate to below normal temperatures for the latter part of the week through as least next weekend.

As of now for Monday..

Gefs ensembles over the next couple weeks, obviously subject to change..

No big storms but several bouts of snow shower activity on most guidance..

Yeah for VA and NC