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Hvward

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Hvward

  1. Hvward
    It looks a little moisture starved to me and it still shows 4” of accumulation around Asheville by 1am Sunday morning. This thing has big time boom potential here in WNC.
  2. Hvward
    No problem man! Glad to be apart of it. I was just a lurker here in 2010. I give a lot of credit to this board.
  3. Hvward
    Wow this is the best 50 member look I have seen in a while on the 12z EPS.
  4. Hvward
    12z EPS increasing totals again. This is really trending our way.
  5. Hvward
    Don't want to be in the bullseye just yet. I think we have this one right where we want it to get a decent storm here in WNC. Now we focus on when negative tilt occurs and how much moisture the system can pull from the Gulf.
  6. Hvward
    0z GFS is the best run yet for WNC. Really like the trends here.
  7. Hvward
    Euro ensemble certainly trending towards a better snowfall event at 12z.
  8. Hvward
    Woah at the 6z GFS. Hopefully the ULL catching the surface low becomes a trend today.
  9. Hvward
    Man we need this one bad people are getting stark crazy over snow lol.
  10. Hvward
    NAM is all over the place. Maybe just some token flakes Thursday night/Friday AM. We will see but NAM doesn't have the stream of moisture as far north compared to previous runs.
  11. Hvward
    We have the NAM, NAM 3km, RDPS, Canadian, & GFS all showing snow showers to a good portion of WNC late Thursday night and into Friday. This looks like it could actually happen. Might sneak up on us! Sounds look pretty good though from most models, Nam and NAM 3km even showing some accumulation.
  12. Hvward
    Impressive snowfall totals showing up on the 12z NAM 3km. I’ve been saying this for a while but someone is going to get hammered. 3km even picking up on that Buncombe Co streamer. Looking forward to the first decent snow of the season for many!
  13. Hvward
    This one is a long ways from over. The Gfs transferring the Low from the Ohio valley to Coastal NC won’t happen. The more southern solutions seems plausible at this point in time. Enjoy the ride on this one we are going to see big time swings, but someone up here is going to get hammered imo Friday and into Saturday.
  14. Hvward
    Razor thin margin for rain/snow on Tuesday around WNC. We've seen this before. These type setups have been known to produce 1"-2" surprise events for portions of WNC. Short range models should provide a much more clear picture over the next 36 hours.
  15. Hvward
    Models don't even have a handle of what will happen on Monday Night/Tuesday. This could still produce some snow showers. As far as the storm to end the week next week, there are a ton of moving pieces. Does the Northern stream dip all the way to the Gulf or does it pop a low in the middle of the US and phase with the PV or will it dip under the Appalachians? Models are cutting it now, but this could easily trend back to a Gulf Low. I am looking forward to seeing the 12z Euro and what it does with the LP.
  16. Hvward
    GEFS also hinting at snowfall for the Monday night and Tuesday timeframe. The models don't have a total grip on this pattern change, I could see a few sneaky events. Flurries might not stop for a while after they begin in the high elevations sometime Saturday. Fun times ahead, doesn't feel like we have seen a pattern like this in quite some time.
  17. Hvward
    Here you go! Looking forward to this pattern change. At the least NWF areas should get hammered next Friday and Saturday. .
  18. Hvward
    Excited to kick the season off! Hope everyone had a good Summer & Fall, model tracking season is back in full action!
  19. Hvward
    Got my garden ready for the freeze! Hopefully my blueberries still produce this year!
  20. Hvward
    Models trending towards a decent even here. Some surprises in store for sure imo. Here is my map.
  21. Hvward
    About to board the plane and head back from Maui! Looks like a decent NWF on Sunday and into Monday. Decent dynamics here with the piece of energy enhancing the stream.
  22. Hvward
    Looks like one of the best NWF we have seen in quite some time setting up on radar. I bet even Brevard and Hendersonville see NWFS. Grab a cold one this is going to be a fun night!
  23. Hvward
    Snowing hard in Leicester, the ground is covered.
  24. Hvward
    Here is my projected accumulation map. .
  25. Hvward
    Yep 4-5 hours of heavy snow for most per 18z hi res nam on Friday evening for many of us.
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