andyhb

This storm has been officially rated as a Category 5 on the RSI scale for the Upper Midwest. It is the first Cat 5 for any region since Jan 2016, the first for the Midwest since GHD 2011, and it is the highest value on the RSI achieved for any region since the Jan 1996 Nor'easter.

23 hours ago, weatherbo said:

Snow and wind have let up considerably with another 5-6" possible through the night.  Snow is too deep to walk or even snowshoe in, there's no power, and the road is closed for miles. 
Deepest snow I have ever seen. The house is almost buried.

For lack of a more scientific analysis, holy shit.

4 minutes ago, wxmeddler said:

The 0z HRRR is the exact failure mode that seems most likely, the crapvection from the west hangs on and is enhanced east of the mountains by the synoptic lift. By the time the low ejects, the moisture is wiped.

Man that would be a massive bust if it verified.

Getting a lot of 2/24/2016 vibes from both the outlook and the model progs/soundings for Monday, which of course was a widespread severe outbreak for the region, including some strong tornadoes (e.g. Appomattox VA EF3).

Quote

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Potentially historic blizzard is expected late tonight through
  Monday night. This will create treacherous and potentially
  life-threatening travel conditions and could result in tree
  damage and power outages!

- Snow amounts of 1-3 feet are expected (locally up to 4 feet
  north-central and eastern U.P.) with wind speeds of 35-65
  mph. Strongest winds are expected late Sunday afternoon into
  Monday in the Keweenaw Peninsula and along the lakeshores of
  Lake Superior.

- Widespread northeast Gales over Lake Superior on Sunday become
  northerly storm force winds of 50-60 knots Sunday night into
  Monday. There is a 30% chance for gusts exceeding 64 knots in
  the east on Monday. Heavy freezing spray is also expected.

- Large waves on the Great Lakes increase the risk of beach
  erosion and lakeshore flooding for all Lake Superior
  lakeshores Sunday night and Monday.

Some pretty jaw dropping wording from the headlines of the latest AFD from NWS Marquette. This thing is going to be a truly remarkable (and dangerous) storm for even the winter-hardened folks of the UP.

12z NAM was an outbreak of severe storms across the SE into the Mid Atlantic Sunday evening through Monday. There is a very large area of high shear and sufficient CAPE overlap showing up here.

Another death has been unfortunately found in a damaged home in Aroma Park from the Kankakee-area tornado.

18z GFS casually with 6 feet of snow near Marquette. Ungodly with the lake enhancement to boot.

The totals being printed out of N WI and the UP/northern LP of MI from the 12z suite are just absurd.

To be clear, GRB's all time record snowfall is 29" from 3/1-2/1888. Some model progs are smashing that even accounting for the earlier clipper.

That IKK storm yesterday produced multiple record breaking hailstones for IL in addition to the multiple strong tornadoes, including one that was apparently nearly 8".

Major damage in/near Lake Village IN with a report of 2 fatalities, multiple homes destroyed.

Cat 2 on NESIS and Cat 3 on RSI, I think the latter is a far better representation of this storm’s magnitude despite not quite hitting all of the population centers as hard as it could’ve, like some in the past (PDII, Jan 1996, Feb 1983, etc). If the core Boston area had gotten 2 feet instead of 15”, it’d easily be a Cat 4 on the RSI.

This storm has been rated a high end Cat 3 on the RSI scale for the Northeast, which to me seems like a fair ranking considering it didn’t quite bullseye most of the population centers with the heaviest amounts, missed DC/Baltimore entirely, and was fairly confined to the coast. However, it produced historic or near historic snowfall amounts over the area it did strongly affect and did drop 20+” on most of the NYC metro. Way better than NESIS IMO.

So is Central Park just going to pretend that the 0.15" of liquid after their 1 PM observation of 19.7" didn't exist or...

Did PVD not get additional snow after their 37.9" measurement? There were a couple of bands that pivoted through there that probably should've got them above 38" officially.

Central Park is obviously worse, they got 0.15" of liquid after their 19.7" observation at 1 PM. That is straight up shortchanging.

Those Fall River pics remind me of some that I’ve seen out of Woonsocket/vicinity from 1978.

Next level/biblical stuff out of Fall River MA.

Just now, wx2fish said:

I wanna say ORH was 34ish in Jan 2015?  Cant recall the exact number. I think that would be the next closest. 

Yeah it was 34.5", that's the highest I can think of for second place.

6 minutes ago, TheSnowman said:

Ya know Ray, it’s Text Communication.  Not calling and trying at people.  If Text Communication bothers people, everyone needs to grow a damn pair of balls.  My dad answers with “Where the F*** Have You Been you A-Hole?” If I don’t cap him back within 5 minutes of him calling.  Normal Italian Relationships.  This is bitching about getting screwed time and time again.  And you guys Mostly Laugh and Attack me back.  Can’t believe some can’t handle READING things.

 

I will be out driving soon because after watching his of the news, and seeing piles of snow and cars covered No more impressive than my area, I refuse to believe these 35”-40” totals.  I’ll be running all over jabbing that stick in untouched & unplowed areas.  

There's like two dozen 30"+ reports from the Providence area, you were just north of the highest amounts.

I may be wrong, but for the official stations of the major cities (BDL, PVD, BOS, ORH, etc), is that the highest storm total ever recorded in SNE?

https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/p.php?pil=RERPVD&e=202602240000

37.9 inches at PVD!!

Quote

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOSTON/NORTON, MA 
700 PM EST MON FEB 23 2026

...RECORD SNOWSTORM FOR PROVIDENCE RI...

THE BLIZZARD OF 2026 BROKE SEVERAL SNOWFALL RECORDS AT RHODE 
ISLAND T.F. GREEN INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT IN PROVIDENCE:

- STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL OF 37.9 INCHES BROKE THE RECORD FOR THE 
GREATEST SINGLE SNOWSTORM ON RECORD, WHICH WAS 28.6 INCHES SET 
DURING THE BLIZZARD OF '78, ON FEBRUARY 6-7, 1978.

- DAILY SNOWFALL OF 35.5 INCHES BROKE THE RECORD ONE-DAY SNOWFALL, 
WHICH WAS 19.0 INCHES SET DURING THE BLIZZARD OF '96, ON JANUARY 8, 
1996.

- FINALLY, THE DAILY SNOWFALL OF 35.5 INCHES BROKE THE RECORD 
SNOWFALL FOR FEBRUARY 23, WHICH WAS JUST 3.8 INCHES IN 1967.

A FINAL UPDATE WILL BE SENT JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT.

Just unreal. No idea what the total is now, but I wouldn’t rule out 40.

Boston getting the goods now with that re-developing band, and PVD too, which is hilarious.

Radar is filling back up over RI/E MA with the approach of the deformation axis on the backside. Probably going to make a run at 40" in spots.