HighStakes

42 minutes ago, losetoa6 said:

Yep...i could see Curley from my house by Sinclair Lane Elementary school.  I actually went to northeast middle school.  My brother and I would walk the roughly 1.5- 2 Miles every day to school . My older brother also went to Poly tech 86-88' . Back then there was only a A+B course so since I skipped half of 6th 7th 8th grades I had a great D+ average which put me in Lake Clifton.  My older friends went to LC and all dropped out . Luckily we moved before I had to go there . Very rough school back then as was northeast middle.  Small world though . 

Lake Clifton was rough but had a great basketball team in the mid to late 80's. 

Light snow. Fresh coating. 

9 minutes ago, clskinsfan said:

Pretty weird shoveling this stuff. Perfect cold powder that wont stick to anything covered by a thin layer of sleet. I cant remember ever shoveling anything like it. 

Yup. Definitely nothing like usual. Very sandy and granular but it wasn't that heavy to push and shovel.

Heavy sleet. I was hoping this last heavy band would have flipped to snow for one more nice burst. 23.

Temps haven't budged all morning. Locked in at 21/22.

Just now, psuhoffman said:

Thanks. Sucks I slept through that lol. 2 year old wasn’t feeling well and was up late with her so needed to catch a few hours. Thought most of the good stuff would be after 7am here.  Some guidance last night did have a pockets of warm up here between bands around 8 then flipped back to snow as heavier banding came through so hopefully I get to enjoy another heavy burst of snow. 

I woke up at 4:45 to extremely heavy snow. Probably had close to 2 inches by then already. Then picked up another 2 inches between 5 and 6. Then it lightened up in a lull with sleet before changing back to snow with another inch or so by 7:30. Snow rates were probably 3 inches an hour at the heaviest point. 

Just now, leesburg 04 said:

Sykesville...mostly snow now

I knew you could do it. 

4 minutes ago, mappy said:

Been texting Ava since I woke up, a "forecasting nightmare" as she put it. 

Sure is a nightmare. We're back to all snow. Moderate to borderline heavy.

Heavy snow. Over an inch. 22.

1 minute ago, losetoa6 said:

That's no hood . I grew up in THE HOOD  and that's no hood but you do look suspect from a doorbell cam .

 

Currently 25/12

 

 

So you're saying you're not frightened by the mean streets of Pikesville?

Just ticked down to 24/11

Just now, Ji said:

6 inches is my bar. Anything less would be a disaster

I have to agree at this point. 

Just now, Eskimo Joe said:

Yup. Nothing worse than praying the night before the event that we get the cold air in at 3am when the precip starts at 5 and then waking up to 34/33 and white rain.

Falling fast here. Below freezing now. My south facing front yard survived the early temp spike. Still have full snow cover. May not get above freezing here until Monday afternoon.

Sure is nice to get some legit fresh cold to rush in and get established before a storm. 

1 minute ago, DDweatherman said:

We're getting pretty close to an all snow event being pretty likely in our neck of the woods. 

Getting there. Looks good. Hoping there's no sneaky warm layer. Temps never get above 25 all day Thursday.

Low 20's at 12z with 1 inch in northern MD

8 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

Northwest crew...if we get the further south solution it’s ok. We get higher ratios and stay snow more of the event (maybe even all of it in terms of when there is meaningful heavy precip). And it gives more cushion for the inevitable north trend at the end. Nothing is showing us fringed up here. Worrying about the exact placement of a meso band within the next recipe shield on globals at 48 hours is useless. Plus they never pick up on the oragraphics enhances banding that sets up in the typical places. 

Bottom line is every model regardless of the finer details has most everyone getting a high impact event.

1 hour ago, psuhoffman said:

Stayed freezing rain all night. Temp spiked to 38 now though. Luckily still cloudy.  Hopefully that holds. So far haven’t lost any snow. This was one of the rare events were literally at the bottom of my ridge where @HighStakes lives had no ice on anything this morning when I dropped my son at school (which I can see in the valley from my back yard) but everything was still caked in ice up here. 

Nothing here even though we houvered around freezing. I've witnessed this a few other times. I can remember events where I had no icing or minor icing  but could look up at your ridge and see the trees encased in ice 

Just now, Wetbulbs88 said:

Big step back from the Euro. I'm going to bed. 

Please do.

Looks like it pretty much stays all snow or at least only a brief changeover for areas 15 miles NW of the cities. Bulk of our snow comes Thursday afternoon. 

2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

Yea that was the January one. Was the February storm snow/sleet mix up here?  Was all sleet in northern VA. 

Not sure about here but it was all sleet in Reisterstown.

1 minute ago, Baltimorewx said:

Not saying it happens with this one, maybe the confluence will just win out but there has been somewhat of a trend to suppress things (get it to go south) in the 48-84 hour ranges and then the inevitable north shift in the 24 hours to gametime frame...just something to think about is all, I mean most of us would probably still be good for a thump even if that happens

The positive is there is really good model consensus for a good thump and right now most areas have some wiggle room.

Singles digit lows sunday morning.

1 minute ago, Ji said:

its also kind of fringed. I like the south trend but we need to stop the bleeding a bit?

Juice it up just a touch and keep it right where it is now and we're good. Hopefully no BS last minute drastic changes.

1 minute ago, mappy said:

good. lets see if we can make it 3 weeks of snow cover. 

Let's go for the entire month of February.

Northern MD never gets above 26-27 degrees.