1234snow

About 4 1/2 inches here since yesterday morning. To say it’s a mess is an understatement. Prayers for all those effected with even worse flooding in their communities.

Second hail storm of the “day” has hit Kingsport.

Flooding has reached epic levels here. Homes being washed off their foundations along the mountain creeks. People trapped in houses and campers. Cars under water. Roads impassable.  This is the 2nd epic flood like this in two years. 

78dbz on RadarScope with hail marker at 4” with cell SW of Johnson City and Jonesborough. Hail core of 2” passing over downtown Kingsport currently.

Flash flood warning already issued for 5 TN counties just north of the MS border. Long way to go in the event. Not a great sign to see flash flood warnings already.

Rogersville is fixing to hit up with a cell that RadarScope indicates up to 1.25” hail. No warning on that currently.

I’m really surprised the SPC didn’t issue a Severe Thunderstorm watch for the forum area. There have been plenty of warnings issued this morning and 8 hail reports in the database at SPC.

I feel like Flash Flooding will become a big issue statewide as well. 12z NAM really upped totals close to 6 inches for a wide part of the mid-state. 12z HRRR showed similar totals.

Chattanooga area needs to be on the look out this morning from the cells in Alabama. Some rotation there.

It’s going to be a wild day. Time to buckle up.

All rain now. Probably a half inch.

heavy mix at 26

Appears to be snowing solidly in Lee County. Some strong returns there.

Light snow has begun to fall here.

38 here and 35 across the Clinch Mountain in Gate City. If that gives you an idea of micro climates.

46 degrees now.

44 degrees here.

Constant sunshine all day.

Fool me once shame on the models. Fool me twice shame on me.

MegaRap. Its beginning to change to rain in the east at this point. The low is near Mobile and middle and western areas are seeing snow redevelop over their areas. 
 

Big flakes flying now. I am surprised. It is down to 32.

Only a very slight dusting here. Rained all night. Unbelievable. Was in the bullseye on all models for 3-6 and came away with nothing.

I think I’m done looking at models for a while. It’s just not worth it if they aren’t going to be accurate.

Still mostly rain here. I have no clue why it still hasn’t turned over. I’m giving up and going to bed. Frustrated.

Still mainly rain here and 33. Watching cameras from a few miles northeast of here with some higher elevation and its hammering down.

Half rain and snow here at 34. Always the last to switch over. A painful wait.

36 and still rain here

One observation I will make is the lack of convection along the Gulf coast. Only one lone supercell moving ashore in Florida. So, moisture transport getting shut off shouldn’t be an issue with this one. But this does seem to be a different scenario than with true a Miller A setup.

For those on the plateau/Crossville area then to the northeast: Get ready. It’s fixing to come hot and heavy.

Temp is 39 with light rain beginning to reach the ground.