oconeexman
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Everything posted by oconeexman
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The low is pretty close to the same track just a little slower and the High is gone by that point. This thing has to be timed just right to work out like 99% of our systems
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Not a good run...to my untrained eye
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Looks a touch slower and the high is parked on the coast of virginia
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I would but only have the freebies
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I'm with ya brother. Watch tomorrow and Thursdays Nam runs and see the dew points in the low 20's here and a surface temp 35-37. I'm banking on how the wedge has performed this far in fall. This one is dam near classic set up for wedge counties except for the original air mass is a touch warm.
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With the CAD being the source of cold air typically I85 is the cut off give or take 10 miles. It depends on the strength and placement of the High. Hopefully it trends a little further south which helps me being NW of 85
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Yea I'm not gonna worry yet..if the higher res models start showing it after tomorrow I will start worrying. Right now I'm in the "cad not being modeled correctly" camp
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Wow jackpot over NEGa's house for areas not in NC! My snow hole shrunk considerably to a county wide 6-12". Lots of wild runs for a couple more days then some fine tuning.
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Hell I go back to Charlotte tomorrow for work then back home saturday..may have to stay the weekend in Charlotte to see snow. I expect some different solutions once this wave gets sampled. Crazy what a great track it consistently is showing though.
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Eww it snow holed me dammit..picking up on a warm nose apparently
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I'm still holding on to hope here in Oconee. Eps hasnt waivered much from an I85 special. Preciate your analysis and pbpk Grit!
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All in all a good run esp for Frosty! Let's keep those ensembles rolling in our favor for a couple more days and this board will light up
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Absolute perfect track for southern snowstorm! But borderline temps again on this run. Temps dont get above 40 here in upstate before it moves in.
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Gfs a tad faster and a stronger coming onshore..fyi
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1035 in good placement but no wedge??? Only nc mins get a little snow
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Looks mega warm though...ugh
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Where at? I'm between walhalla and seneca. Man I wish everyone would stop taking these operational runs to heart. We are 4.5 days away..the ensembles are in good agreement. Starting honing in on specifics Thursday night/Friday morning. The few Cad events so far this Fall have been rather stout and stingy to give in. None were over 1040 if I recall correctly. I like Oconee/Pickens/Gville areas getting a nice little event here.
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Southeast Sanitarium - A Place to Vent
oconeexman replied to Jonathan's topic in Southeastern States
Oh C A D oh C A D how i love thee! Sure have missed these cad events of old! Merry Christmas SE crew..esp the mods who will have there work cut out for them over the next 10 days. -
That warm meso at 925 is pretty "pronounced" in parts of the upstate up toward charlotte( as Mark has eluded to). But has retrograded pretty significantly in nw sc in the last hour.
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Gsp put me in an advisory now..trying to not buy into it to get let down again. Esp after seeing so much evidence of warm nose.
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Awesome buddy!
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Grit being that the gfs is so far off from the others do you even include it in a blend right now? Of course unless the euro goes that way.
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Good grief...OH CANADA! man take a blend from all of em? Or do you throw out the extremes and blend the rest.
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Gfs sticking to its guns..seems to steadily squash the energy. So far its by itself with the lack of moisture
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Doesnt have initial strung out precip thursday like the nam but main energy hanginv back. Should be colder but may be drier than the nam
