wolfie09

Para lmao

I guess this all we have to watch at the moment.. Could bring some wintry down to the SE coast lol

Some heavy rain moving through here as well..

4 cats and a dog lol Couple of them found me like this orange tabby who showed at my door step in Altmar.. Befriended my pup from the other side of the glass and have been BFF ever since lol

Euro for Monday fwiw..

I have been thinking of getting another dog lol I want a retriever or shepherd.. Technically I have a 1/2 shepherd mutt but she is mixed with some smaller breed.. Problem is I already have 5 pets lol

Yeah just hit 40° here, forecast high was 34°.. This Afternoon Sunny, with a high near 34. South wind 3 to 6 mph.

Maximum Snowfall: Lk. Ontario 18.2" (Constableville 5NW and Highmarket 2W) and 17" (Constableville 2NW) Lake Erie 9" (Little Valley) and 8.8" (Franklinville 3.5E) Duration: 48 hours +/- Flake Scale: 2 flakes ** Deep low pressure crossing Quebec on Thursday afternoon January 21st and somewhat cold air flowing over eastern Lake Ontario helped increase lake effect snow especially toward Tug Hill region late afternoon on the 21st. Slightly cooler and more moist air then settled across the lower Great Lakes during the evening of the 21st which helped the lake effect increase especially off eastern Lake Ontario toward the Tug Hill region, with the snow even briefly expanding to as far north as Watertown and Fort Drum. After not much snow occurred since the afternoon of the 21st off Lake Erie, snow showers increased there as well during the late evening. As a couple mid-level disturbances crossed southern Quebec, the westerly flow lake effect off Lake Ontario ramped up considerably during the early morning hours of Friday January 22nd. A very strong focused band of heavy snow impacted especially the Lacona to Pulaski areas in Oswego county eastward across the Tug Hill and over southern portions of Lewis county. Snowfall rates up to 2" per hour occurred in the heart of the band across the central and southern Tug Hill region, pummelling the COOP sites near Constableville and Highmarket with over a foot of snow by mid morning on the 22nd. Lake effect off Lake Erie was overall much more mobile/transient but a few stronger bands of snow did develop south of the Thruway early on the 22nd then settled across the Southern Tier before diminishing by daybreak on the 22nd. By this time, an arctic front from western NY across Lake Ontario helped shift the west winds to more northwesterly, which pushed the heaviest snow south of the Tug Hill region, but began to focus a few stronger bands of lake effect along more of the south shore of Lake Ontario from Niagara county to N. Cayuga and the lower elevations of Oswego county. These snow showers also impacted the Rochester Metro later on the morning of the 22nd with the visibility at the Rochester International Airport briefly dropping to one-half mile during heavier snow. The official observer at the Rochester airport tallied around 3 inches by midday on the 22nd. Elsewhere, scattered snow showers producing brief lower visibility occurred over much of western NY to the Finger Lakes as the arctic front sinked farther southeast across the area. After a lull in the snow showers early on the afternoon of the 22nd, the arctic air flowing across the unusually wide open waters of the Great Lakes (ice free waters observed as far north as Lake Superior) began to set the stage for significant lake snows to develop south and southeast of Lake Ontario starting during the late afternoon hours on the 22nd. After 3 PM on the 22nd a stronger band of snow began to take aim at eastern portions of Wayne, N. Cayuga and western Oswego county. Though the band waffled some into the early evening, it was nearly stationary for most of the time, with snowfall rates up to 2 inches per hour occurring for several hours. The band eventually expanded farther west over northern portions of Monroe and Orleans counties, along and north of NY Route 104. These stronger snow bands were being fed by upstream moisture from Lake Superior, Lake Huron and Georgian Bay by the time they crossed Lake Ontario. This allowed the bands to have staying power, with some hint of these snow showers reaching as far east as the Albany area by late evening on the 22nd. Eventually drier air working into the region started to diminish the intensity and width of the snow bands. However, by the wee hours of the morning on Saturday January 23rd, reports of 9 inches of snow were received from near Cato in N. Cayuga county and near Webster in northern Monroe county where the bands had persisted the longest. The lake effect snow showers continued through the rest of the morning hours across western NY, finally making it into northern portions of the Buffalo Metro by daybreak on the 23rd. One narrow, but intense band of snow impacted southern Orleans county, northern and eastern Genesee county, northern Livingston county and western Ontario county with 6+ inches of snow locally between 5 and 9 AM. It was also under this band that an impressive foot of snow piled up in short order over the higher terrain southwest of Honeoye in Ontario county. After this last heavier band of snow diminished, minimal additional snow accumulations occurred into the afternoon of the 23rd across the entire area as the bands continued to weaken. Though this was a long lasting event lasting from the afternoon on January 21st to the morning of January 23rd and some areas across the Tug Hill region east of Lake Ontario saw a foot and a half of snow, the snow was relatively fluffy and winds were not that strong, limiting the overall impact. The primary time of heavier snow across portions of the higher population areas such as the Rochester Metro didn’t occur until the waning hours of the Friday morning and Friday evening commutes, so again the impact was lower. Therefore, despite some high snow totals off Lake Ontario even for areas in Monroe, Ontario, Wayne and N. Cayuga counties that had not seen much lake effect this season thus far, this event earns two stars **.

