wolfie09

Ukmet if anyone cares lol

The warmest report on the ambient network.. Wait for it.. wait for it..

We obviously also have to worry about surface temps with most of CNY snow coming during the day.

Defo band sits to our west intially before the system moves NE but also pulls the heaviest to our NE..So you get this "gap" appearance..

Many of the members took a step backwards Fwiw..

I'm thinking they will issue an advisory east of Ontario for like 2"-5" , maybe 3"-6" in the hills..

I also picked up 0.05" of rain lol

Had an overnight/early morning high of 50° but most of the morning it has been in the lower 40S with overcast, hoping to stay cool today lol

Well it's starting to look a little better for CNY... Forecast is for a few inches which is the right call given the time of year and all lol

Decent shift on the 3k as well..

Well at least it did away with most of the mix/rain, now just need another tick east to get some heavier rates lol

Definitely some nice improvement..

Mean

GEFS members FWIW at this point in the game..

Yeah little weaker and SE..

Yeah nice little improvement for CNY..You can see a some streamers showing up as well..

Not much difference with the rgem fwiw..

The system is never really west of you guys so WNY is looking good as of now lol The low is just south of CNY pumping up that warmth..My proximity to the lake will at least give me a punchers chance lol

Yup

Would be a fitting end to the "season" lol

The one and only notable april LES event (to my knowledge).. Granted it was over several days lol Duration: 90 hours+/- Prime Feature: Remarkable long lasting out of season event. Strong diurnal flavor. This event capped off a memorable 2006-07 season as one of the most intense and long lasting cold periods for so late in the season set off some impressive lake snows east and southeast of the Lakes. It was the first "named" event in the month of April in the 13 year history of lake storms. This combined with the massive October storm to bracket the winter season with the earliest and latest events on record. The event began late Wednesday the 4th following a sharp cold front. A massive upper level low then set up over Quebec and poured near record cold across the eastern two thirds of the nation for several days. Most of the Lakes were open again after mild weather in late March...but eastern Lake Erie still had a good deal of ice cover. Still...the moist northwest flow brought residual moisture from the Upper Lakes and impinged on the Chautauqua ridge and dropped up to a foot of upslope/lake enhanced snow there. Several inches also fell down into the Jamestown area. For the next few days...lake snows became more organized during the late night and early morning periods...breaking up into cellular activity during the afternoon and early evening hours. The heavier accumulations were at night. The Thursday night-Friday morning period brought 6-12" to much of Oswego county and southern Tug Hill and also another 6 to 12 across Chautauqua county...and a surprise 4 to 7 inches across Niagara County. Then...Friday night-Saturday morning period saw an intense band across southern Jefferson county...with somewhat of a repeat along the south shore of the Lake Saturday night and Sunday morning. During the afternoon and early evenings...brief heavy snow showers occurred...but accumulated little. Conditions finally moderated enough to shut down any lake snows late Sunday as inversion lowered and 850 mb temps rose slightly. The totals were impressive...but settled fast due to the season....so no more than a foot was on the ground at any one time anywhere. Very little fell in the Buffalo area....and Rochester caught a bit only Sunday morning. The event was long lasting and out of season. The totals were impressive...but fell mainly at night in lightly populated areas...melting off on roadways during the day. It therefore earns three *** stars.

Mid-upper 20s at 2pm on the hrdps..

LR high rez Canadian, obviously still going..

Yeah several of the members shoot that warmth into CNY which is why the mean looks like that..I guess we'll have to wait and see lol Timing is also worse for CNY with the heaviest overhead after day break Wed morning..