Deck Pic
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Everything posted by Deck Pic
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These slight QPF shifts are kind of irrelevant. Plus the models rarely get the secondary banding in the usual places. Death banding in the usual locations is likely.
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What are we thinking about ratios? 11/12:1?
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I guess I’m up for the euro. That way tomorrow I can be both tired and disappointed
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JB2 just needs like 0.10” model consensus QPF to forecast 4-8” for Owings Mills.
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How much for Philly?
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CLT is getting DCA'ed. 45/30....
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0.1" is around Quantico
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Bust
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I think you're forgetting this...nailed your area..
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39/38 rain.
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11/15/18 - 2.0" Seasonal Total - 2.0"
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Take lots of pics so we can reminisce when it is 74 degrees on Christmas..
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2018-19 11/15/18 - 2.0" 1/18/19 - 0.5" 2/20/19 - 1.5" 3/30/19 - 5.5" Seasonal Total - 9.5" Not a bad winter...
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Just looked at my records going back to 04-05 and I got 0.25” on 11/23/05 and 0.25” on 11/26/14. So this is a pretty big deal.
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33/31, Sleet, 2.0"
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39/22 here in UHI hell.
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CWG has all my outlooks going back to 05-06. Feel free to look and judge.
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I wish I grew up in Fauquier county. 100 days of school a year would be awesome.
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41/23. Maybe I can get like 0.3 or something
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Not really. But even if it is a cold month, we can usually count on DCA to have a few +16 departure days to erase all the negative departures. you can never assume bust. Because that 71/51 day might be lurking around the corner. Plus the classic midnight high of 66, even when afternoon temps are in the mid 40s.
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You know it is SOP to release an outlook. Whether me or someone else, CWG is always going to do one just like every media outfit. It’s low confidence every year. Which we state clearly. I’ve done one every winter since 04-05. I’d say my average is a C+. I think I’m better than a coin flip or magic 8-ball. But not by much
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I made an outlook https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2018/11/13/washington-dc-winter-outlook-we-predict-snowier-than-normal-conditions-first-time-three-years/?utm_term=.46583f2ca5d4
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I think an 80 min is possible. Which would be the monthly record and the latest 80 on record (August 17th). Daily record (76) should fall pretty easily. 79 would tie the monthly record.
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3.79” at DCA.
