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Posts posted by andyhb
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Got TSRA right now.
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Pacific NW might be in for a decent storm on Saturday, The 00z GFS, GGEM and NAM all get a ~980 mb cyclone rotating out of the large west coast trough with strong southeasterly winds around the coast/perhaps inland depending how the LLJ dynamics shape up (although a bit more of a southern nudge would be a more impressive scenario), in addition to fairly solid rainfall amounts, will check the Euro momentarily to see if trends south a bit. GGEM and GFS also have a second system around the 120 hr period, with the GGEM being much more impressive (although this might be suspicious considering the GGEM's tendency to overdue sfc cyclogenesis, the UL jet feeding this system is stronger than the one on Saturday).
Edit, Euro, although stronger with the Saturday system, is further north.
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Textbook cyclogenesis...
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Spectacular...
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Great googly moogly...
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Just a sick H5 vort max associated with this thing...
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Lord that is a beautiful presentation on the RH map, about as classic as it gets.
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Very strong system (sub 960 mb) at 96 hrs from the OPC in the Gulf of Alaska...this may have impacts down the road for the troughing pattern over the lower 48.
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Lord knows above all the drama and whatnot, Deadliest Catch has taught me something about Bering Sea weather (i.e. it's violent on an almost regular basis, sort of like the Southern Ocean).
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Another day, another storm in AK. 975 lows up here are a walk in the park it seems. I have a love/hate relationship with weather up here. I love the constant action and the extreme challenges, but it always seems to rain on my days off.
Man, imagine if we had troughs like those swinging across the lower 48...
Also, I think Josh should consider chasing storms up here while the hurricane season is quiet.
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I do think the communication may lead to a false sense of security in a way, although I think people's overall idea that "It'll never happen to me" seems to override all other factors in many of these cases.
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Thus death tolls were low, the cut-off being 45 or less, à la Jackson, MS, 03/03/1966
Candlestick Park tornado killed 57, just FYI.
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So I just listened to that Hackleburg/Phil Campbell video with volume on full blast...holy ****
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This video was just uploaded a few days ago. The last part has cussing. It's interesting to hear the demeanor change from laughing early on to "oh s***" at the end. At one point he talks to someone who is probably his neighbor who says 'i'll believe it when i see it'. You can see power flashes in the distance around this time, and he says 'crap' and notices rotation. A short time later after he goes back inside you can hear the rumbling of the tornado and he sees it.
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As for Alaska, be prepared for your sub-500 dm bombs during the winter baro...
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Lightning pics from the other day (I was at work so these are not my own):
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Series of tstms blowing through here currently, torrential rain, probably 30-50 mph winds, frequent lightning...nice.
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I just hope Joplin doesn't have to deal with another tornadic event any time soon (ala Tuscaloosa, Yazoo City or Moore)...that would be absolute hell on the residents of town.
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Yeah I noticed that in that video and thought it was a bit of a fail on their part, and they also seemed to not be urgent enough regarding the wording initially about what was/is obviously a huge wedge on the ground...
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Got a feeling that may be taken the wrong way...
That said, everyone knows about SGF's over-warning problem, its been highlighted several times over the past number of years. Then again, they have had several major events there since 2000; 5/4/03, 3/12/06, 1/7/08, 5/10/08, Joplin, etc...
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What a contrast in the weather...
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Here it is, as it was happening...
http://www.americanw...t/page__st__455
And the thread on alabamawx:
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Can't believe it's been a year, although once it is around 5:30 PM central, it'll really start to hit...
At the time of the tornado, I was watching the supercell on radar over Joplin and I posted on the alabamawx blog, "Very strong hook echo with debris ball over the Joplin, Missouri area right now, hopefully everyone is alright."
Little did I know how bad it really was...although the signature on radar made my heart sink.
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Good lord, there were some brutal images going through my head reading that, horrifying...
Historic Tornado Outbreak April 27, 2011
in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Posted
Screen cap of the Phil Campbell tornado going through the city/around that area, taken from the Country Road 71/Mon Dye road area on the east side of town near Little Bear Creek, looking back WNW towards the wedge tornado, likely with EF5 damage occurring right as this shot was taken.