wolfie09

European keeps the front south of us...

Gfs a bit warmer..

These are pretty much max temps on the euro for Wed..(Oswego CO)

It will generally be a warm pattern, but it now appears possible that a wave of low pressure passing to the north will nudge the frontal boundary southward on Wednesday which may lead to cooler temperatures depending on how far south the front makes it. For now forecast leans toward continuity which is supported by the GFS, but the 12Z ECMWF/GGEM suggest highs on Wednesday could be much colder (60s rather than upper 70s to lower 80s). The front is likely to nudge back northward Wednesday night and Thursday, although it will still be close. Then good model agreement that a cold front will move through late Thursday or Friday. This front will usher in cooler (but still near normal) weather for Friday. Otherwise, there will be a persistent chance of showers during the period due to the frontal boundaries. A few thunderstorms are possible on Wednesday afternoon.

Roller coaster month which will obviously continue lol Nice day today, 54° and sunny, bit breezy at times..

Gfs 12z for Wed, Thursday..

Tornado Reports (CSV) (Raw Tornado CSV)(?) Time Location County State Lat Lon Comments 1849 3 SSW KENT LITCHFIELD CT 4169 7351 NWS SURVEY TEAM CONFIRMED AN EF-0 TORNADO NEAR BULLS BRIDGE ... CT. MAX WINDS OF 85 MPH. (ALY) 1849 AMENIA DUTCHESS NY 4184 7356 EF-1 TORNADO WAS CONFIRMED IN THE TOWN OF AMENIA ... NY. MAX WINDS OF 100 MPH. (ALY)

Wednesday Partly sunny, with a high near 81. Wednesday Night A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Thursday A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 80. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2021/04/21/weather/climate-change-new-us-normals-noaa/index.html

Steady stream of moisture off the lake, starting to cover everything back up lol

Snow picking up once again, temp dropped a couple degrees.. This is pretty much it till next winter..

As the area of high pressure tracks east, significant warm air advection will start to increase temperatures Tuesday into Wednesday. Tuesday max temps in the upper 60s to mid 70s south of Lake Ontario, and in the mid 60s for the North Country. With 850H temps increasing to around 15C by Wednesday, MaxTs in the upper 70s to low 80s looking more and more likely, depending on mixing heights, MaxTs could easily be even warmer for Wednesday.

Well it was a nice wintry morning, now we melt lol Just made it above freezing with a few flurries around.. We'll see if we can scrap anything together tonight..

Tornado warning The National Weather Service in Albany has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Central Litchfield County in northern Connecticut... East central Dutchess County in east central New York... * Until 315 PM EDT. * At 247 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located over Kent, or 7 miles north of Sherman, moving northeast at 55 mph. HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... New Preston around 255 PM EDT. Litchfield around 305 PM EDT. Torrington and Northwest Harwinton around 310 PM EDT. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include West Torrington, Torringford, Haight Vineyard, South Dover, West Goshen, Skiff Mountain, Wrightville, Lower Merryall, Marble Dale and Harwinton.

Right back to what we're used to lol Positive anomalies..Prob hit mid 80s under this scenario lol

Hi rez Canadian with a a similar look as the rgem.. Squalls and snow showers after dark with surface temps in the 20s, could pick up an additional light accumulation if it verified..

Cold has been pretty impressive, even dropped a degree with light snow lol It's been steady around 31"ish" all day even during lulls..

Yeah looks like it.. Kbgm was reporting"unknown" precip about an hour ago at 32°..

Rgem shoots a band right through Oswego county..

Yeah same here, measured 1.5" on the deck..

Starting to get into some better rates..

Next week..

Temp has been steady at 31° as soon as it started snowing..

Main batch of precipitation should move through early this afternoon..