Lake effect archives updated with both January events.. LAKE EFFECT STORM January 17-20, 2021 Maximum Snowfall: Lk Erie 35.5" (Springville 5 NE), 31.5" (Glenwood 1.5 SE) Lk Ontario 20.0" (Redfield), 18.4" (Lacona 3.6 SSE) Duration: 60-72 hours +/- Flake Scale: 2 flakes ** After several weeks of uneventful weather, Western NY finally saw a return of Lake effect snow beginning Sunday evening January 17th. The strongest bands occurred during the night time hours and took place for three consecutive nights (Sunday, Monday, and Tuesday nights), with lesser intensity during the day. The first band set up well south of the city and affected the higher terrain regions southern Erie, northern Chautauqua, and northwest Chautauqua counties. This band was able to drop generally 4-8" overnight before the band weakened during the day. Although some snow was still falling during the morning commute, it was also Martin Luther King Day. Therefore, the lack of school buses and other business traffic lowered the overall impact from this part of the event. Lake effect snow ramped up again toward Monday evening with a fairly strong band occurring overnight and into early Tuesday morning. This band was also centered a little further to the north and affected the Buffalo Southtowns. The hardest hit locations received about 5-10" from this part of the event. The band again weakened some during the day. Finally, the band reared up for one last time Tuesday night and again generally hit the same areas impacted during the previous night. This band was likely also the most intense of the three nights, with another 6-18" falling across the region with snow rates at times reaching or briefly exceeding 2" per hour. Storm totals over this three-day period were fairly impressive, with some locations accumulating 24-36" inches. However, due to the long duration of the event together with 6–12 hour periods with little or no snow, even the most hard-hit areas only briefly exceeded a snowpack of 24", and most areas had a snowpack that remained below 10". Meanwhile, areas East of Lake Ontario had a synoptic widespread snow event on Friday night into Saturday, January 16, followed by some lake enhanced snow Saturday night. In general, the area received about 2-4" from the synoptic portion of the event followed by localized 6-12" toward the south side of the Tug Hill Plateau. There was only light and sporadic lake effect snow from most of Sunday through Monday Night. During Tuesday however, lake effect snow quickly moved into the region. A broad, single band generally focused over the Tug Hill Plateau through Tuesday night before moving south along the Lake Ontario shoreline early Wednesday. Areas within the banding saw amounts reaching about 18". Although snow totals were impressive, due to the long duration of this event along with breaks, together with most of the snow occurring outside of the main commuting hours, this storm earns 2 stars (**).

Wouldn't add up to much but a reminder it's still winter lol

European op and NAM keep the warmest off to the south..

Yeah I was thinking the same thing unless it was extremely isolated..I picked up a trace, Oswego cocorahs had a T, high number mexico 0.3" ...

As long as I still see snow on the weenie maps we have a chance lol

Icon also has a clipper on the 1st/2nd..Brings down some cold and a little lake effect/enhancement on the backside..

Could have a weak band set up somewhere..

Temps in the 30s with winds in the 10-20 mph range, stronger near Lake Ontario, will result in a brisk afternoon across the region though the sunshine is helping to take the edge off the chill in most areas except east of Lake Ontario. The cooler air and lingering low-level moisture is allowing light snow showers and flurries to linger east of Lake Ontario for next couple hours. Tonight, colder air remains with H85 temps -10c to -12c across the region. Weak system tracks in from the upper Great Lakes and will combine with already sufficient over-water instability to result in some lake enhanced snow east of Lake Ontario mainly after late evening. Forecast soundings where lake effect is persistent overnight indicate at least a 6 hour period (03z-09z) where inversions lift to 5-7kft with good portion of lake convective layer in the DGZ. Most model guidance not showing much qpf or snow, so increased both east of Lake Ontario over the higher terrain. Snow totals later tonight into Friday morning could reach at least 3 inches, if not even 5 inches locally if more favorable setup for lake enhanced snow persists longer. This still falls short of CIPS analogs which would point to low-end advisory amounts. Upper pattern in those analogs looks a bit too amplified compared to what occurs tonight though.

Looks like we lost about 3"-4" snow depth yesterday.. Today is much colder but still melting somewhat.. Obviously heavily wooded areas keep the snow much longer than wide open spaces.. The sun rises towards my back yard but by lunchtime it's already directly overhead, it's the front of my property that takes a beating during the warmest part of the day..

Wrap around moisture on the 4th and 5th..

Snow to rain on the 3rd..

Next 10 days on the euro..

Shows some LR LES as well..

Para as well, couple days later..

Gfs with a few bouts of mostly light snow, even a little lake effect..

European with a couple systems to track.. Well in animal crossing I have lost all my snow and it's raining They must know what's coming lol