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Gravity Wave

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Everything posted by Gravity Wave

  1. Gravity Wave
    Odd that Upton is so timid on this storm after being ridiculously bullish on last week's slizzard.
  2. Gravity Wave
    Euro looks nice for Wednesday. Juicier storm and the stronger high. If we could get the secondary to pop a little sooner it would be a nice storm.
  3. Gravity Wave
    The globals all agree that there are lots of chances coming up, with the 20-21 chance holding the most potential.
  4. Gravity Wave
    Sleet with a little snow still mixed in here.
  5. Gravity Wave
    Still a little snow mixed in here in Midtown. 26.
  6. Gravity Wave
    Yeah, mostly sleet now in Midtown, although there are still a few flakes out there.
  7. Gravity Wave
    GFS is close to something decent for the 17-18 storm and really interesting for the 20-21 storm. CMC is very similar, although it does something weird with the latter just as it's about to hit us.
  8. Gravity Wave
    Euro is snow to ice to rain, but it trended considerably colder than 0z with a much weaker primary as well. Hopefully these trends continue. E: Actually, many never go over to plain rain. City is right on the line. Widespread 3-6" for the area.
  9. Gravity Wave
    I love rainy, cold, misty days. Too much sun is boring.
  10. Gravity Wave
    Also the best model run inside of 7 days for us since that one Ukie run for the January 20th storm.
  11. Gravity Wave
    Yeah the GFS is caving bigtime to the Euro for next Tuesday. No more cutter, in fact the initial wave is now too far south LOL. The coastal redevelopment is definitely something to watch for as well.
  12. Gravity Wave
    And a favorable MJO
  13. Gravity Wave
    Euro has a snowstorm at H180.
  14. Gravity Wave
    I get that, but I still feel like days like this in early Feb are considerably more common than 80 in late Feb. Once every several years occurrence vs once every who knows how many years occurrence.
  15. Gravity Wave
    To me this is far less anomalous than the 80 in Feb last year. I never imagined that was possible, especially on the coast. Is hitting 60 in mid winter that unusual? Seems like we have a big thaw once every winter.
  16. Gravity Wave
    I currently have my office window open and a lovely breeze coming in. My mood is also being improved by the near-certainty that the MJO will be making a nice pass into the favorable phases soon. E: P8 signal is major positive anomalies over Indonesia and PNG.
  17. Gravity Wave
  18. Gravity Wave
    EPS has the signal for the 11th-12th storm as well.
  19. Gravity Wave
    Decent ensemble support showing up for the potential event on the 11th.
  20. Gravity Wave
    Shot from my office during: And after:
  21. Gravity Wave
    Didn't have any MJO support for that. And we did get 2 good storms, they just didn't work out for PHI-BOS.
  22. Gravity Wave
    12z temps tomorrow by model: GFS: 4 FV3: ~2-3 3km NAM: 4 12km NAM: ~2-3 HRRR: 1 CMC: ~4-5 HRDPS: 0 RGEM: ~-1 ARW: 0 NMM: 1
  23. Gravity Wave
    EPS looks great from the 10th on. We'll see if it holds, but the MJO likely progressing into P8 makes this believable.
  24. Gravity Wave
    The January 8th snowstorm last year had similar rates in the city at its peak in the early afternoon.
  25. Gravity Wave
    Roads are a mess.
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